# Medical School Chances Calculator

Discussion in 'What Are My Chances?' started by DrMeowMeow, 02.20.12.

1. ### DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

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I used the coefficients from the logistical regression model taken from the whole population of applicants from 2009-2011 to make this calculator based on MCAT, GPA, and Race. If you download the Excel sheet, you just type in your GPA, MCAT, and 1 for the race it will calculate your probability of getting in. You can only choose one race or it won't work.

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3. ### Will2SurviveAll it takes is Will

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ty for this, I have 93% chance woot

4. ### DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

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Thanks, I spent a ton of time entering in the individual data. I tried contacting AAMC for more descriptive data like the exact GPA and MCAT each applicant had, but they wanted money or something for that. So I had to assume the averages for each category

5. ### DrShazam 2+ Year Member

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Thanks for the calculator. I am sure applicants will find it helpful. For me, it said 72%.

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7. ### DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

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I wish they would release that information!! Haha

8. ### TriagePreMedBannedBanned 2+ Year Member

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You might be able to sort of play with the idea depending if you want to make the calculators school-specific. Schools list percentages of people with research, etc. Like if the school is 50/50, no real gain having research. If it's 90/10, then some percentage, etc. But it would probably take forever.

Thanks for the calculator. Around a 70 something for me. Add the California Resident variable and it probably goes to 0% for me.

9. ### sector9Moderator Emeritus 5+ Year Member

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Apumic made something almost identical to what you are suggesting for the final versions of his spreadsheet. Unfortunately all that data is in the MSAR which is unavailable for use given AAMC's legal threats to SDN. The current version of this spreadsheet uses only Tables 24 and 25 which are available more freely with less copyright restrictions than the MSAR

10. ### motgus

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Before you suggest anything, you should really understand the model. The data you are suggesting would not be applicable to this type of model.

11. ### drycorn3 2+ Year Member

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well then according to this I have a 93.5% chance! that can't be right...

12. ### TriagePreMedBannedBanned 2+ Year Member

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No I don't think I have to understand it. Just a suggestion that if it doesn't work, it doesn't. There is no requirement for a suggestion to be good, but it could be. If I really knew how to do these things, I would do it myself.

Sent from my SCH-R910 using Tapatalk

13. ### music2docStudent of Mad Doctoring 5+ Year Member

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If we included this in the old med school spreadsheet, I bet it would be awesome!

BTW, you're missing Native American. You should add that in as it is a pretty significant "bonus" (second only to AA)

14. ### DrMeowMeow 5+ Year Member

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They don't have Native American by itself on the AAMC grid, only grouped with all other URMs. Otherwise I would do it.

15. ### heliscomo

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...

Last edited: 05.21.12
16. ### Bungie2117 2+ Year Member

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Hispanics and africans got it easy...
It sucks to be asian as far as admissions go.
Asian have a less chance whites?

If I was hispanic = 94.18%
african = 96.71%
asian = 74.91%

17. ### LasConchitas 2+ Year Member

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Seriously, thank you so much for making this! You are an incredible human being!!

I've been so anxious about everything, but now that I know I have a 73% chance of acceptance, a huge part of that worry is gone. You da best!

18. ### nysegopBanned

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Hey, if you have no race then you have a 100% chance of getting into med school. Time to go de-race myself!

19. ### sympatry

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meanwhile, I was able to boost my chances with a 105 MCAT score

20. ### Goro 5+ Year Member

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Jeeze, I hate these stats as they are really misleading and give a lot of false hope to people who don't really understand the process.

Your stats are for the US as a whole, and not any specific school. They are definitely skewed for many reasons, such as regional selectivity (Chances at U KS are NOT the same for someone from NY state) . If you look at any individual school, the odds fall to <10% for people with those stats. Not all matriculants are equal.

And those people with the low GPAs and MCATs who get in? We call those people "specials" or "legacies". They either have a large donation check in hand, or are related to alumni, Deans or faculty. They also may have an outstanding story to tell.

21. ### JmsD

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Well, they don't, which is why they are underrepresented in medicine...

22. ### Heplayer92 2+ Year Member

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57% lol...wow

23. ### Stagg737 2+ Year Member

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My undergrad GPA was a 3.21 but I had a grad school GPA of 3.77, so how does this work for applicants with grad GPAs that are significantly higher than undergrad?

I was only 22.3% with my undergrad stats, but 57% with my grad GPA...