How Government Killed the Medical Profession

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How Government Killed the Medical Profession
By Jeffrey A. Singer
This article appeared in the May 2013 Issue of Reason.
I am a general surgeon with more than three decades in private clinical practice. And I am fed up. Since the late 1970s, I have witnessed remarkable technological revolutions in medicine, from CT scans to robot-assisted surgery. But I have also watched as medicine slowly evolved into the domain of technicians, bookkeepers, and clerks.

Government interventions over the past four decades have yielded a cascade of perverse incentives, bureaucratic diktats, and economic pressures that together are forcing doctors to sacrifice their independent professional medical judgment, and their integrity. The consequence is clear: Many doctors from my generation are exiting the field. Others are seeing their private practices threatened with bankruptcy, or are giving up their autonomy for the life of a shift-working hospital employee. Governments and hospital administrators hold all the power, while doctors—and worse still, patients—hold none.

The Coding Revolution

At first, the decay was subtle. In the 1980s, Medicare imposed price controls upon physicians who treated anyone over 65. Any provider wishing to get compensated was required to use International Statistical Classification of Diseases (ICD) and Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes to describe the service when submitting a bill. The designers of these systems believed that standardized classifications would lead to more accurate adjudication of Medicare claims.

What it actually did was force doctors to wedge their patients and their services into predetermined, ill-fitting categories. This approach resembled the command-and-control models used in the Soviet bloc and the People’s Republic of China, models that were already failing spectacularly by the end of the 1980s.

“I am a general surgeon with more than three decades in private clinical practice. And I am fed up.”

Before long, these codes were attached to a fee schedule based upon the amount of time a medical professional had to devote to each patient, a concept perilously close to another Marxist relic: the labor theory of value. Named the Resource-Based Relative Value System (RBRVS), each procedure code was assigned a specific value, by a panel of experts, based supposedly upon the amount of time and labor it required. It didn’t matter if an operation was being performed by a renowned surgical expert—perhaps the inventor of the procedure—or by a doctor just out of residency doing the operation for the first time. They both got paid the same.

Hospitals’ reimbursements for their Medicare-patient treatments were based on another coding system: the Diagnosis Related Group (DRG). Each diagnostic code is assigned a specific monetary value, and the hospital is paid based on one or a combination of diagnostic codes used to describe the reason for a patient’s hospitalization. If, say, the diagnosis is pneumonia, then the hospital is given a flat amount for that diagnosis, regardless of the amount of equipment, staffing, and days used to treat a particular patient.

As a result, the hospital is incentivized to attach as many adjunct diagnostic codes as possible to try to increase the Medicare payday. It is common for hospital coders to contact the attending physicians and try to coax them into adding a few more diagnoses into the hospital record.

Medicare has used these two price-setting systems (RBRVS for doctors, DRG for hospitals) to maintain its price control system for more than 20 years. Doctors and their advocacy associations cooperated, trading their professional latitude for the lure of maintaining monopoly control of the ICD and CPT codes that determine their payday. The goal of setting their own prices has proved elusive, though—every year the industry’s biggest trade group, the American Medical Association, squabbles with various medical specialty associations and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) over fees.

As goes Medicare, so goes the private insurance industry. Insurers, starting in the late 1980s, began the practice of using the Medicare fee schedule to serve as the basis for negotiation of compensation with the doctors and hospitals on their preferred provider lists. An insurance company might offer a hospital 130 percent of Medicare’s reimbursement for a specific procedure code, for instance.

The coding system was supposed to improve the accuracy of adjudicating claims submitted by doctors and hospitals to Medicare, and later to non-Medicare insurance companies. Instead, it gave doctors and hospitals an incentive to find ways of describing procedures and services with the cluster of codes that would yield the biggest payment. Sometimes this required the assistance of consulting firms. A cottage industry of fee-maximizing advisors and seminars bloomed.

I recall more than one occasion when I discovered at such a seminar that I was “undercoding” for procedures I routinely perform; a small tweak meant a bigger check for me. That fact encouraged me to keep one eye on the codes at all times, leaving less attention for my patients. Today, most doctors in private practice employ coding specialists, a relatively new occupation, to oversee their billing departments.

