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I'm currently in Georgetown's SMP & I'm pretty biased against the school. I don't think it's a particularly happy place since students here rub me the wrong way, but my outlook might be different as a med student.
.....Second, i think match lists are useless but lets save that for another discussion....
I have no opinion to express on either school because I'm in the exact same boat you are......accepted at Tulane and cap'd at Georgetown.
But....I'll bite on this match list thing......doesn't it seem ridiculous to compare match lists when part of what goes into the match is the student's preference? So, maybe some guy matched to total low paying specialty in extremely undesirable location X and you think that's AWFUL. But do we really know how that worked out? Perhaps he's from location X and has always wanted to be said physician, so for him, he got his first choice.
As many have said before, I'm just guessing......but, if you get into and choose to attend the school you liked the best and feel most comfortable in, this will enable you to excel in school--because 1. you're happy; 2. you'll want to participate; and 3. you may actually learn a lot, thus resulting in high board scores, good LORs and a residency of your choice (or at least at the top of the list).
And who knows, maybe your desire for that specialty and location from that fabulous match list you think you want now will change 4 years down the road, so why be miserable at a school that you think will "guarantee" you to match in the specialty you desire today.
After all, there are no guarantees in life. Just my 2cents
I've officially joined you on the CAP today, BTW. I agree that it's pretty hard to determine why people went the route they did. But year after year, there remains a difference between matches from the two schools. Then again if the campus culture & student body are consistent from year to year, so would their residency picks, I guess.