Im not sure off the top of my head. I know CHADS2 or CHADSVasc can estimate a annual risk of CVA. I would think surgery might change (increase) that risk if new onset, unanticoagulated afib has been present longer than 48 hours and it is rate controlled intra op. At least I thought there was significant embolic risk if sinus rhythm is re established after 48 hrs.
rate control and conversion to sinus rhythm are 2 very different treatment goals/modalities.
the point of my question was that while concern for a periop stroke is stoked by fear of catastrophe, the actual daily risk of a stroke is tiny. clotting/inflammation is deranged by surgery, but most surgeries can't be performed while on coumadin. Aspirin is permitted by most reasonable surgeons but the risk reduction is likely not hugely significant.
CHADS2 SCORE PREDICTS PERIOPERATIVE STROKE RISK IN PATIENTS WITHOUT ATRIAL FIBRILLATION
Navdeep Gupta; Saurabh Aggarwal; Karthik Murugiah; Barbara Slawski; Michael Cinquegrani
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2013;61(10_S):. doi:10.1016/S0735-1097(13)60341-1
the risk of an underlying causative problem and the concern for periop rate control are what drives us to send the pt to a cardiologist prior to surgery (not the need for anticoagulation - this is a long-term question and anticoagulation will likely be held for significant surgery anyway).
what conditions are in the differential for new afib and how might those conditions be affected by anesthesia?
how will surgery affect the risk for RVR? ie blood loss, hypotension, catecholamine surges (or blockade), electrolyte fluctuations?
what situation would prompt an anesthesiologist to attempt rhythm control (either with drugs or electricity) as opposed to rate control?
(the answers to these questions are used by us to steer surgeons toward cancellation of elective cases and cardiology/medicine consults)