Another goal of the coding system was to provide Medicare, regulatory agencies, research organizations, and insurance companies with a standardized method of collecting epidemiological data—the information medical professionals use to track ailments across different regions and populations. However, the developers of the coding system did not anticipate the unintended consequence of linking the laudable goal of epidemiologic data mining with a system of financial reward.

This coding system leads inevitably to distortions in epidemiological data. Because doctors are required to come up with a diagnostic code on each bill submitted in order to get paid, they pick the code that comes closest to describing the patient’s problem while yielding maximum remuneration. The same process plays out when it comes to submitting procedure codes on bills. As a result, the accuracy of the data collected since the advent of compensation coding is suspect.

Command and Control

Coding was one of the earliest manifestations of the cancer consuming the medical profession, but the disease is much more broad-based and systemic. The root of the problem is that patients are not payers. Through myriad tax and regulatory policies adopted on the federal and state level, the system rarely sees a direct interaction between a consumer and a provider of a health care good or service. Instead, a third party—either a private insurance company or a government payer, such as Medicare or Medicaid—covers almost all the costs. According to the National Center for Policy Analysis, on average, the consumer pays only 12 percent of the total health care bill directly out of pocket. There is no incentive, through a market system with transparent prices, for either the provider or the consumer to be cost-effective.

As the third party payment system led health care costs to escalate, the people footing the bill have attempted to rein in costs with yet more command-and-control solutions. In the 1990s, private insurance carriers did this through a form of health plan called a health maintenance organization, or HMO. Strict oversight, rationing, and practice protocols were imposed on both physicians and patients. Both groups protested loudly. Eventually, most of these top-down regulations were set aside, and many HMOs were watered down into little more than expensive prepaid health plans.

Then, as the 1990s gave way to the 21st century, demographic reality caught up with Medicare and Medicaid, the two principal drivers of federal health care spending.

Twenty years after the fall of the Iron Curtain, protocols and regimentation were imposed on America’s physicians through a centralized bureaucracy. Using so-called “evidence-based medicine,” algorithms and protocols were based on statistically generalized, rather than individualized, outcomes in large population groups.

While all physicians appreciate the development of general approaches to the work-up and treatment of various illnesses and disorders, we also realize that everyone is an individual—that every protocol or algorithm is based on the average, typical case. We want to be able to use our knowledge, years of experience, and sometimes even our intuition to deal with each patient as a unique person while bearing in mind what the data and research reveal.

Being pressured into following a pre-determined set of protocols inhibits clinical judgment, especially when it comes to atypical problems. Some medical educators are concerned that excessive reliance on these protocols could make students less likely to recognize and deal with complicated clinical presentations that don’t follow standard patterns. It is easy to standardize treatment protocols. But it is difficult to standardize patients.

What began as guidelines eventually grew into requirements. In order for hospitals to maintain their Medicare certification, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services began to require their medical staff to follow these protocols or face financial retribution.

Once again, the medical profession cooperated. The American College of Surgeons helped develop Surgical Care Improvement Project (SCIP) protocols, directing surgeons as to what antibiotics they may use and the day-to-day post-operative decisions they must make. If a surgeon deviates from the guidelines, he is usually required to document in the medical record an acceptable justification for that decision.

These requirements have consequences. On more than one occasion I have seen patients develop dramatic postoperative bruising and bleeding because of protocol-mandated therapies aimed at preventing the development of blood clots in the legs after surgery. Had these therapies been left up to the clinical judgment of the surgeon, many of these patients might not have had the complication.

Operating room and endoscopy suites now must follow protocols developed by the global World Health Organization—an even more remote agency. There are protocols for cardiac catheterization, stenting, and respirator management, just to name a few.

Patients should worry about doctors trying to make symptoms fit into a standardized clinical model and ignoring the vital nuances of their complaints. Even more, they should be alarmed that the protocols being used don’t provide any measurable health benefits. Most were designed and implemented before any objective evidence existed as to their effectiveness.

