Likelihood of SOAPing into Preliminary Surgery spot?

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I noticed that in the Post-Match NRMP data, there are nearly 100s of spots left over in the Pre-liminary Surgery positions all across the US. Is it reliable enough for me to expect that I will be able to secure a Prelim Surg spot since there are so many openings available across the US? I am most interested in pursuing Anesthesia for my PGY-2 after finishing a Pre-lim surg year btw. How realistic is this approach as a multiple board failure student? Thank you in advance for your thoughts and advice

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Most of those spots end up in the hands of people who have advanced residency spots waiting for them. If you're a weak candidate, it's something to consider trying, but realistically you should apply to Anesthesia at the same time. If you don't have an advanced residency spot, it seems like quite a bit of especcially the non-academic centers will use prelims as cheap labor and throw them away without trying to get them into a surgical residency (or any residency, FWIW).
 
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In regards to OP, somebody trying to match anesthesia but nervous about matching (especially if they don't match) in a field like that (which is generally not considered competitive at this point), that's what I'd consider a weak candidate. OP, as a multiple board failure student, unfortunately falls into the above category.
As long as OP applied appropriately broadly, got documents in on time, etc. etc. and is still having issues securing a spot in anesthesia.

There are no real metrics from what I can tell. While it's more organized than what the scramble seemed to be, it still seems like a crap-shoot on what open programs in the SOAP are looking for. I figured they would prioritize people who have an advanced position locked in, and they likely generally favor that, but from n=1, the one spot we filled post-match and post-soap was by an undesignated prelim over multiple candidates that had advanced positions locked in.
 
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