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pgg, can you tell me the strengths of this article as you see them? I'm a pretty avid fan of the Atlantic, but this article struck me as mostly philosophical and fairly unconvincing. The two main facts I saw were: 1) the estimate that guns are used in 108,000 - 2.45 million crime prevention incidents per year, and 2) In GB, 45% of home invasions happen when someone is in the house vs. 11%(?) in the US. (I think it was 11%...).
It is a philosophical article; this very issue is a philosophical one. How much liberty can we, or should we, trade for safety. At what point does that promised safety turn out to be illusory?
It addresses the practical impossibility of purging guns from the United States. Is there a point to passing new laws banning certain types of guns, if there is no way to gather up the ones already in circulation? Shouldn't we pass laws that can work, instead of laws that make some people feel good?
It points out that even the Brady group concedes that their side has lost the total gun ban debate.
It acknowledges that the dramatic (and dramatic is an understatement) expansion of concealed-carry rights over the last 20 years absolutely has NOT resulted in the US reverting to a wild-west atmosphere with blood running in the streets over parking space disputes. It exposes how empty and silly these dire prognostications always are.
The interview with Gilchrist (about the effects of Ohio's CCW law) showed just how ignorant the typical anti-gun, anti-carry person is with regard to the ACTUAL effects of shall-issue CCW laws. He seized on anecdotes and admitted ignorance, but kept his strong opinion anyway. This is classic behavior from rigid gun-control advocates, further illustrated by this quote:
Dave Kopel, the research director of the libertarian-leaning Independence Institute, in Denver, posits that opposition to gun ownership is ideological, not rational. I use gay marriage as an analogue, he said. Some people say they are against gay marriage because they think it leads to worse outcomes for kids. Now, lets say in 2020 all the social-science evidence has it that the kids of gay families turn out fine. Some people will still say theyre against it, not for reasons of social science, but for reasons of faith. Thats what you have here in the gun issue.
On the other side, the article is balanced and objective enough to acknowledge that the clear correlation between more guns and less crime is simply that - a correlation, without proof of causation. This is one of the weakest arguments my side tends to make.
The portion of the article concerning university 'gun free zones' did a good job illustrating how pointless and counterproductive those policies are, and exposing the irrational and absurd policies/advice that results.
I was pleased to read that the non "gun-nut" author wrote:
But I am sympathetic to the idea of armed self-defense, because it does often work, because encouraging learned helplessness is morally corrupt, and because, however much I might wish it, the United States is not going to become Canada.
And I even agree with his proposed reasonable gun regulation in the paragraph following that one. (Background checks for all purchases, even for person-to-person sales; and training / background checks for issuing carry permits.)
That's why I liked the article. Reasoned, rational, free of hyperbole, minimum of emotion, conclusions that I think are correct.
No one will really convince a strong believer of the other side to switch beliefs.
True, but that's not really why we have these debates.
Good arguments and facts presented in a reasonable, calm, respectful manner can convince people who are undecided, unsure, or until now just uninterested. I'm not trying to convince people like doctor712; he's emotional, irrational, angry, and uninformed. There's no chance to change his opinion.
The reason I argue against the gun ban movement is because I hope to convince normal people that it's ineffective, counterproductive, and inherently anti-liberty. Most of it is a proven failure with literally centuries of history marked by racist and classist motives.
The doctor712s and Michael Moores and Bloombergs of the world are on the losing side of history. The objective truth is that the public policy side of the gun control debate is all but over in this country, and the rational lawful gun owners are on a decade-long winning streak in court. Periodically some tragedy occurs, and they recycle old flawed ideas about how to prevent another one. They mean well, but here we are.
You asked for some sensible regulations that wouldn't infringe upon your second amendment rights. A couple ideas off the top of my head: 1) Eliminate the gun show loopholes for background checks. 2) Create some sort of mental illness background check. 3) Standard 5-day waiting period for purchase of a new gun. 4) Limit the number of guns one can buy at a given time or over a given period of time (to help prevent strawman purchases).
1) "Gun show loophole" is a misnomer; there is a loophole, but it has nothing to do with gun shows. All dealer sales at gun shows must include a background check. In states with waiting periods, those waiting periods still apply. Person-to-person sales in some states can be conducted without a background check, but this has nothing to do with gun shows. Those sales could (and do) occur anywhere ... in private homes, parking lots, anywhere. A small minority occur at gun shows, which gave rise to the "gun show loophole" label.
I would not object to a law requiring all sales between private parties to be conducted in the presence of a licensed dealer who can run an instant background check.
2) How do you reconcile a "mental illness background check" with HIPAA? Do you really want a national, instantly searchable database with mental health records? Don't you think that creating such a system would seriously dissuade millions of people from seeking treatment in the first place? Wouldn't that put those sick people and the people around them at MORE risk?
3) Should the 5-day waiting period apply to ALL purchases, or just a person's first gun? If a person owns a gun (or five, or ten) already, what's the purpose of a waiting period?
I would not object to a waiting period for first gun purchases. I don't even have a big problem with a waiting period for subsequent purchases too, I just think it's silly - it's feel-good "security theater" like most gun control measures.
4) There's no evidence that "1 in 30" type laws actually reduce straw purchases. Guns used in crimes that were acquired as straw purchases almost invariably come one at a time from a family member or girlfriend. The notion that people are buying cases of guns and then immediately reselling them to gangs is media myth.
Even so, I'd be willing to tolerate this kind of restriction. Again, silly feel-good "security theater" ... but at the end of the day a minor inconvenience. Presently I live in a state with both a 10-day waiting period and a 1-in-30 law. It has had zero effect on crime.
None of the above would prevent a legit citizen from buying essentially any type of weapon they currently can, but I think it would help make it a little more difficult for mentally ill individuals from getting guns.
Except for requiring all person-to-person sales to go through a dealer intermediary, I don't think any of these ideas even have the potential to make a positive difference.
There isn't any evidence at all that waiting periods or 1-in-X laws have any effect at all.
A federal mental health registry is a disturbing idea. An argument could be made that the mere possibility of lost privacy would dissuade people from seeking mental health care, which could increase the number of untreated people living with psychopathology. Would YOU go see a psychiatrist if he was required by law to log your diagnosis online for the purpose of background checks?
These laws would also hopefully slowly reduce the number of illegal guns moving around the black market. It would take time (years, easily), but I think they would also make it harder for people to get illegal guns as well.
I don't think this is at all a realistic outcome from any of these measures.
Preventing violent crime is a hard problem. At some point, maybe the rational and intelligent thing to do is just acknowledge that there is a hard limit to how much safety can be engineered into the system, and that more and more restrictive gun control simply infringes liberty without any positive effects on crime.
Reasonable people can disagree on where that safety:liberty break point is, but the line is there. I think we passed it long ago in some areas (eg, the entire NFA) but perhaps have room to improve in others (eg, requiring p-to-p sales to go through a licensed intermediary).