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There's several ongoing threads in anesthesia forum about the future of anesthesiologists in the face of ACO, CRNAs threats, etc, etc.
What do you think will happen to the PRIVATE pain management practices 5-10 years down the road, or 10 years beyond? Will PRIVATE pain management practices be able to survive 10 years down the road?
My take on this is NO.
Obviously reimbursement from medicare (and private carriers) will continue to come down. Financially it will get tougher and tougher to remain profitable to run a PRIVATE clinic.
More importantly, pain management specialty relies heavily on referrals, whether PCP or specialist (spine surgeons, i.e.). With the ever-encroaching CMS and inevitable progression towards ACO model (national-wide HMO), referrals will be dried out and reimbursement will be choked. In the process of forming ACO, local hospitals and large medical group will either buy out PRIVATE clinics with pennies on the dollar or they will simply squeeze you out of business by choking your referrals because all your referral sources will be part of ACO.
The difference between ACO and HMO that failed miserably in 80s and 90s is this time ACO is centered around hospitals as opposed to HMO is centered around IPA at least from physician's perspective. The hospitals will gobble up private practices for pure financial profitability. IPA back then at least is consisted of physicians and had no interest in buying up private practices.
Are we doomed to become the employees of Kaiser or academia, then gradually be replaced by NP/PA?
What do you think will happen to the PRIVATE pain management practices 5-10 years down the road, or 10 years beyond? Will PRIVATE pain management practices be able to survive 10 years down the road?
My take on this is NO.
Obviously reimbursement from medicare (and private carriers) will continue to come down. Financially it will get tougher and tougher to remain profitable to run a PRIVATE clinic.
More importantly, pain management specialty relies heavily on referrals, whether PCP or specialist (spine surgeons, i.e.). With the ever-encroaching CMS and inevitable progression towards ACO model (national-wide HMO), referrals will be dried out and reimbursement will be choked. In the process of forming ACO, local hospitals and large medical group will either buy out PRIVATE clinics with pennies on the dollar or they will simply squeeze you out of business by choking your referrals because all your referral sources will be part of ACO.
The difference between ACO and HMO that failed miserably in 80s and 90s is this time ACO is centered around hospitals as opposed to HMO is centered around IPA at least from physician's perspective. The hospitals will gobble up private practices for pure financial profitability. IPA back then at least is consisted of physicians and had no interest in buying up private practices.
Are we doomed to become the employees of Kaiser or academia, then gradually be replaced by NP/PA?