To Medical Students Considering Rad Onc - Perspectives on the Future by an Optimist

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I am a rising senior in radiation oncology residency who does not regret my decision to pursue this field.

Like many, I have been surprised to see the dramatic decline in residency applications, and after being made aware of what is being written on these forums, I want to provide an opposing perspective that I feel is not being adequately represented. There are a few thousand radiation oncologists in this country, and the crisis represented on these threads seems to be perpetuated primarily by a small number of active users. I do not feel this necessarily accurately reflects the sentiment of the larger radiation community.

Medical students are tasked with making life-changing specialty decisions with limited information. In the specialty search, there are many specialty-specific concerns to be aware of. The job market is (and has been) tough in rad onc compared to some other specialties, but this is not a new problem facing the field. You will find similar dooms-day type posts in nearly all other specialty-specific forums about how radiologists are being outsourced, or CRNAs taking over in anesthesia, primary care being pushed aside by mid-levels etc. There is almost no specialty without at least one significant threat or drawback.

A recent red journal article/survey found that almost two-thirds of all recent graduates found a job that met ALL of their desired metrics (salary, disease site, geography etc), with most residents finding jobs that met at least most of their top 3 job considerations. https://www.redjournal.org/article/S0360-3016(19)33454-6/fulltext. Nearly all surveyed found a job. Furthermore, anecdotally, the job market this year, right now, has been the strongest it has been in 10 years.

Are there some jobs that are less desirable than others – certainly. However, again, that absolutely holds true in any specialty. I suspect you are hearing disproportionately from those who are not satisfied.

Regarding expansion, at least 2 of the 3 "top programs" are apparently cutting residency slots simply in efforts to combat the expansion this year with many others expected to follow this year and next. Many smaller programs will undoubtedly close as the ACGME is mandating stricter requirements (dedicated rad bio faculty, 6 clinical faculty, etc) on residency programs. The reversal to the over-expansion is going to happen – the market is clearly asking for it.

Another common concern was the low board pass rate last year. The physics/rad bio pass rate this year was 99% after they adjusted the scoring methodology from last year. 2018 was a mistake and an anomaly I doubt the ABR will make again.

Radiation oncology as a cancer treatment is simply not going anywhere – we are simply too important in too many different diseases processes. We absolutely remain in high demand. Med onc's and radiologists simply cannot do this job without the specialty training that we have. We are using radiation more now than ever before with advances in immunotherapy, as patients live longer, we now see the benefits of treating oligometastatic sites. It is a fulfilling specialty with great work hours and excellent compensation. MGMA median compensation in rad onc was nearly 500k in 2018. I often hear of job that surpass this. Nobody regularly works nights, weekends, or holidays. We treat, often cure, cancer patients. To me, this is fulfilling work.

A recent thread stated, “the demand for rad onc just died,” after discussion that CMS is modifying the supervision level required in hospital-associated practices. This view could not be more pessimistic and in my opinion, wrong. While some of the concerns are valid, I am skeptical this will have the catastrophic effect so confidently predicted. Perhaps there will be a decrease in demand/staffing in rural practices - it is just too early to know. However, I suspect many practices will not be interested in the increased liability or operational troubles associated with leaving facilities un-supervised, particularly for SBRTs. I predict this rule is ultimately amended in the future but we will see. Regardless, for many already in established practices, this will be a welcome change due to the increased flexibility.

Medicine is changing – large health systems are taking control and CMS is in control of our future. This is unwelcome; however, the reality is that this issue is again not specific to rad onc. Bundled payments will ultimately extend well beyond radiation. Most specialists are going to make less money. I urge you caution to base long term life decisions on the posts of a few strangers on the internet. In my opinion, a healthy majority of us are happy and would do it again the same way. It is unfortunate to see so many med students who are passionate about radiation ultimately choose other specialties based on what I consider to be a pessimistic vocal minority. Be aware of the issues facing any specialty when you apply, but I would still advocate that there is more good than bad in rad onc, and is still a great career path. I predict SDN ends up damaging the perception and perhaps even the field as a whole onc more than these underlying issues ever would have.

I suspect the majority of replies will disagree with my perspective, but in a sense that is exactly my point.

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My bad, I thought this was to help me learn on how to finally get my patients to start using optune! It’s been a hard sell from my end.
 
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There are a few thousand radiation oncologists in this country, and the crisis represented on these threads seems to be perpetuated primarily by a small number of active users. I do not feel this necessarily accurately reflects the sentiment of the larger radiation community.

did you check out the recent ARRO survey? You know, made up of YOUR fellow residents





The job market is (and has been) tough in rad onc compared to some other specialties, but this is not a new problem facing the field. You will find similar dooms-day type posts in nearly all other specialty-specific forums about how radiologists are being outsourced, or CRNAs taking over in anesthesia, primary care being pushed
aside by mid-levels etc. There is almost no specialty without at least one significant threat or drawback.

