# of total predicted apps according to AMCAS

[jargon124]

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This past Tuesday, I was interviewing at my state school (UA) and the admissions lady who was running an orientation session for us mentioned that she had just gotten an email from AMCAS that mentioned that they are predicting that the total number of completed apps will be 35000 ballpark - looks like they are expecting lots of late submiters...just thought I'd pass that tidbit along...

 

[katiep]

What's the latest on the number already submitted? I'm not even going to mention verified or processed. That's probably something like 2.

 

[SMW]

25,200 according to the thread entitled "Another AMCAS phone conversation." Probably only about 5,000 verified so far, most of which are EDP. Maybe 1600-1700 Regular MD applicants verified so far. I think they're not going to have as many applications as they're expecting. 😀

 

[cubsfan]

To add to this discussion, I called BU yesterday to do a status check. Everything is in except my AMCAS application. That's right...BU has received zero AMCAS applications.

 

[kobe8]

I spoke with BU last week and they recieved my veriefied app. You may want to check again.

 

[ewells]

Jargon, were you in the morning or afternoon session. I was the male in the morning session.
I will be very surprised if they get that many apps. I know a few people who were so put off by AMCAS that did not finish their application.

 

[jargon124]

ewells,

I agree that 35K seems ambitious. I would bet that 32K is more in line with what the real number will be. However, beware that lower number of apps in this case does not correspond directly to better admissions odds. People who are so frustrated with AMCAS that they give up altogether are, in my opinion, not likely to have made for strong candidates anyway.
By the way, I was in the second interview group this past tuesday (male w/ brown suit). Good luck...

 

[SMW]

Wait a minute, if fewer people apply, the odds have to be better! It's just that (maybe) the bottom of the pool is self-selecting itself out. Correct me if I'm wrong.

 

[jargon124]

SMW,

I would argue that the "bottom of the pool" does not really count as competitive apps and therefore it makes no difference whether they are there or not. The portion of the total app pool that is made up of this type of app is simply fluff. Therefore, though the odds seem statistically better, there is no appreciable difference that results from these "weak apps" dropping out...just my opinion - though I think it makes sense.

 

[ewells]

Jargon, I agree. In fact we were talking about that while we were waiting for orientation to begin.