A large Veterans Administration study released in March 2011 showed that SCIP protocols led to no improvement in surgical-site infection rate. If past is prologue, we should not expect the SCIP protocols to be repealed, just “improved”—or expanded, adding to the already existing glut.

These rules are being bred into the system. Young doctors and medical students are being trained to follow protocol. To them, command and control is normal. But to older physicians who have lived through the decline of medical culture, this only contributes to our angst.

One of my colleagues, a noted pulmonologist with over 30 years’ experience, fears that teaching young physicians to follow guidelines and practice protocols discourages creative medical thinking and may lead to a decrease in diagnostic and therapeutic excellence. He laments that “ ‘evidence-based’ means you are not interested in listening to anyone.” Another colleague, a North Phoenix orthopedist of many years, decries the “cookie-cutter” approach mandated by protocols.

A noted gastroenterologist who has practiced more than 35 years has a more cynical take on things. He believes that the increased regimentation and regularization of medicine is a prelude to the replacement of physicians by nurse practitioners and physician-assistants, and that these people will be even more likely to follow the directives proclaimed by regulatory bureaus. It is true that, in many cases, routine medical problems can be handled more cheaply and efficiently by paraprofessionals. But these practitioners are also limited by depth of knowledge, understanding, and experience. Patients should be able to decide for themselves if they want to be seen by a doctor. It is increasingly rare that patients are given a choice about such things.

The partners in my practice all believe that protocols and guidelines will accomplish nothing more than giving us more work to do and more rules to comply with. But they implore me to keep my mouth shut—rather than risk angering hospital administrators, insurance company executives, and the other powerful entities that control our fates.

Electronic Records and Financial Burdens

When Congress passed the stimulus, a.k.a. the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act of 2009, it included a requirement that all physicians and hospitals convert to electronic medical records (EMR) by 2014 or face Medicare reimbursement penalties. There has never been a peer-reviewed study clearly demonstrating that requiring all doctors and hospitals to switch to electronic records will decrease error and increase efficiency, but that didn’t stop Washington policymakers from repeating that claim over and over again in advance of the stimulus.

Some institutions, such as Kaiser Permanente Health Systems, the Mayo Clinic, and the Veterans Administration Hospitals, have seen big benefits after going digital voluntarily. But if the same benefits could reasonably be expected to play out universally, government coercion would not be needed.

Instead, Congress made that business decision on behalf of thousands of doctors and hospitals, who must now spend huge sums on the purchase of EMR systems and take staff off other important jobs to task them with entering thousands of old-style paper medical records into the new database. For a period of weeks or months after the new system is in place, doctors must see fewer patients as they adapt to the demands of the technology.

The persistence of price controls has coincided with a steady ratcheting down of fees for doctors. As a result, private insurance payments, which are typically pegged to Medicare payment schedules, have been ratcheting down as well. Meanwhile, Medicare’s regulatory burdens on physician practices continue to increase, adding on compliance costs. Medicare continues to demand that specific coded services be redefined and subdivided into ever-increasing levels of complexity. Harsh penalties are imposed on providers who accidentally use the wrong level code to bill for a service. Sometimes—as in the case of John Natale of Arlington, Illinois, who began a 10-month sentence in November because he miscoded bills on five patients upon whom he repaired complicated abdominal aortic aneurysms—the penalty can even include prison.

For many physicians in private practice, the EMR requirement is the final straw. Doctors are increasingly selling their practices to hospitals, thus becoming hospital employees. This allows them to offload the high costs of regulatory compliance and converting to EMR.

As doctors become shift workers, they work less intensely and watch the clock much more than they did when they were in private practice. Additionally, the doctor-patient relationship is adversely affected as doctors come to increasingly view their customers as the hospitals’ patients rather than their own.

In 2011, The New England Journal of Medicine reported that fully 50 percent of the nation’s doctors had become employees—either of hospitals, corporations, insurance companies, or the government. Just six years earlier, in 2005, more than two-thirds of doctors were in private practice. As economic pressures on the sustainability of private clinical practice continue to mount, we can expect this trend to continue.

Accountable Care Organizations

For the next 19 years, an average of 10,000 Americans will turn 65 every day, increasing the fiscal strain on Medicare. Bureaucrats are trying to deal with this partly by reinstating an old concept under a new name: Accountable Care Organization, or ACO, which harkens back to the infamous HMO system of the early 1990s.

In a nutshell, hospitals, clinics, and health care providers have been given incentives to organize into teams that will get assigned groups of 5,000 or more Medicare patients. They will be expected to follow practice guidelines and protocols approved by Medicare. If they achieve certain benchmarks established by Medicare with respect to cost, length of hospital stay, re-admissions, and other measures, they will get to share a portion of Medicare’s savings. If the reverse happens, there will be economic penalties.

Naturally, private insurance companies are following suit with non-Medicare versions of the ACO, intended primarily for new markets created by ObamaCare. In this model, an ACO is given a lump sum, or bundled payment, by the insurance company. That chunk of money is intended to cover the cost of all the care for a large group of insurance beneficiaries. The private ACOs are expected to follow the same Medicare-approved practice protocols, but all of the financial risks are assumed by the ACOs. If the ACOs keep costs down, the team of providers and hospitals reap the financial reward: surplus from the lump sum payment. If they lose money, the providers and hospitals eat the loss.

In both the Medicare and non-Medicare varieties of the ACO, cost control and compliance with centrally planned practice guidelines are the primary goal.

ACOs are meant to replace a fee-for-service payment model that critics argue encourages providers to perform more services and procedures on patients than they otherwise would do. This assumes that all providers are unethical, motivated only by the desire for money. But the salaried and prepaid models of provider-reimbursement are also subject to unethical behavior in our current system. There is no reward for increased productivity with the salary model. With the prepaid model there is actually an incentive to maximize profit by withholding services.

Each of these models has its pros and cons. In a true market-based system, where competition rewards positive results, the consumer would be free to choose among the various competing compensation arrangements.

With increasing numbers of health care providers becoming salaried employees of hospitals, that’s not likely. Instead, we’ll see greater bureaucratization. Hospitals might be able to get ACOs to work better than their ancestor HMOs, because hospital administrators will have more control over their medical staff. If doctors don’t follow the protocols and guidelines, and desired outcomes are not reached, hospitals can replace the “problem” doctors.

Doctors Going Galt?

Once free to be creative and innovative in their own practices, doctors are becoming more like assembly-line workers, constrained by rules and regulations aimed to systemize their craft. It’s no surprise that retirement is starting to look more attractive. The advent of the Affordable Care Act of 2010, which put the medical profession’s already bad trajectory on steroids, has for many doctors become the straw that broke the camel’s back.

A June 2012 survey of 36,000 doctors in active clinical practice by the Doctors and Patients Medical Association found 90 percent of doctors believe the medical system is “on the wrong track” and 83 percent are thinking about quitting. Another 85 percent said “the medical profession is in a tailspin.” 65 percent say that “government involvement is most to blame for current problems.” In addition, 2 out of 3 physicians surveyed in private clinical practice stated they were “just squeaking by or in the red financially.”

A separate survey of 2,218 physicians, conducted online by the national health care recruiter Jackson Healthcare, found that 34 percent of physicians plan to leave the field over the next decade. What’s more, 16 percent said they would retire or move to part-time in 2012. “Of those physicians who said they plan to retire or leave medicine this year,” the study noted, “56% cited economic factors and 51% cited health reform as among the major factors. Of those physicians who said they are strongly considering leaving medicine in 2012, 55% or 97 physicians, were under age 55.”

Interestingly, these surveys were completed two years after a pre-ObamaCare survey reported in The New England Journal of Medicine found 46.3 percent of primary care physicians stated passage of the new health law would “either force them out of medicine or make them want to leave medicine.”

It has certainly affected my plans. Starting in 2012, I cut back on my general surgery practice. As co-founder of my private group surgical practice in 1986, I reached an arrangement with my partners freeing me from taking night calls, weekend calls, or emergency daytime calls. I now work 40 hours per week, down from 60 or 70. While I had originally planned to practice at least another 12 to 14 years, I am now heading for an exit—and a career change—in the next four years. I didn’t sign up for the kind of medical profession that awaits me a few years from now.