Except rads doesn't have hypofx in their field, just secular growth in imaging demand every single year. AI is still far off and rads wasn't using labor to the same degree we were to remain complaint with CMS supervision reqs

A recent red journal article/survey found that almost two-thirds of all recent graduates found a job that met ALL of their desired metrics (salary, disease site, geography etc), with most residents finding jobs that met at least most of their top 3 job considerations. https://www.redjournal.org/article/S0360-3016(19)33454-6/fulltext. Nearly all surveyed found a job. Furthermore, anecdotally, the job market this year, right now, has been the strongest it has been in 10 years.

See above. The survey was quite flawed:

It is worth noting that this survey did not further clarify “type” of job and was sent only to chief residents in each residency class

Also more of your fellow residents are taking exploitative fellowships





A recent thread stated, “the demand for rad onc just died,” after discussion that CMS is modifying the supervision level required in hospital-associated practices. This view could not be more pessimistic and in my opinion, wrong. While some of the concerns are valid

You're contradicting yourself and speaking from a position of 0 real world practice experience

However, I suspect many practices will not be interested in the increased liability or operational troubles associated with leaving facilities un-supervised, particularly for SBRTs. I predict this rule is ultimately amended

Why? CMS is trying to cut labor costs and improve coverage in rural markets. Rad onc used to have "general supervision" standards at the turn of the century.

I urge you caution to base long term life decisions on the posts of a few strangers on the internet. In my opinion, a healthy majority of us are happy and would do it again the same way

Aren't you a stranger? Any data to support your second statement?

. It is unfortunate to see so many med students who are passionate about radiation ultimately choose other specialties based on what I consider to be a pessimistic vocal minority. Be aware of the issues facing any specialty when you apply, but I would still advocate that there is more good than bad in rad onc, and is still a great career path. I predict SDN ends up damaging the perception and perhaps even the field as a whole onc more than these underlying issues ever would have.

realistic, not pessimistic. SDN cast a light on this problem years ago.

Really are you optimistic about this??

According to the National Resident Matching Program (NRMP), the number of positions offered annually in the Match has increased by 227% since 2001 (93 versus 211; Fig. 4).9 Although there are significant limitations to any future projections of supply and demand, this rapid increase in resident complement seems to exceed any projected increase in demand for radiation therapy

Regarding the rest of your post.... You know what they say about opinions...
 
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did you check out the recent ARRO survey? You know, made up of YOUR fellow residents







Except rads doesn't have hypofx in their field, just secular growth in imaging demand every single year. AI is still far off and rads wasn't using labor to the same degree we were to remain complaint with CMS supervision reqs



See above. The survey was quite flawed:



Also more of your fellow residents are taking exploitative fellowships







You're contradicting yourself and speaking from a position of 0 real world practice experience



Why? CMS is trying to cut labor costs and improve coverage in rural markets. Rad onc used to have "general supervision" standards at the turn of the century.



Aren't you a stranger? Any data to support your second statement?



realistic, not pessimistic. SDN cast a light on this problem years ago.

Regardingt therest of your post.... You know what they say about opinions...



No kidding. Let us know how your job search turns out next year. That would be far more valuable to rising med students than anything you've posted so far



Why the need to be so antagonistic. People are allowed to be optimistic about the future. The “Nobody regularly works nights, weekends, or holidays. We treat, often cure, cancer patients. To me, this is fulfilling work” is true and an optimist will find good fulfillment in exactly these elements even if other components are more difficult or complicated
 
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Why the need to be so antagonistic. People are allowed to be optimistic about the future. The “Nobody regularly works nights, weekends, or holidays. We treat, often cure, cancer patients. To me, this is fulfilling work” is true and an optimist will find good fulfillment in exactly these elements even if other components are more difficult or complicated
Sure, but that's all theoretical assuming you get a decent job in a decent location.

We all know it's a great field and no one on SDN has ever questioned that. I love my job. I really do. Unfortunately jobs like mine are like unicorns these days.

What's the point of being optimistic if you don't find a job during senior year and get forced into some unaccredited fellowship or exploitative job situation?

This is reality:

According to the National Resident Matching Program (NRMP), the number of positions offered annually in the Match has increased by 227% since 2001 (93 versus 211; Fig. 4).9 Although there are significant limitations to any future projections of supply and demand, this rapid increase in resident complement seems to exceed any projected increase in demand for radiation therapy
 
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Sure, but that's all theoretical assuming you get a decent job in a decent location.

