Although I think it’s getting more competitive stats wise, I think the competition for getting a spot is remaining relatively constant. New Psych residencies have been opening enough to keep up with the new demand.
(Based on counting number of MD applicants on the rise compared to how many new positions have become available.)
I'd actually argue the opposite. If you look at the match data for the past 4 years, the average Step 1 score has only gone up 2-3 points but the number of unmatched people all around declined pretty significantly just from 2014 to 2016. For USMDs the match rate dropped from 96% to 90%. For "independent" applicants (non-USMDS) it dropped from 49% match rate to 40% in 2016 (with DOs having a 77.4% rate, US IMGs having a 32.3% rate, and non-US IMGs only matching at a 28.7% rate).
Additionally in 2016 there were 1,384 categorical psychiatry positions available and 11 remained unfilled after the match. In 2017, there were 1,495 positions available (111 more) and only 4 positions remained unfilled after the match. So even with more positions, there were less that remained unfilled in addition to those lower match rates. Meaning there is greater scarcity.
Exactly, that's the reason I started this thread. I'm just looking for some objective numbers to base in terms of what's a poor score or not. I'm getting the vibe that a USMLE score of 210+ would make it more valuable to have. But below a 210 it would be better to leave to a vague interpretation of a 450 COMLEX equaling roughly a 220 ish in any PD's minds (low tier or whatever) that may assume the case.
Do others agree with this?
That was my strategy, misguided or not. I told myself if I could hit at least a 215 on 2 NBMEs beforehand I'd take it, if not I'd cancel. Didn't hit that on my practice exams and didn't take Step 1. Ended up with enough interviews where I met the "point of diminishing returns" in terms of volume even with a mediocre Level 1. So far no regrets, but we'll see how it ultimately works out in less than 3 weeks
If your COMLEX score is <500 with no USMLE, you better use FM as a back up plan... Did not apply to psych, but the PD at my home institution said he would not be a huge surprise to him if step1 average for psych is 228-230 when the new charting the outcomes comes out later this year...
Disagree. I had a <500 Level 1 (won't get more detailed than that) and had plenty of interviews, at least enough that I'm not concerned about not matching (and statistically should not be). Certainly having a decent Step 1 is better than not having one at all, but I'd rather not have a Step 1 with a meh Level 1 than have a strong Level 1 (or any Level 1) with a terrible Step 1 score.
If that's the case, I'd recommend someone applying to more programs and more broadly than most other people will have to, but I don't believe the field is to the point where FM is needed as a back-up unless one is either very picky about what programs they want or have a seriously damaged application.
Actual psych attendings can say whether or not they feel I'm off on any of these points, but I scoured the data and irl resources pretty heavily before the match season because I wanted to make sure I had the best shot at matching psych that I possibly could.
@MADD!!! , I think I'd be considered somewhat of an underdog even in psych given my application (DO with less than stellar stats), so I'd be happy to tell you what I did for the match this year and how it worked out if you want to PM.