Thanks for quoting entry statistics. I know, I know, you're a tough and smart guy.
But to your quote "3- This is also extremely uneven, getting top quartile in a class of 3.5/27 students is VASTLY different than top quartile in a group of 3.8/33+ students. At a number of schools, the bottom quartile of academic stats coming in is significantly higher than the average at any osteo program in the country."
1 Who's to say that those same 3.5/27 individuals scoring in the top 25% in med school not college would not also score in the same range as the 3.9/35 (or 2 whatever your top 25% is) group on the same test in med school. I understand where you're coming from, the whole "better performance in undergrad is a good predictor of medical school competence/intelligence". That's just it, you're playing a numbers game, but not using the right set. And to the bolded, yes that's probably true for the top 20 MD programs. There are far more, my state MD school included, that have a 10% (don't have 25% numbers, sorry) around 3.0/25 3, than there are those top schools. Yes, not all medical students are equal, and thank god. 4 Some interact better with patients than they do a scantron, some are lucky and are the whole package. I'd rather not be swimming in a sea of ostentatious individuals.
Easy, I'm not wanting or trying to come off as some know-it-all tough guy.
I am trying to spread an alternate perspective, as before med school I thought quite a bit closer to you and after experiencing it I have changed somewhat. Also, I am talking in terms of averages or the bulk of the class. Usually there will be some outliers, better and worse.
1- From my observation of some stats and anecdotally over the last 3-4 years I would say not for but a very FEW outliers will the top 25% overlap between a top school and an average osteo school. And here's why I think that (it is not some elitist BS propaganda):
A- average STEP 1 for the best DO schools (215-219) is well under national MD average (mid 220s), let alone top school average (low 230s to low 240s)
B- highest regular (not just 1 person or someone who knows someone nonsense) DO scores I have heard of from a top DO school who places the most nationally in ACGME programs is 240s (rare) typically with 230s being considered "outstanding/excellent", the vast majority of our class gets 230+ and ~1/3 gets 240+ (and there are other schools that score higher)
C- many of our exams have been similar to a 5 choice MCAT so far with complex conceptual integration on 2/3rd order Qs, and as someone who basically aced (100+) everything in recent past and had a solid MCAT I can say they are pretty ridiculous, and compared to exams I have discussed with students at other schools the questions are confirmed as tough
D- people who come from stronger backgrounds here are doing better, those from weak backgrounds are almost drowning
E- most of the high scorers in our classes are putting in serious hours and studying about as much as anyone can and stay sane (and they come in with credentials that tend to indicate high academic potential)
2- Our top 25% average would be 38/4.0 (~20% class had a 4.0), the 3.9/35 was the median quoted from the MSAR for accuracy's sake. The point is that there are nearly entire classes made up of superstars out there, which sounds kinda unbelievable, but it's true.
3- 3.0/25 isn't right except for SD/PR etc., 10th percentile for most lower tier med schools is 3.3-3.5/26-29 (keep in mind this includes the early admission programs and everything else that skews the low end. Bottom quartile for most lower tier should be about a 3.5/29.
4- I also bought into this nonsense prior to school, but other than a VERY few I haven't seen it. Everybody is smart and outgoing/interesting/friendly. It is comforting to think those who have the academic metrics are "bad with patients" or awkward but, there are a ton of people out there with basically the whole package. And if you want a top program/specialty these are who we are all compared to.