Many of my generational peers in medicine have made similar arrangements, taken early retirement, or quit practice and gone to work for hospitals or as consultants to insurance companies. Some of my colleagues who practice primary care are starting cash-only “concierge” medical practices, in which they accept no Medicare, Medicaid, or any private insurance.

As old-school independent-thinking doctors leave, they are replaced by protocol-followers. Medicine in just one generation is transforming from a craft to just another rote occupation.

Medicine in the Future

In the not-too-distant future, a small but healthy market will arise for cash-only, personalized, private care. For those who can afford it, there will always be competitive, market-driven clinics, hospitals, surgicenters, and other arrangements—including “medical tourism,” whereby health care packages are offered at competitive rates in overseas medical centers. Similar healthy markets already exist in areas such as Lasik eye surgery and cosmetic procedures. The medical profession will survive and even thrive in these small private niches.

In other words, we’re about to experience the two-tiered system that already exists in most parts of the world that provide “universal coverage.” Those who have the financial means will still be able to get prompt, courteous, personalized, state-of-the-art health care from providers who consider themselves professionals. But the majority can expect long lines, mediocre and impersonal care from shift-working providers, subtle but definite rationing, and slowly deteriorating outcomes.

We already see this in Canada, where cash-only clinics are beginning to spring up, and the United Kingdom, where a small but healthy private system exists side-by-side with the National Health Service, providing high-end, fee-for-service, private health care, with little or no waiting.

Ayn Rand’s philosophical novel Atlas Shrugged describes a dystopian near-future America. One of its characters is Dr. Thomas Hendricks, a prominent and innovative neurosurgeon who one day just disappears. He could no longer be a part of a medical system that denied him autonomy and dignity. Dr. Hendricks’ warning deserves repeating:

“Let them discover the kind of doctors that their system will now produce. Let them discover, in their operating rooms and hospital wards, that it is not safe to place their lives in the hands of a man whose life they have throttled. It is not safe, if he is the sort of man who resents it—and still less safe, if he is the sort who doesn’t.”

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Jeffrey Singer
practices general surgery in Phoenix, Arizona, writes for Arizona Medicine, the journal of the Arizona Medical Association, is an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, and is treasurer of the U.S. Health Freedom Coalition.

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//As old-school independent-thinking doctors leave, they are replaced by protocol-followers.// Agreed. but will this change improve care or not? no one knows.
my guess is that care on average in the USA will improve, as the bottom 15% that causes 90% of the problems goes away, but that we will lose the top 15% at the same time, with innovation in the future coming mainly from parts of Europe or China. centers of excellence in the USA will be replaced by centers of conformance.
someday, somewhere, medicine will have another golden age, but i think it ended in the USA a few years ago.
 
future doctors are called nurses, and future doctor's offices are called WalMart.....for the masses. Concierge medicine is expanding.
 
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“Let them discover the kind of doctors that their system will now produce. Let them discover, in their operating rooms and hospital wards, that it is not safe to place their lives in the hands of a man whose life they have throttled. It is not safe, if he is the sort of man who resents it—and still less safe, if he is the sort who doesn’t.”

Prescient...
 
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What sucks to me is that the seniors will be the first to lose good care. Sad irony that they are the ones the government "saved" with Medicare.
 
Interestingly, the article never mentions the word 'quality' or the word 'uninsured', and uses the word 'measure' only once; it criticizes evidenced based medicine, but produces nothing beyond a couple of unsubstantiated opinions about how that has affected patient care. There is a healthy discourse on this topic, see, eg, http://theincidentaleconomist.com/w...e-does-not-mean-everyone-is-treated-the-same/ but you'd never know it from the cited article.

The article never mentions Kenneth Arrow's seminal article 'Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Health Care', which discusses the market failures inherent in health care markets, instead falling back on the old 'skin in the game' argument. But the article never mentions that the heavy concentration of health care costs among a few very ill patients ( see http://www.nihcm.org/pdf/DataBrief3 Final.pdf ) pretty much assures that most health care spending spending has to be funded thru insurance of some sort (meaning concierge medicine will never be more than a small niche), and, at any rate, the article never recognizes that there are plenty of high deductible plans available on the ACA exchanges, which thus guarantee skin in the game.

