Could there be a stipulation where she had to reveal herself to save herself from the Lynch?
It's possible (anything is possible, especially with
@WildZoo modding), but I haven't seen/heard of any games where a wolf had to out themselves to use their power.
Some things that immediately come to mind --
Dandy is the first one who said we shouldn't lynch Coffee. I am going to assume that's because she affiliation seered her. Later on, Stagg also recommended we not lynch Coffee - had he been PMing with Dandy or communicating with her in some way? Or, (genuine question) is there a role that has the ability to tell when someone's been seered? There's a possibility that Coffee could not be seered (though I'm not sure why that would lead Dandy to telling us not to lynch her) or that Dandy was given a false result when she seered her (is the latter a thing?).
I haven't thought too far into this but at first glance I'm wondering if the transmission is from Dandy as well. Perhaps wondering why she didn't answer the question of why we shouldn't lynch Coffee, that her role was precious, and that she had two or three different people she had in mind to seer. Not sure, but just my first thoughts.
I am inclined not to look at Coffee anymore today but I would like to hear from her if she is able.
So since Dandy is dead, I'll give my thoughts on that situation:
Dandy came out and said we needed to lynch Grebes and shortly afterwards said she was certain she was a wolf. After Grebes kept pushing her, she basically outed herself as a seer by saying something like "I'm more than 100% sure she is a wolf". The only a person can be "100% certain" that I can think of is through an item, her being an affiliation seer, or Grebes slipping up and outing herself. Grebes didn't slip up from what I saw and there were already a lot of items which supposedly existed, which made it most likely she had a seer role. When Grebes flipped wolf it suggested Dandy did have some form of seering capability. When Dandy commented later in the day yesterday (a little after 7pm correct standard time) suggesting we not lynch coffee I took it as her being the seer, as an item would typically be a 1x thing. I'm assuming she seered Coffee on N1 and didn't share results because it wasn't necessary, then seered Grebes on N2 who she immediately outed and suggest we vote for. Yes, she could have been a wolf who claimed to seer Grebes, but that would be a HUGE risk and a major power move for that early in the game. Additionally, if someone else was the real seer, they should know that something was up with Dandy.
The idea that Dandy got a false result is certainly possible, as being an "unseerable wolf" is a thing (however this usually sends back results saying "you couldn't seer this person"). From doing some reading, there is also a role called "werekitten" which appears as a villager to those who seer her but is actually a wolf. So it is possible. However, if Coffee were a wolf, that would mean that Dandy seered 2 wolves in the first two nights in a row AND one of them just so happened to be unseerable. So while it's possible, the likelihood of that is very low. Which is why I suggested we not lynch Coffee y/day. Given the results from last lynch and Coffee's claimed role, I've got her sitting in my village pile for now.
I am inclined to believe pickles is an Alpha wolf right now.
If she was a regular wolf, I would think this morning's write-up would have reported her as having been successfully lynched because she was in the lynch lead at the end of D3. However, pickles has not been reported dead this morning. Instead, she has been listed as alive in the write-up. After the close of D3, she has been chattering and mocking other players (e.g., M935) and causing lots of grief. So, I'm inclined to believe she is an Alpha wolf. I don't want to waste lynch votes on pickles if we need to lynch every other wolf in this game first before pickles is 100% dead.
I'm also interested in hearing about others' thoughts about pickles at this time
Also ...
Leaning village on Stagg, Ziggy, Coffee, M935.
I agree that she is likely alpha, as it would have been a bad move to out herself if she only had a 1x lynch avoidance. However, this is the noob game and there have been plenty of major mistakes so far, so I'm not counting it out. Either way, we need to decide as a village if we are going to take the general veteran advice of "If it doesn't die, kill it twice" or agree that she is likely an alpha and hunt for other wolves first.
I said this previously but it will be good to sum it up again. When I was infected with the microbe, I couldn't talk clearly. I was pretty dang sure grebes was a wolf and I was (am) suspicious of you. I was trying to get this across in my Lynch votes waffling between you and grebes in case I was killed.
After grebes was killed, I switched it to you. Upon further events, pickles and mutts seemed more suspicious to me then you did. So, I switched to pickles and stayed there till she was unsuccessfully lynched.
Shelter has hard vouched for em. How do you feel about that. Does that change your views on either of them?
I am but he's not helpful and he just tries to recommend I Lynch random people. Lol
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Is he telling you to keep waffling? If so, him and
@PippyPony would get along very well.