The odds are stacked against you because there is a huge pool of Berkeley premeds (and Californian premeds in general) and most med schools try to maintain all sorts of diversity (including geographic diversity...eg Wash U.).
Apply to UCSD for sure...is it just me...or is the acceptance rate for Berkeley grads to UCSD really high?
http://career.berkeley.edu/MedStats/top20.stm#ucsd
12-16% from 1999-2003. That is almost a Texas level acceptance rate...well, at least an in-state Baylor acceptance rate.