The article claims many doctors are planning to quit--based partly on a really bad survey http://mediamatters.org/blog/2012/07/10/comically-awful-survey-says-83-percent-of-docto/187029 -- but does not mention that med school enrollment and applications both recently hit record highs see https://www.aamc.org/newsroom/newsreleases/358410/20131024.html .
 
The article claims many doctors are planning to quit--based partly on a really bad survey http://mediamatters.org/blog/2012/07/10/comically-awful-survey-says-83-percent-of-docto/187029 -- but does not mention that med school enrollment and applications both recently hit record highs see https://www.aamc.org/newsroom/newsreleases/358410/20131024.html .

The increase in med school enrollment is explained by multiple med schools opening up recently. Most of the application increase is due to that as well as the simple increase in the general population and college population overall.
 
In response to the OP. Thank for the article. It is sobering. Although I still enjoy my work, I wouldn't counsel children to pursue a career as a physician.
 
Interestingly, the article never mentions the word 'quality' or the word 'uninsured', and uses the word 'measure' only once; it criticizes evidenced based medicine, but produces nothing beyond a couple of unsubstantiated opinions about how that has affected patient care. There is a healthy discourse on this topic, see, eg, http://theincidentaleconomist.com/w...e-does-not-mean-everyone-is-treated-the-same/ but you'd never know it from the cited article.

The article never mentions Kenneth Arrow's seminal article 'Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Health Care', which discusses the market failures inherent in health care markets, instead falling back on the old 'skin in the game' argument. But the article never mentions that the heavy concentration of health care costs among a few very ill patients ( see http://www.nihcm.org/pdf/DataBrief3 Final.pdf ) pretty much assures that most health care spending spending has to be funded thru insurance of some sort (meaning concierge medicine will never be more than a small niche), and, at any rate, the article never recognizes that there are plenty of high deductible plans available on the ACA exchanges, which thus guarantee skin in the game.

The article claims many doctors are planning to quit--based partly on a really bad survey http://mediamatters.org/blog/2012/07/10/comically-awful-survey-says-83-percent-of-docto/187029 -- but does not mention that med school enrollment and applications both recently hit record highs see https://www.aamc.org/newsroom/newsreleases/358410/20131024.html .

As if "quality" is a settled science... There are broader politics in play. While in theory "evidence-based medicine" has many aspirational goals, in practice it is used as a tool to control clinician behavior and ration care. It is never too late for MD/DO's to grab back control of the reins in health care. But, if we continue to subjugate ourselves to bureaucrats and bargain away our power, someday it might be.
 
The increase in med school enrollment is explained by multiple med schools opening up recently. Most of the application increase is due to that as well as the simple increase in the general population and college population overall.
Not entirely.

Consider law, a profession which is truly in trouble. Law school apps just hit their lowest point in 15 years, and have fallen nearly by half since the mid 2000s http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...tions-will-hit-their-lowest-point-in-15-years , while the number of law schools has been increasing http://www.thefacultylounge.org/2013/02/historical-data-total-number-of-law-students-1964-2012.html Medicine has experienced nothing like that. And don't get me started on journalism (may it RIP).

For med school, competition for admission is tougher than in the past, as measured by MCAT scores and GPA of both applicants and matriculants https://www.aamc.org/download/321494/data/factstable17.pdf If the increase in applicants were due solely to the increase in number of slots, you'd expect to see the quality of applicants decrease, as schools worked their way down the applicant list and took less desirable candidates to fill slots (this has in fact happened at law schools, where the quality of students at many schools is down). But that hasn't happened in medicine.

There has also been an increase in the number of non-US educated doctors applying for US residencies, from 10,304 in 2008 to 12,387 in 2015. See http://scepticemia.com/2013/01/08/the-usa-dream-for-imgs-coming-to-an-end-analysing-the-2012-match/ and http://www.ecfmg.org/news/2015/03/27/img-performance-in-the-2015-match/

Finally, just as a matter of intuition, I doubt the increase in the number US med schools has much bearing on the whether any specific individual applies for med school. Most applicants apply to multiple schools, and while the establishment of a school in an area previously underserved by schools might induce a very few people to apply, I doubt many people say 'Well, I wasn't going to apply to med school, but now that Hofstra has a school, I guess I will."