We all know it's a great field and no one on SDN has ever questioned that. I love my job. I really do. Unfortunately jobs like mine are like unicorns these days.

What's the point of being optimistic if you don't find a job during senior year and get forced into some unaccredited fellowship or exploitative job situation?

This is reality:
I entered training around 2001 and the job search was not a cakewalk. Would hate to think of what it is now. It should be abundantly clear that need for radoncs did not more than double with advent of hypofractionation, but residencies did.
Again medstudents are not being swayed by malcontents. The case is a logical slam dunk and acknowledged now by chairwoman of abr residency review committee who is also ASTRO treasurer.
 
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I entered training around this that time and the job search was not a cakewalk. Would hate to think of what it is now.
Yup, had my malignant mulligan of a job too back then straight out of training, when we were only graduating 120/year or so, before finding my current one which I feel lucky to have found all things considered.
 
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I find the replies by medgator and rad0nccc pretty antagonistic. Why so angry? This person is just posting their opinion/view. It's a needed opposing view.

This is not right, especially when the common complaint here is that people on Twitter gang up on opposing views.
 
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Disagree with the SDN member's comments if you would like, not who they are or where they are this stage in their career. User warned for inflammatory comments.

Disagreeing on opinions is allowed. Users are reminded to keep their comments civil to one another despite any disagreements you may have in ideology.

To OP - I think it's valuable for medical students to have regular refreshers to the positives of our field, and I agree with you on your points as to why I would also go into this field again, despite the fact that I feel that this field is nowhere near perfect. Despite all of the issues this field has, I would, personally, not go into another field even if I was a MS4 this year. But, that does not mean that we cannot try to make our field better and more sustainable for future generations.

Here's the thing I really disagree with you on - on the difference that requiring direct vs general supervision will have on the job market - the majority of this country is still treated outside of where most of us do our residencies. The places that pay well now generally do so because of the issues in requiring coverage. I personally think that removing that supervision requirement is bad for the job market in terms of availability of jobs for new grads. Individual practices will now no longer require linac baby-sitters. The majority of the locums market will have dried up overnight.
 
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I find the replies by medgator and rad0nccc pretty antagonistic. Why so angry? This person is just posting their opinion/view. It's a needed opposing view.
Except they are using survey data that doesn't support their view. We are simply calling them out on it.

Many of us were exploited in our first jobs out of residency, myself included, when the job market was magnitudes better. I can't even think about how bad it is now
 
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Rest easy comedy fans, Andy Kaufman is alive and well and posting on SDN.

I predict SDN ends up damaging the perception and perhaps even the field as a whole onc more than these underlying issues ever would have.
Gold.

States concerns about job market limited to a small number of Internet posters here; links survey concluding 91(!)% of residents’ chief concern is the job market.
 
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while I do appreciate a foil, I know of grads form mid tier programs last year who are currently doing locums. Moderator here also acknowledged this. These guys must have been AOA and had much better board scores than I did.

Docs and medstudents as a whole are smart when it comes to deciding on their future. A few malcontents on SDN are not driving the current trend, reality/truth is.
 
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It just strikes me as odd that a 5th year resident who never heard there was a job crunch and just now came here to get involved knows so much about the amount of applicants, what residency programs are giving up spots, which ones will be in the future, can recite literature on the job hunt, what the acgme requirements may be In the future, and can so effectively parrot every twitter position that Ken Olivier has had about the topic nearly word for word.

It’s really quite impressive.
 
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Dear OP, please request that this thread be for the views of optimists, less the same 5-7 people who post in all threads even remotely related to the job market come in and post the same comments as other threads. I think it is okay to have a thread for people to discuss good things.

Just my 2 cents, but I think there are already like 20+ threads about how people feel things are terrible, instead, how about let this thread be for people who want to share an opposing view?
 
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Dear OP, please request that this thread be for the views of optimists, less the same 5-7 people who post in all threads even remotely related to the job market come in and post the same comments as other threads. I think it is okay to have a thread for people to discuss good things.

Just my 2 cents, but I think there are already like 20+ threads about how people feel things are terrible, instead, how about let this thread be for people who want to share an opposing view?
!
 
Dear OP, please request that this thread be for the views of optimists, less the same 5-7 people who post in all threads even remotely related to the job market come in and post the same comments as other threads. I think it is okay to have a thread for people to discuss good things.

Just my 2 cents, but I think there are already like 20+ threads about how people feel things are terrible, instead, how about let this thread be for people who want to share an opposing view?

I actually completely agree with this.

The OP's post has been dissected thoroughly, and ongoing negativity discussions will be shepherded to any of the other 20 threads in this forum. Let this one remain as the optimistic view. Specific notes to @medgator and @rad0nccc - let's avoid beating a dead horse in this thread.
 
