That's wishful thinking from kazuma, no offense. Hospitals don't want solo MD-practice, because it doesn't squeeze all the juice from the money lemon. They want physicians to practice "at the top of their license", as recently posted by a department chair on this forum and as the ASA doctrine goes nowadays. They want CRNAs to do the same. There will be mixed departments with CRNAs doing easy cases independently or with minimal supervision (whatever the law/CMS require), and MDs supervising CRNAs doing complicated cases, while doing firefighter work for independent CRNAs. There might be some openings for solo MDs, but expect to be paid accordingly (solo work = less work = stool sitting, in the eyes of the bean counters).
I don't know why kazuma expects anesthesia never to fall to the level of FP, while exactly the same market forces will be at work: overproduction of physicians, encroachment by midlevels, corporate medicine. Tis such wishful thinking. Whoever gets into anesthesia now should be prepared to work for FP hourly salaries and workload. If that's not acceptable for you, you are definitely in the wrong specialty.
Expect to be punished/fired if not able to preop patients fast enough, if not able to run 4 fast rooms while giving breaks and whatever the crap else they will want from you. God forbid to catch your breath more than for the 15-30 minutes/day you will have as official breaks, including restroom breaks. Especially in the desirable areas, they will have so many suckers with medical and anesthesia diplomas they will be able to hire one the next minute after they fired you.
History always repeats itself. Look at what happened to Law, and learn from it. It will be not all different in Medicine, now that Wall Street is taking us over, except that we as anesthesiologists (and many other service specialties) will not have any "clients" to follow us if we decide to leave (plus anyway the noncompetes are written in such a way that Tis impossible) . We will be just "paralegals" for all intents and purposes.
Pray for a change after 2016, but I am not optimistic. Things got exponentially faster after Obamacare went live, and the ACA still has parts yet to become active, so undesirable change will only accelerate in the next 5 years. Stop dreaming and plan a life in a completely corporate assembly-lane blue-collar world. Whatever paradise you are practicing in right now will not last long. The forces of Mordor are incredibly strong.
These are savage capitalists who care only about two things: making money and... making more money. They will not let you have a better lifestyle in exchange for lower salaries, as long as they have suckers to work 70-80 hours/week. More hours worked, more profit for the overlords. They care about you as much as you care about the livestock that you eat daily. Don't expect a Google-like atmosphere, more like a Walmart one. Very few people become billionaires by/while being nice to other people.
And, no, my middle name is not Cassandra. My middle name is Herodotus.
All you can do is advocate for our future via sources available to us. ASA-PAC basically, and getting involved in your state society.
Look, surely there's always a possibility that reimbursements will go down. Does anyone really think our desperate system will INCREASE reimbursements down the road? Unlikely, then again we are a country who's policies are made via powerful lobbies and things don't always go the way they "should". So who knows.
Life is about attitude. Ours specialty will change. I don't know of a single business, new economy or old, that hasn't undergone MASSIVE change over the past decade. And most of those changes are along the lines of more pressure on the worker (whatever level), less vacation not more, less pensions (pen-what??) not more. Less job security not more. Less 401k matching by corporations not more. Meantime higher education expenses are going UP for pretty much all young people.
It is what it is. Perhaps this is the end result of the ultra-capitalist society we've created and inherited. But, that's another story.
Work hard, hone your craft. Like Kazuma said, get along with people. Be able to work FAST (since when is this necessarily bad???). Be good at what you do. I will guarantee you that if you do this day in and day out, people will KNOW who the good anesthesiologist is. When your group folds, or gets forced out and the new "boss" is looking for recommendations from those that are staying (such as OR nurses, mid-management etc.) your name will come up repeatedly. Guess what? Even in this sky falls down on your group scenario, YOU will have a place at the table.
What more can one expect? You can only control so much of your destiny. But, it can amount to a lot. Don't be a lazy fu.cking chart signing chump. When push comes to shove, those are the chumps who's job a hard working, likable CRNA will steal. NOT yours. I am very sure of this.
Look. Our baby boomers are approaching maximum surgical need in the coming decade. For the next decade or more, the system will struggle with a lot of things and will come under strain. But, DEMAND is also a powerful force. There will be a demand for those who know our trade. Some of those will likely be CRNAs to one degree or another (and they already are).
Meantime, work hard, save, get out of debt, and enjoy your life because life is short and very random. And, yes, you'll make enough to enjoy this short life as long as you don't envision a summer home and lots and lots of toys. But, you CAN earn a comfortable living and enjoy what you have.
Merry Christmas everyone.