Medicine remains a profession that allows people to earn compensation most people can only dream of (the median household income in the US is about $52,000/year), along with respect in the community (who do you think more highly of, physicians or bankers?) and the possibility of helping people in truly need (a fringe benefit few enjoy). It's a mix few, if any, other professions can match, and so it currently attracts, and will continue to attract, quality people.
 
As if "quality" is a settled science... There are broader politics in play. While in theory "evidence-based medicine" has many aspirational goals, in practice it is used as a tool to control clinician behavior and ration care. It is never too late for MD/DO's to grab back control of the reins in health care. But, if we continue to subjugate ourselves to bureaucrats and bargain away our power, someday it might be.
I don't disagree. The cite I gave from the Incidental Economist makes the same point-- that there is potential, but as of now a lot is unsettled.
 
along with respect in the community (who do you think more highly of, physicians or bankers?) and the possibility of helping people in truly need (a fringe benefit few enjoy). It's a mix few, if any, other professions can match, and so it currently attracts, and will continue to attract, quality people.

as in "Death of a salesman", being "well liked or respected" is soooooo overrated......you want to be loved by the masses? Be an actor.
 
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The success of our healthcare system is now determined by statistics and mass media. On the backs of doctors, hordes of administrators and "leaders" are charting our path.
 
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Not entirely.

Consider law, a profession which is truly in trouble. Law school apps just hit their lowest point in 15 years, and have fallen nearly by half since the mid 2000s http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...tions-will-hit-their-lowest-point-in-15-years , while the number of law schools has been increasing http://www.thefacultylounge.org/2013/02/historical-data-total-number-of-law-students-1964-2012.html Medicine has experienced nothing like that. And don't get me started on journalism (may it RIP).

For med school, competition for admission is tougher than in the past, as measured by MCAT scores and GPA of both applicants and matriculants https://www.aamc.org/download/321494/data/factstable17.pdf If the increase in applicants were due solely to the increase in number of slots, you'd expect to see the quality of applicants decrease, as schools worked their way down the applicant list and took less desirable candidates to fill slots (this has in fact happened at law schools, where the quality of students at many schools is down). But that hasn't happened in medicine.

There has also been an increase in the number of non-US educated doctors applying for US residencies, from 10,304 in 2008 to 12,387 in 2015. See http://scepticemia.com/2013/01/08/the-usa-dream-for-imgs-coming-to-an-end-analysing-the-2012-match/ and http://www.ecfmg.org/news/2015/03/27/img-performance-in-the-2015-match/

Finally, just as a matter of intuition, I doubt the increase in the number US med schools has much bearing on the whether any specific individual applies for med school. Most applicants apply to multiple schools, and while the establishment of a school in an area previously underserved by schools might induce a very few people to apply, I doubt many people say 'Well, I wasn't going to apply to med school, but now that Hofstra has a school, I guess I will."

Medicine remains a profession that allows people to earn compensation most people can only dream of (the median household income in the US is about $52,000/year), along with respect in the community (who do you think more highly of, physicians or bankers?) and the possibility of helping people in truly need (a fringe benefit few enjoy). It's a mix few, if any, other professions can match, and so it currently attracts, and will continue to attract, quality people.

I do think that overall population growth and new medical schools are significant in this equation. Of course lots of IMGs are applying, that won't ever change even though residency slots for IMGs are drying up with the huge increase of US medical schools in the past 10 years, so very few if any residency slots will be available to IMGs by the end of the decade.

But you do have valid points about the other reasons. Medicine is still a profession where everyone is guaranteed a six figure income if they work full time and it does come with a decent amount of respect.

