AAMC Calls for Modest Increase in Medical School Enrollment

DrYo12

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AAMC Calls for Modest Increase in Medical School Enrollment
Association Adopts New Position on Physician Supply

Washington, D.C., February 22, 2005 - Concerned that America may experience a physician shortage in the next few decades, the AAMC today recommended that enrollment in U.S. medical schools be increased 15 percent by 2015. Assuming that schools respond to the AAMC's recommendation, the result would be an increase of about 2,500 M.D. graduates per year.

"The AAMC's new position responds to mounting evidence that the demand for physicians will outstrip the supply in future years," said AAMC President Jordan J. Cohen, M.D. "Given the extended time it takes to educate and train tomorrow's doctors, efforts to increase enrollment must get underway as soon as possible to assure that the health care needs of the nation in 2015 and beyond are met."

In calling for the expansion, the AAMC recommended that the increases be targeted, in part, to areas of the country that have seen a rapid rise in population over the past several decades and are expected to grow in the future. The association also recommended the removal of the current restriction on the number of residency and fellowship positions funded by Medicare in order to ensure that the new U.S. medical school graduates can complete the training necessary to practice.

A survey of medical school expansion plans, conducted by the AAMC's Center for Workforce Studies in late 2004, shows that many of the nation's medical schools have already begun to increase their class sizes. Of the 118 allopathic schools (institutions that grant M.D. degrees) that responded to the survey, 36 (31 percent) indicated that they were "definitely" or "probably" going to boost first-year enrollment over the next several years, which would yield about a four percent increase in M.D.s. Another 23 schools (20 percent) said they would "possibly" increase enrollment over the next six years.

Several factors were considered in making the recommendation for an increase in medical school capacity, including U.S. population growth, a demand for more medical care by aging Baby Boomers, the retirement of practicing physicians, and younger doctors working fewer hours.

However, given the inherent uncertainties in predicting future physician workforce needs, the AAMC's Center for Workforce Studies will continue to analyze and monitor changes over time in the physician supply, as well as identify strategies to retain doctors in the workforce and make more effective use of practicing physicians. To help achieve this goal, the AAMC will sponsor the first annual Physician Workforce Research Conference, May 5-6 in Washington, D.C.

A copy of the AAMC's physician workforce position can be found at: www.aamc.org/workforce
 
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DrYo12

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In a nutshell--the AAMC has been predicting an oversupply of doctors by this time but have re-evaluated and now think there will be a shortage.

Any thoughts on what this will do for admissions?
 

Blue Scrub

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Someone posted this before I think....good call though, more docs are def needed to care for those baby boomers we call our parents...
 

Blue Scrub

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im not sure how it will affect admissions....i dont see it getting any easier or harder for people to get in to med school, i think the avgs will stay about the same...because there are always students with very good credentials and everything else that dont get accepted anywhere
 

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DrYo12 said:
In a nutshell--the AAMC has been predicting an oversupply of doctors by this time but have re-evaluated and now think there will be a shortage.

Any thoughts on what this will do for admissions?
probably not too much will change with admissions. we're not talking about letting 100 more 1st year students in. More like 10 to 20 per class. So a few more people will get in initially and a few more will come off the waitlists. But I doubt this will be enough of a change to make it any easier to get in. Medical schools are still going to have more good applicants than they can admit.
 
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stoic said:
probably not too much will change with admissions. we're not talking about letting 100 more 1st year students in. More like 10 to 20 per class. So a few more people will get in initially and a few more will come off the waitlists. But I doubt this will be enough of a change to make it any easier to get in. Medical schools are still going to have more good applicants than they can admit.
My understanding was that AAMC's projected oversupply is the justification for not building any new medical schools since the 80s. Now that a shortage is 'eminent', I think there are plans to build several new medical schools in the US.
 

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DrYo12 said:
My understanding was that AAMC's projected oversupply is the justification for not building any new medical schools since the 80s. Now that a shortage is 'eminent', I think there are plans to build several new medical schools in the US.
Yup, you're right. Texas is starting another UT medical school in El Paso.
 
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MadameLULU said:
Yup, you're right. Texas is starting another UT medical school in El Paso.
just what we need. more doctors coming out of Texas :smuggrin:

:love: Love y'all!
 

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It'll be interesting to see what this does for special master's programs like Georgetown's. People who ordinarily would do a program like this stand the most to gain, since they're on the fence for getting in.
 

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MadameLULU said:
Yup, you're right. Texas is starting another UT medical school in El Paso.
Damn, I should have stayed in El Paso. :mad: