Having gone to UCSD, I would take what Dr. Bond says with a pinch of salt. As for "back-up" schools, I always wondered about who exactly gets into the schools with seemingly low gpa's (ie Finch), as I think they focus more on extenuating circumstance applicants. HOwever, it is probable that many schools prefer to take local applicants first, as they will stay in the community, so the ABC thing sounds reasonable, but when you look at the majority of private schools out there, the number of Californians is so overwhelming that I'm not sure how much water that arguement holds. Plus, you can always ask the school for a break down of where their students come from, and see if CA isn't #2 or #3 on their list.