It's just that those rewards are so much less than they used to be for the huge sacrifice and the 11-15 years requires to become a physician. The average pay of almost every medical specialty is much lower (if including inflation) now that it was 10 years ago, 15 years ago, etc. We are in one of the only professions where you get paid less as the years go on, instead of more.
Many physicians are only making in the low $100,000 range. There are many other professions even clinical ones where you can achieve that income with far less sacrifice particularly of your twenties, but also of hours worked per week once you finish training.
I know many PAs, NPs, and nurse anesthetists making more money than primary care physicians ( and non-procedural specialists). My brother is a pharmacist and he makes more than his family pediatrician, yet his pediatrician underwent almost double the educational hours of training and works more hours/week right now than my brother the pharmacist.

And while physicians are respected in comparison to ogres like lawyers, or wall street types, that degree of respect is far less now than it was 10 or 20 years ago. A huge percentage of patients go to the doctor to "get him to do what they want", and not to ask for his respected professional advice. (The patients feels they already figured everything out from the internet). The degree of respect that I used to see physicians get in the rural town where I grew up, is gone forever.
 
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I do think that overall population growth and new medical schools are significant in this equation. Of course lots of IMGs are applying, that won't ever change even though residency slots for IMGs are drying up with the huge increase of US medical schools in the past 10 years, so very few if any residency slots will be available to IMGs by the end of the decade.

But you do have valid points about the other reasons. Medicine is still a profession where everyone is guaranteed a six figure income if they work full time and it does come with a decent amount of respect.

It's just that those rewards are so much less than they used to be for the huge sacrifice and the 11-15 years it requires to become a physicians. The average pay of almost every medical specialty is much lower (including inflation) now that it was 10 years ago, 15 years ago. We have one of the only professions where you get paid less as the years go on, instead of more.
Many physicians are only making in the low $100,000 range. There are many other professions even clinical ones where you can achieve that income with far less sacrifice particularly of your twenties, but also of hours worked per week once you finish training.
I know many PAs, NPs, and nurse anesthetists making more money than primary care physicians ( and non-procedural specialists). My brother is a pharmacist and he makes more than his family pediatrician, yet his pediatrician underwent almost double the educational hours of training and works more hours/week right now than my brother the pharmacist.

And while physicians are respected in comparison to ogres like lawyers, or wall street types, that degree of respect is far less now than it was 10 or 20 years ago. A huge percentage of patients go to the doctor to "get him to do what they want", and not to ask for his respected professional advice. (The patients feels they already figured everything out from the internet). The degree of respect that I used to see physicians get in the rural town where I grew up, is gone forever.

I totally agree with this. Physicians are now more than ever under increased scruitany from everywhere and constantly demonized by the media. At my last practice the administration had us hand out "health grade" cards to provide patients that we felt we had a positive interaction with. In essence we were reduced to no better than car salesman begging patients to rate us satisfactorily for fear of what would pop up when our names were googled. This is a state that physicians never had to deal with before.

While the comparison with the legal profession is commonly made, it should be considered that they, for the most part also have many years fewer of actual training before they can practice and many lawyers land very cush state or federal jobs where they are awarded nice pensions upon retirement.

Sadly, as Hillary has a personal vendetta against physicians, it is doubtful that the situation for us will get any better as time goes on.
 
This article could have been constructive but instead it comes off as a crochety old surgeon with a libertarian bent who thinks the commies have infiltrated medicine. One guess as to who really screwed you over buddy.... And here is a hint. They aren't in Washington DC. They 300 miles north on the most powerful street in the world and they could care less about you or your patients.
 
as in "Death of a salesman", being "well liked or respected" is soooooo overrated......you want to be loved by the masses? Be an actor.
Disagree. I don't yearn to be loved by the masses, and never suggested physicians were loved by the masses, but respect and its flipside of doing something regarded as being valuable both have a lot of value. I've never understood how executives of tobacco companies can go home and kiss their spouses and kids.
 
In my cynical mind the lawyers and politicians are the realists, and the physicians are ideologues. One side makes the rules and uses the other.
 
The success of our healthcare system is now determined by statistics and mass media. On the backs of doctors, hordes of administrators and "leaders" are charting our path.

it all feels like someone died and we're waiting around for the funeral to be announced
 
really?

did you bang your head against a structure of brick, stone, etc., that surrounds an area or separates one area from another when you read the post?

:bang:


:)
 
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