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I for one am looking forward to all the newly joined “residents” who will be offering “their” optimistic views in this thread.
 
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I actually completely agree with this.

The OP's post has been dissected thoroughly, and ongoing negativity discussions will be shepherded to any of the other 20 threads in this forum. Let this one remain as the optimistic view. Specific notes to @medgator and @rad0nccc - let's avoid beating a dead horse in this thread.
Absolutely.. can we make sure this thread focuses on optimism that is fact/reality-based, rather than bs like maligning SDN?

FTR, I am entirely optimistic on rad onc once we contract residency positions to ~80-100 or so
 
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Absolutely.. can we make sure this thread focuses on optimism rather than bs like maligning SDN?

FTR, I am entirely optimistic on rad onc once we contract positions to ~80-100 or so

Sure. Multiple posters issues with the OP blaming SDN for the state of the field are noted. Back to the optimism.

*EDIT* - Sarcasm or low-quality tongue-in-cheek optimism will be deleted. This is why we can't have nice things. 3 posts deleted below this one.
 
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i am genuinely, truthfully interested in hearing from an optimistic medstudent about why the choose to enter this field.
 
I actually completely agree with this.

The OP's post has been dissected thoroughly, and ongoing negativity discussions will be shepherded to any of the other 20 threads in this forum. Let this one remain as the optimistic view. Specific notes to @medgator and @rad0nccc - let's avoid beating a dead horse in this thread.

I'm optimistic that the issues which have been discussed on SDN forever but ignored "in real life" are actually finally being acknowledged which can be construed as perhaps, MAYBE, taking some steps in the right direction, maybe.

Today one of my Academic Attendings stated that the general supervision change would indeed tremendously (negatively) affect the locums market. I was floored. This is the first time someone said anything other than "everything is fine, don't worry".
 
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I really do think this is a great field and would pick it 12 of 10 times if I was garaunteed my current outcome.

there was nothing tongue in cheek about it.
 
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I really do think this is a great field and would pick it 12 of 10 times if I was garaunteed my current outcome.

there was nothing tongue in cheek about it.

If we are to say anything different then what the OP has stated, is it safe to assume that the post will be deleted?
 
If we are to say anything different then what the OP has stated, is it safe to assume that the post will be deleted?

No. However, you are open to having your own (real) optimism about the field.

I am optimistic that the field will correct with strong action on the residency landscape based on the results of the match this year.

I'm optimistic that the things SDN is saying will continue to make their way into mainstream rad onc thoughts. I'm optimistic because I know people of relative power (RRC, ARRO, etc.) read SDN and are able to take anonymous frustrations and convert them into real 'data' (as much as surveys can be data) for consumption by the remainder of the rad onc community. And at the end of the day, I think we as a field pull out of this, eventually. The day is darkest before the dawn, etc. etc.

I'm optimistic that with site-neutral payments as part of the APM, formation of private practice groups will rebound, and while the technical reimbursement unicorn is likely lost forever, high-quality physician owned private practice can continue to exist.
 
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I'm optimistic that the issues which have been discussed on SDN forever but ignored "in real life" are actually finally being acknowledged which can be construed as perhaps, MAYBE, taking some steps in the right direction, maybe.

Today one of my Academic Attendings stated that the general supervision change would indeed tremendously (negatively) affect the locums market. I was floored. This is the first time someone said anything other than "everything is fine, don't worry".

That’s good they acknowledged something, but locums is small peanuts

Those docs typically have made their money and are now just doing it bc they are bored

I feel for the new grads though...
 
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I'm optimistic that with site-neutral payments as part of the APM, formation of private practice groups will rebound, and while the technical reimbursement unicorn is likely lost forever, high-quality physician owned private practice can continue to exist.
If site-neutral payment truly becomes the law of the land, I think this has the ability to save our field.

It will decrease the impetus for academic departments to gobble up satellites to reap technical rewards, and likely decrease the impetus of PP to sell because they hopefully won’t Be operating on bare bones reimbursements.

this will also stem the motivation to expand the workforce and likely lead to contraction of residencies if academic departments give up satellites (and associated case numbers).

It may also lead to a reinvigoration of an academic mission and increased research (as opposed to the single minded focus on profits in academics today) which could expand our role in the oncologic world.
 
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To jump on the optimism train, I graduated a couple of years ago and have absolutely no regrets about my decision to go into rad onc. I love my job, live in a great area of the country (though not what many would be consider to be a "top" location i.e. SF, NY, LA, etc), work 4 days/week and have ample time with my family. I know everyone's experience is different, but I appreciate the OP starting this thread, as its important to hear from people who landed on their feet as well.

It is absolutely true that the compensation landscape is fairly bleak right now, through a mixture of declining reimbursements and negative pressures on salary from oversupply of physicians, as discussed in this forum ad nauseam. Everybody knows that average rad onc salaries will likely decline in coming years, but it is important to keep in mind that our speciality in its current state is handsomely compensated for the work that we do. Any med students (or residents) reading this thread should ask themselves: would you be OK if 10 years out from training you were making ~350k instead of ~550k? If the answer is no, then you should look for another speciality. And, honestly, our field will be better off if you do. Cancer patients deserve doctors who care more about treating cancer patients than their portfolio balance. If we lose some bright-but-financially-motivated med students because of current changes I'm good with that.
 
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I’m not sure if I agree with the premise.

“If you are not okay making as less in a field today as you will be in 5 years time, then you should pick a different field because the field will be better off” seems like an incredibly naive and self-destructive way to choose who does or does not belong in this field.

It’s also a fundamental misunderstanding of what work means - doing a job for a price. What other field (not just medicine) would we create that sort of litmus test for? And why would we do it?

Also, what is the bottom limit? Change it to $250k- does that mean we will have even better people in rad onc? $150k, even better still?

I don’t wish to say that someone is dumb for saying such a thing, but it is challenging for me to say that someone is smart for saying that.
 
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To jump on the optimism train, I graduated a couple of years ago and have absolutely no regrets about my decision to go into rad onc. I love my job, live in a great area of the country (though not what many would be consider to be a "top" location i.e. SF, NY, LA, etc), work 4 days/week and have ample time with my family. I know everyone's experience is different, but I appreciate the OP starting this thread, as its important to hear from people who landed on their feet as well.

It is absolutely true that the compensation landscape is fairly bleak right now, through a mixture of declining reimbursements and negative pressures on salary from oversupply of physicians, as discussed in this forum ad nauseam. Everybody knows that average rad onc salaries will likely decline in coming years, but it is important to keep in mind that our speciality in its current state is handsomely compensated for the work that we do. Any med students (or residents) reading this thread should ask themselves: would you be OK if 10 years out from training you were making ~350k instead of ~550k? If the answer is no, then you should look for another speciality. And, honestly, our field will be better off if you do. Cancer patients deserve doctors who care more about treating cancer patients than their portfolio balance. If we lose some bright-but-financially-motivated med students because of current changes I'm good with that.

Certainly no shortage of *EDITED by MODS* out there who would be ok treating cancer patients for the price of an MA.

Rad Onc is already hemorrhaging talent both from the incoming medical students who are looking at posts like yours as well as the utter lack of innovation and asking themselves “why bother?”

Also, the leaders in Rad Onc Are moving into industry and govt where they will be even less involved in the day to day issues the affect this field.

I’m sure pathology was made Infinitely better once most of the American grads pretty much shunned the specialty for 25 years.

What exactly are you trying to convince people of here? That if they don’t like a job they should leave. I wouldn’t waste a post on that. they seem to be doing that all by themselves.
 
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I am a rising senior in radiation oncology residency who does not regret my decision to pursue this field.

Like many, I have been surprised to see the dramatic decline in residency applications, and after being made aware of what is being written on these forums, I want to provide an opposing perspective that I feel is not being adequately represented. There are a few thousand radiation oncologists in this country, and the crisis represented on these threads seems to be perpetuated primarily by a small number of active users. I do not feel this necessarily accurately reflects the sentiment of the larger radiation community.

Medical students are tasked with making life-changing specialty decisions with limited information. In the specialty search, there are many specialty-specific concerns to be aware of. The job market is (and has been) tough in rad onc compared to some other specialties, but this is not a new problem facing the field. You will find similar dooms-day type posts in nearly all other specialty-specific forums about how radiologists are being outsourced, or CRNAs taking over in anesthesia, primary care being pushed aside by mid-levels etc. There is almost no specialty without at least one significant threat or drawback.

A recent red journal article/survey found that almost two-thirds of all recent graduates found a job that met ALL of their desired metrics (salary, disease site, geography etc), with most residents finding jobs that met at least most of their top 3 job considerations. https://www.redjournal.org/article/S0360-3016(19)33454-6/fulltext. Nearly all surveyed found a job. Furthermore, anecdotally, the job market this year, right now, has been the strongest it has been in 10 years.

Are there some jobs that are less desirable than others – certainly. However, again, that absolutely holds true in any specialty. I suspect you are hearing disproportionately from those who are not satisfied.

Regarding expansion, at least 2 of the 3 "top programs" are apparently cutting residency slots simply in efforts to combat the expansion this year with many others expected to follow this year and next. Many smaller programs will undoubtedly close as the ACGME is mandating stricter requirements (dedicated rad bio faculty, 6 clinical faculty, etc) on residency programs. The reversal to the over-expansion is going to happen – the market is clearly asking for it.

Another common concern was the low board pass rate last year. The physics/rad bio pass rate this year was 99% after they adjusted the scoring methodology from last year. 2018 was a mistake and an anomaly I doubt the ABR will make again.

Radiation oncology as a cancer treatment is simply not going anywhere – we are simply too important in too many different diseases processes. We absolutely remain in high demand. Med onc's and radiologists simply cannot do this job without the specialty training that we have. We are using radiation more now than ever before with advances in immunotherapy, as patients live longer, we now see the benefits of treating oligometastatic sites. It is a fulfilling specialty with great work hours and excellent compensation. MGMA median compensation in rad onc was nearly 500k in 2018. I often hear of job that surpass this. Nobody regularly works nights, weekends, or holidays. We treat, often cure, cancer patients. To me, this is fulfilling work.

A recent thread stated, “the demand for rad onc just died,” after discussion that CMS is modifying the supervision level required in hospital-associated practices. This view could not be more pessimistic and in my opinion, wrong. While some of the concerns are valid, I am skeptical this will have the catastrophic effect so confidently predicted. Perhaps there will be a decrease in demand/staffing in rural practices - it is just too early to know. However, I suspect many practices will not be interested in the increased liability or operational troubles associated with leaving facilities un-supervised, particularly for SBRTs. I predict this rule is ultimately amended in the future but we will see. Regardless, for many already in established practices, this will be a welcome change due to the increased flexibility.

Medicine is changing – large health systems are taking control and CMS is in control of our future. This is unwelcome; however, the reality is that this issue is again not specific to rad onc. Bundled payments will ultimately extend well beyond radiation. Most specialists are going to make less money. I urge you caution to base long term life decisions on the posts of a few strangers on the internet. In my opinion, a healthy majority of us are happy and would do it again the same way. It is unfortunate to see so many med students who are passionate about radiation ultimately choose other specialties based on what I consider to be a pessimistic vocal minority. Be aware of the issues facing any specialty when you apply, but I would still advocate that there is more good than bad in rad onc, and is still a great career path. I predict SDN ends up damaging the perception and perhaps even the field as a whole onc more than these underlying issues ever would have.

I suspect the majority of replies will disagree with my perspective, but in a sense that is exactly my point.

Also an upper level resident and I cannot agree more with this assessment. Thanks for taking the time to write this
 
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I'm just happy somebody wrote a post longer than I ever have.

Radiation oncology as a cancer treatment is simply not going anywhere
We are using radiation more now than ever

Both of these can't be true. The former is spot on (literally), and the latter is patently, undeniably false and the reason for all the agita. We may be using it (XRT) for more indications, but we are not using it (XRT fractions) now more than ever. Over the next five years of your career, America is going to pump out 1000 radiation oncologists. If you have to look for a new job (more than half of folks will within 5 years of graduating) the competition will be even more intense than it is presently. And presently it's pretty intense.
 
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To jump on the optimism train, I graduated a couple of years ago and have absolutely no regrets about my decision to go into rad onc. I love my job, live in a great area of the country (though not what many would be consider to be a "top" location i.e. SF, NY, LA, etc), work 4 days/week and have ample time with my family. I know everyone's experience is different, but I appreciate the OP starting this thread, as its important to hear from people who landed on their feet as well.

It is absolutely true that the compensation landscape is fairly bleak right now, through a mixture of declining reimbursements and negative pressures on salary from oversupply of physicians, as discussed in this forum ad nauseam. Everybody knows that average rad onc salaries will likely decline in coming years, but it is important to keep in mind that our speciality in its current state is handsomely compensated for the work that we do. Any med students (or residents) reading this thread should ask themselves: would you be OK if 10 years out from training you were making ~350k instead of ~550k? If the answer is no, then you should look for another speciality. And, honestly, our field will be better off if you do. Cancer patients deserve doctors who care more about treating cancer patients than their portfolio balance. If we lose some bright-but-financially-motivated med students because of current changes I'm good with that.

I don’t think you understand how capitalism or the USA works

I can provide a cancer patient with world class care while being empathetic and simultaneously be well compensated for it

I would much rather lose ppl like you from our field who would let CMS and admins walk all over them for the “love of the game”
 
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The optimists are predicting a 40% salary decrease in the next ten years?

Okay. This thread has some work to do.
 
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To the original poster, I may not agree with your post but I agree with you posting your view/opinion.
 
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I also welcome other view points. While salary may not be that important to some, doesnt geography matter a lot? Surveys show that location is number 1 concern for residents looking at jobs? Even if salaries dont matter to you personally, they will impact somewhat the quality of people entering the field and thus long term growth/viability.

While I welcome opposing viewpoints, I do reject patent falsehoods such as SDN, not residency expansion/hypofractionation, is the problem here or that radiation demand is increasing. It also seems thats what provokes a little bit of nastiness in responses, which is understandable.
 
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There's no openings in the city I grew up in/trained in/wish to practice in. I heard there might be a 0.5 spot available in spring, with maybe a retirement or two in the next 1-2 years. Seriously considering it despite the clear financial disadvantage (much easier/preferrable to work full time at beginning of career of course...) because all of my family is out there. But will have to wait and see - long term would still make more where I am right now for sure.
 
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I am optimistic for the more business minded folks in radiation oncology. This removal of the "direct supervision" requirement represents a great business proposition.

Here's how it works:
1. you form a rad onc staffing company/professional group, or you leverage your existing group/academic center
2. aggressively negotiate with smaller hospitals for a professional contract (sure you take a 20% hit on whatever the current rate is)
3. Turn around and hire someone to provide coverage there. Perhaps a new grad, someone who wants more family time, or someone no longer able to find work in the locums market. They work 1-3 days a week at a cost 30-60% of a full time doc.
4. you pocket the difference


While this sort of aggressive commoditization of medicine makes me sick, it's not all that different than what imperialistic academic centers had been doing (sign a contract and then pay a doc a fraction of their professional collections). Now that the rules have changed the playing field will to. Early movers will have an advantage and i'm sure for the right person/group it represents an amazing opportunity.
 
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I am optimistic for the more business minded folks in radiation oncology. This removal of the "direct supervision" requirement represents a great business proposition.

Here's how it works:
1. you form a rad onc staffing company/professional group, or you leverage your existing group/academic center
2. aggressively negotiate with smaller hospitals for a professional contract (sure you take a 20% hit on whatever the current rate is)
3. Turn around and hire someone to provide coverage there. Perhaps a new grad, someone who wants more family time, or someone no longer able to find work in the locums market. They work 1-3 days a week at a cost 30-60% of a full time doc.
4. you pocket the difference


While this sort of aggressive commoditization of medicine makes me sick, it's not all that different than what imperialistic academic centers had been doing (sign a contract and then pay a doc a fraction of their professional collections). Now that the rules have changed the playing field will to. Early movers will have an advantage and i'm sure for the right person/group it represents an amazing opportunity.
This is of course exactly, precisely what will happen. Although I think the bid is 3 days/60%, and the ask is gonna be 1 day/30%.
 
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This is of course exactly, precisely what will happen. Although I think the bid is 3 days/60%, and the ask is gonna be 1 day/30%.
The problem is that no early career rad onc will be looking for this set-up with student loans, retirement, college savings concerns. It could be great for someone at the tail end of their career.

Also, a point about the locums market which is frankly a crazy sdn talking point. There were 24 locums rad oncs in 2017. 24.
 
Its not secret that I am an optimist that loves the field. I appreciate the sentiment that the OP has. I do wish we, as a group, had been a little nicer addressing the fact that the central issue with their assumptions is that in the current market strongly favors academia and they, much like me, are largely shielded from the realities much of the field is facing. A couple of thoughts FWIW

Radiation demand is increasing. For some this is true. And I guarantee you that 90+% of them are in academics. Our volumes have increased over 10% each of the last two years. My personal volumes have increased closer to 30% in the last year alone largely because I have a great relationship with evidence-based and forward-thinking med oncs and surgeons in our center that really want to do everything possible for their patients (and have little financial incentive not to share). I guarantee you that I do way more preop RT for things like T4 colon cancers (usually abdominal wall) or GI/GYN pelvic recurrences and consolidated/salvage RT for patients with metastatic tumors and good responses to immunotherapies. You know you are in a good place when you actually have to tell a med onc, "sorry, but this is crazy, I really don't see how focal therapy is going to realistically help in this situation." The problem is this is not how the world works for a huge majority of the field. We have one satellite in particular that is the polar opposite. Old timer urologists in the area don't believe in salvage RT and put everyone with biochemical recurrences on palliative RT and we don't see them until they have a painful bone met. I met a poor women recently for palliation who had a FIGOIIB cervical tumor her GYN operated on and didn't refer for RT (even when she had a pelvic recurrence that they tried to manage with chemo). And its not just old timers that are the problem. Many med oncs believe chemo/immunotherapy is all patients need. "They have stable disease. Its working. Why would we radiate them? Its just going to cause toxicity and not change their prognosis." When you add financial incentives and are not in an integrated group, then improvements in surgical and systemic therapies that theoretically should make focal therapy more important can and do lead to just the opposite. Its sad but true.

