@gonnif What do you think about the fact that 25/60=42% reapply after rejection (meaning 58% don't)?
Just to get some numbers to this: Currently some 16,000-17,000 people do not reapply by a very ball park figure. Reapplications can be from various previous cycles so this number non reapply number is likely higher so lets use 18,000 for the example (note: in AAMC charts, reapplication means an applicant who applied to to any school in any previous cycle. This is different than how the term is used for an individual applicant at an individual school)
Some went to DO and some went off-shore and likely the same applicant pool provided most of DPM (podiatry). There is surprisingly little overlap of applicant pool in PA/NP and MD/DO. Some may have gone into other academic pursuits to enhance medical school chances and either didnt finish that or simply stayed in that area. Obviously with the work of say redoing an MCAT, reapplying AMCAS and the cost, or getting PB/SMP didnt do so or didnt complete it.
While success of individuals across MD and DO could be tracked an analyzed via AMCAS MCAT ID, it isnt done so across the systems. TMDSAS success is tracked within AAMC stats as all the schools are members. This 2012 survey for DO
applicants is rather skewed in generalized results (about 25% responded) as compared with the MD
matriculant survey (where over 50% responded). Here 3200 responded and 2400 got accepted somewhere, which clearly indicates the successful DO applicants replied I would imagine that both successful MD matriculants and those who had no DO success would be less likely to respond. In 2016, there were about 20,700 DO applicants and about 6800 matriculants. A very crude extrapolation from the below would say 75% applied to both MD/DO and likely over 50% of the total but less than 75% got accepted to DO while rejected by US MD. So that is anywhere from 3000-3600 from last cycle who were rejected from US MD but got into DO
In 2016, there were 7300 US-IMGs applying to residency. Assuming an attrition and/or other failure rate of 30%, that would be 10,000 US Citizens went to off shore schools. Presumably a large percent had applied to US MD schools and didnt get in, as a complete guesstimate 75% or 7500.
Podiatry is rather small with 1200 applying and 500-600 enrolling. at least half of enrollees likely applied to MD at some point, so 300.
These numbers would account for 11,000 at least of the 18,000, likely more, so lets say 12,000. I can easily see 1/4- 1/3 of the rejected applicants just dropping out from the task of either PB/SMP, redoing MCAT or simply redoing AMCAS. And some go on to other pursuits, especially research. That more or less accounts for all of them
www.aacom.org/docs/default-source/archive-data-and-trends/2012-apps-to-us-and-offshore.pdf?sfvrsn=14#page=4
