Odds of matching at your #1

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Eklipse

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Anyone know what percentage of people applying to EM match at the #1 on their ROL?

I know, in the match in general, the percentages are ~60% get their first choice, ~75% get into one of their top two, ~85% get into their top three, etc.

Maybe one of the PD knows this info? Would be nice to know what our odds are.

I've heard a lot of people on this forum throw around, "If I include 8 places on my ROL, I'm sure to match" but not sure where that comes from.

Thanks for any insight anyone has.
 
Eklipse said:
Anyone know what percentage of people applying to EM match at the #1 on their ROL?

I know, in the match in general, the percentages are ~60% get their first choice, ~75% get into one of their top two, ~85% get into their top three, etc.

Maybe one of the PD knows this info? Would be nice to know what our odds are.

I've heard a lot of people on this forum throw around, "If I include 8 places on my ROL, I'm sure to match" but not sure where that comes from.

Thanks for any insight anyone has.

The percentages of people matching at their top choice can be deceptive. For example, the results often depend on the type of program that an applicant chooses. If the program is very competitive, the likelihood of matching is less than at a less competitive program. If an applicant chooses a safer choice, the percentage will increase.
 
Also some people dont even get an interview at their "real" #1. This really depends on the individual but I would imagine in EM 60% is about right. A stellar performance on a 4th yr rotation can go a long way.
 
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