The coverage issue is bad for the field. Again, many academic satellites are in competitive areas and probably will keep those staffed because availability is one of the three As and volumes are high enough they can't afford to lose referrals to the local competition. But the true satellites in BFE, not a chance. All of our income comes from technical charges. One of our busier ones is the only radiation center for 100 miles and we are the closest alternative. If patients don't like the fact they have to wait for a consult (even just a couple days) or are not comfortable not having a doc around at all times then they will have to come to main and then we get reimbursement for all aspects of their treatment, not just technical fees. There is literally zero incentive on our part to keep it staffed other than the fact we are not going to screw the guy we have out there. But if/when he leaves I highly doubt our chair will replace him with another full-time doc.

I said the word integration above and I think it deserves more attention. At a good academic center you are integrated with your med oncs/surgeons and you are afforded many, many opportunities to gain their trust and convince them why what you do is important and good for their patients. They can do the same for you. And the surgeons, like you, have all of the good toys which supports a robust referral pattern. Independent rad onc practices don't have these luxuries. They have to work 10x as hard to establish robust referral patterns and convince other providers why RT can be a good thing for their patients. And by a good thing, I mean such a good thing that its worth losing potential income they could make trying the Nth line therapy they could consider instead because again, in academics you really are largely buffered from the financial realities of medical practice.

You graduated in a good year. There are tons of jobs in good places. I think you should/will be very happy with your career choices just like I have been. I also don't think we have gone over the cliff yet but even I have to admit I the red lights are flashing and the sirens are screaming. Many people are already suffering and without major changes in course for the better the pain is just going to get worse, particularly for people in PP or malignant academic centers who are wholly focused on the bottom line (and they do exist).
 
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"At a good academic center you are integrated with your med oncs/surgeons and you are afforded many, many opportunities to gain their trust and convince them why what you do is important and good for their patients. They can do the same for you. And the surgeons, like you, have all of the good toys which supports a robust referral pattern. Independent rad onc practices don't have these luxuries."

Some private practices like ours do have these luxuries, but you are correct in that many don't.
 
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Trevor Royce published last year that radiation demand is decreasing, less utilized as part of initial cancer treatment at diagnosis.
 
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Also, a point about the locums market which is frankly a crazy sdn talking point. There were 24 locums rad oncs in 2017. 24.

Not crazy. This is a fallback option in medicine for new grads who can't find jobs and other docs who get fired or are trying to ride out non competes. Without this fallback, you will see more unemployed rad oncs.

I'm curious where you got this 24 number from. Maybe 24 full-time locums. Seems like there more people doing part-time locums in my state alone.

This is of course exactly, precisely what will happen. Although I think the bid is 3 days/60%, and the ask is gonna be 1 day/30%.

This would be a disaster for the job market. The 190 new grads a year usually want full-time positions or at least positions that pay like they're full time even if they're 4 days a week or whatever. There is a very limited market for part time rad oncs. What would this pay, $100k/year?
 
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Not crazy. This is a fallback option in medicine for new grads who can't find jobs and other docs who get fired or are trying to ride out non competes. Without this fallback, you will see more unemployed rad oncs.

I'm curious where you got this 24 number from. Maybe 24 full-time locums. Seems like there more people doing part-time locums in my state alone.

I know several retired docs or close to it who are basically linac babysitters. 24 seems way too low
 
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I know several retired docs or close to it who are basically linac babysitters. 24 seems way too low

Even that market is a race to the bottom. I'm seeing offers of $1000/day. I got a rural locums offer for Christmas week at $1200/day.

I wonder how long till it even goes lower than that.
 
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The country simply can not absorb 1000 new radoncs over the next five years. Just cant happen, despite optimism.
Even if programs scale back today, 1000 are committed to graduating. Like gravity....
 
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I think the actual number is somewhere around 980. Optimism
 
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The country simply can not absorb 1000 new radoncs over the next five years. Just cant happen, despite optimism.
Even if programs scale back today, 1000 are committed to graduating. Like gravity....
Way to come through with the optimistic nature of this thread. Sometimes it's better to say nothing on this thread instead of the above (though no offense for doing so)...
 
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Not crazy. This is a fallback option in medicine for new grads who can't find jobs and other docs who get fired or are trying to ride out non competes. Without this fallback, you will see more unemployed rad oncs.

I'm curious where you got this 24 number from. Maybe 24 full-time locums. Seems like there more people doing part-time locums in my state alone.
AMA physician's professional data from year 2017 showing 24 locum rad oncs and 5,029 total. I do think residency expansion is a huge problem and needs to be addressed. Graduating 200 residents a year is a bad thing.
 
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