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No doubt that USMLE is harder to pass. But in my experience, a DO student who intends to take step 1 but gets owned by a couple weeks of uworld just gives up because they think they won’t do well and have the option to not try. If we fail step 1, it’s a bigger red flag than not trying. When this exact same thing happens to MD students, they just have to suck it up. A lot of MD students would skip step1 if they could, too.That's not what the best data available would suggest. Every study that's looked at the correlation between USMLE and COMLEX has shown that exam performance tends to correlate (with some scatter, of course), and that the minimum pass rate for COMLEX is somewhat below that of USMLE.
For example:
The Use of COMLEX-USA and USMLE for Residency Applicant Selection This study looked at three different schools. They only performed a pearson's correlation and not a regression, but you can look at their image and see the results. If you draw a line down the middle of their elipse (on the graph), you'll see that the minimum pass of USMLE 194 is well above the minimum pass of COMLEX (400). They also include a 2x2 table of pass/fail for the two exams, show moderate correlation (a stretch, at best) with the majority of the discordance a pass on COMLEX and a fail on USMLE.
Reliability and validity of conversion formulas between comprehensive osteopathic medical licensing examination of the United States level 1 and Un... - PubMed - NCBI This article looks at only a single school but over a large number of years. You can take their regression formula and plug in a USMLE of 194, and you'll get a COMLEX of 440 or so.
There are many more, all show the same thing. They all are hampered by similar problems -- not all DO's take both exams, and difficulty getting a non-biased sample (either all one school, or all applying to one residency program, etc). Proponents will point out that the pass rate on S1 is basically equal for MD and DO now, clearly improved over the years. But if those that score poorly on the COMLEX are more likely to forgo the USMLE, then that statistic may be biased upwards.
So I don't expect COMLEX to go anywhere, as I think schools would be very concerned about ultimate pass rates on USMLE alone.
If we were all forced to take step 1 I think we could pass at a similar rate to MD students and comlex first time pass rates would be in the 90s nationwide. We would have lower averages over all as our curricula are probably inferior and our students are on average a little weaker academically.
Edit: beat me to it.I think what he is saying is that there is no pressure to rise to the occasion because of a mandatory test/hurdle. I don't know if I agree that all DO students would pass but I do agree for these FM or bust types it might be hard to put effort into something you know you don't need to actually do such as a second non-mandatory board exam.