what will a career in medicine be like 15 years from now

This forum made possible through the generous support of SDN members, donors, and sponsors. Thank you.

Dire Straits

Membership Revoked
Removed
10+ Year Member
15+ Year Member
Joined
May 6, 2005
Messages
933
Reaction score
3
let's hear some educated predictions on what the state of medicine will be like from the physician's perspective in about 15 years from now?

even less autonomy? more cookbook medicine? more out of control malpractice? converting to the quasi-socialized system? or reverting back to the Golden Age?? let's share what you think the outlook will be.

Members don't see this ad.
 
My two cents

Malpractice: The only successful legislature that's going into effect these days are caps on pain and suffering (which do lead to less lawsuits) and Bush is still pushing for caps and limitations on suing trauma/EM/OB docs. Some states are losing their surgeons and OBs from malpractice. Some emergency legislature will come down the line from that.

Pay: Medicare is going to take a hit, which mean pay probably will go down for all specialities that are not strictly cash only (some Derm, Plastics). On the bright side, many docs are getting business-saavy so you won't see as many going bankrupt with their practices.

Single payor system: Won't happen. America is too afraid of becoming 'socialist'.

Ancillary providers: I don't think that they will have more autonomy per se but there will be more of them doing doctor-like work, as corporations have realized they are cheaper and almost as effective as MDs.

Nurses: will continue to be in critical demand. We will probably start importing even more Philipinos and other nurses.

Medical technology: As 15 years ago, we will be using more x-rays/CTs/MRs and lab tests and less clinical diagnoses. All docs will be trained in simple ultrasound (we may even carry them around like stethoscopes) We will probably have programs that take in patient data and come up with differential diagnoses.

Surgery: More laproscopic, more robotic procedures, more telesurgery.
 
I think a single payer system is inevetible and coming soon. I'm not for it. I just think it's going to happen. That will eliminate med mal from the picture but pay will be cut and docs will make a third to a half of what we make now. If it got rid of med mal it might be worth it.
Midlevels will be more autonomous and prevelent because a single payer system will care only about costs.
We will have health care rationing. People will hate it but there it will be.
 
Top