The solution is simple (and may be beginning). Rapidly increase the amount of medical graduates while inhibiting any increase in residency positions. Residencies become more competitive and PCPs increase.
Another option is to let nurses and PAs take over the PCP role.
no, this won't work. it's not like there are thousands of FM residency slots that go vacant every year. the
total number of unfilled residency slots last year was ~1,000, and 40% of those were prelim surgery years, which are considered undesirable for reasons unconnected to the PCP crisis. All your plan would do is decrease the number of IMG/DOs that match.
NP/PA is an option - but not a good one.
Completely untrue. People don't go into family medicine because the money sucks (although it does), people don't go into FM because they don't find it interesting.
if you were to double the compensation for FM, many more medical students would find it "interesting," trust me. Students at most US medical schools don't give FM the time of day because 1) it's not very lucrative, 2) it's not considered very prestigious. I leave it to you to determine to what degree (1) influences (2).
An example from history: forty years ago, you couldn't give away derm residencies in this country. It was considered a good place to put people who were too stupid/lazy for IM, a place where they couldn't do any harm. Then, dermatology discovered procedures and how to turn them into a business. Now it's arguably the most competitive residency out there.
US grads will continue to not want to go into primary care. Why? Because most medical schools select people for admission who are not personality-compatible with FM/primary care.
this i agree with 100%, but i still believe you could redirect their "passions" with more money.
The cost of this defensive medicine is only $46B for a $2.4T sector. This is very miniscule, but I appreciate your answer.
you misunderstood Cruzin's post: he was commenting on how procedure-driven the current Medicare reimbursement model is. Specialists make more money for doing more procedures, so there is a natural inclination for specialists to make their practices more procedure-driven as well. Electrophysiologists make lots more money than your plain-jane cardiologists because of the additional procedures the fellowship trains them for.
In contrast, PCP practices involve fewer procedures, and this is a major reason why they make less money.
Given that there are only 18,000 docs that graduate every year, 25,000 spots available is not bad.
I'm not sure if this 18,000 includes DOs, or FMGs.
I'm not sure how we get 30,000 applicants a year, frankly given the 18,000 grads/year.
the 18,000 are US MD 4th years. the other 12k are everyone else: IMG/DO/Canadian/non-4th yr US MDs.
so where does this leave us? We need more doctors, and more PCPs in particular. The bottleneck is in the number of residency slots, which are paid for by Medicare and the number is set by Federal law. That number hasn't increased in over ten years, supposedly because of the expense. In that time, the population has increased 12% and a large number of aging doctors are about to retire at the same time as the rest of their demographic cohort - and they will all want their Medicare.
The fanfare surrounding the AMA's increase in the number of seats at MD schools is cynical at best unless we can increase the number of residency slots as well. We also need a new reimbursement model that more accurately reflects the time and expertise it takes for PCPs to do their jobs well.
edit: lol the two peeps above me made the same points in the time it took me to bang all that out. oh well.