I don't know, Steph. I feel pretty confident in my prediction that people will still have eyes in 20 years
As far as the future of rad onc is concerned, I have two thoughts. One, if cancer is cured in our lifetime, I'll gladly pack it in and find something else to do. Two, I just don't see it happening. Unless everyone puts down their cigarettes today, I'll still be seeing lung, head and neck, bladder ca, etc. for the forseeable future. I'll actually be able to contribute to curing a fair number of them, so that's kind of nice. Breast cancer will likely not be eradicated, but it's nice that we're now catching it early, and we've got great evidence that 1) No
current (I know, I know, we have no crystal ball) chemo or hormonal therapy can take the place of radiation in BCT, and 2) radiation confers a
survival benefit in this population (at least according to the newest EBCTCG data; check out this months Lancet). One notable exception is cervical cancer. If this vaccine is as good as advertised, we could potentially turn this one into a historical footnote. That's pretty exciting.
...which is just a convoluted way of saying that rad onc will certainly not come crashing to a halt in the forseeable future. Improvements in chemo and surgery may change our role in management in certain areas, but the three modalities are inextricably linked when it comes to standard of care in oncology.
As for the job market, my chiefs have had no problems, but talk to me again in three years...