SDN Members don't see this ad. (About Ads) According to the charting the match document released by the AAMC, about 838 US graduates entered the match, and only 60 didn't get a spot. Those sound like pretty good odds to me. According to the USMLE data, you had a greater than 70% chance of matching if you had a usmle between 190 and 220. How can HANS say you need a >240 for a good chance to match?