After reading these forums, it seems that there is a large oversupply of optometrists. However, wouldn't that mean many optometrists are unemployed and looking for work? Correct me if I'm wrong, but I hardly think that's the case. There always seem to be tons of job opportunities and fill-ins available for optometrists. Does "oversupply" in these forums just mean that "there are a lot"?
This is a good question, and it brings up a point that is very much worth addressing.
You are right....we probably do not have a "true" oversupply of optometrists. At the very least, we don't have an oversupply in the sense that an economist would use that term because we don't have ODs on the breadlines or defaulting on their student loans with regularity.
However, my perception that we have an oversupply comes from the following observations and experiences:
1: In order to get an examination for a non-urgent routine matter with virtually every type of specialist out there requires a significant waiting time in virtually every corner of the country. Contrast that with optometry and you will find that you can get a non-emergent appointment in 95% of the country within two days and within a 1/2 hour drive from where you live. Many ODs have large yellow page ads proudly declaring "WALK INS WELCOME."
2: The AOAs own manpower study has shown TWICE that the current supply of optometrists is outpacing demand for optometric services and is projected to do so for the next 30 years. This is AOAs OWN DATA. This isn't something made up by disgruntled ODs. This is something that the AOA itself has declared through it's own studies. Supply is outpacing demand....and yet we are going to add three more schools to the OD production lines within the next 3 years.
3: The simple fact that you have people with 4 year post graduate degrees clamoring over themselves to get that coveted "lease" so that they can work evenings and weekends at the mall or in Walmart pretty much says something. Some of the ODs in these situations are content, and make decent money. The vast majority of them aren't, and it's not too hard to see why. Some of these arrangements can be lucrative but most of them net in the low six figures and I can't speak for you or anyone else but I would imagine that the majority of you students out there aren't sitting in your first and second year classes eagerly awaiting graduation so you can get out there at hit that mall or Walmart.
4: During the past 6 years in my area, there have been approximately a dozen different medical specialists that opened practices cold. All of these practices were booked out weeks in advanced before they even opened the DOOR. Contrast that with trying to start an optometric practice from scratch and you will find that the majority of them are scrounging for patients and aren't even profitable for the first 5 years. That doesn't mean that they ultimately fail....but it is a lot harder to make a go of it in optometry than virtually every other speciality out there. Want to hazard a guess at why? "Walk ins welcome."
5: As technology advances, more and more patient care can be delegated to "non-doctor" providers which means that fewer and fewer doctors will be able to handle more and more patients. This is only going to exacerbate the oversupply problem.
I am a partner in a successful private practice. I make fantastic money. But it was INCREDIBLY difficult to find a situation like mine and I wish I could say that I got it through some sort of shrewdness or brilliance on my part but the fact is I pretty much fell into it. The only thing that I can give myself credit for was that I took a sabbatical from optometry for a while and I know that there were many doctors who looked at purchasing the practice that I am now a partner in. They were all scared off by the high asking price and my time away from optometry allowed me to see that opportunity for what was......a good one. So I took it and it's worked out great. But again.....tremendous difficulty finding it and tremendously lucky to be in the right place at the right time.