USMLE Uh oh! Trouble brewing, 5 days out...

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epsilonprodigy

Physicist Enough
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I could really use some words of wisdom. I'm 92% through U-world with 74% average overall (mostly 70's at first.. lately more mid 80's.) I took NBME 15 when I was about 1/3 through and got a 241. Great, I thought. Plenty of time to improve. I've been busting my ass, took NBME 7 today, and got…a 234?!?!

I don't feel that I can go into the test with my confidence this shattered, and will most likely postpone. The thing is, I have been feeling sooo burned out lately, like I forget everything, even the basic stuff. I just don't know what to do. I need to score above 240, hopefully at least in the 250's. I feel that I need to take another practice test to redeem myself and my confidence, but there's not much time, especially considering I still have to finish U-World and hopefully nail down a few more things from FA as well. Thankfully I don't have that many wrong questions from U-World, so I should be able to knock those out in the next two days.

I keep hearing not to postpone, because it's too easy to peak early and burn out. I just don't understand it, I have nailed down so much more content since my last test, and was seeing such consistent increases in UW scores. I literally do not know what to do with myself.
 
Don't get bogged down by one test score. Keep doing UWorld. Take another one in a couple of days if you can. The NBMEs are fairly predictive, but moreso with consistent scores/trends. Have faith in your UWorld improvement. Whether you postpone or not depends on your goal for the score, +/- 10 points is the average predictive accuracy with the NBMEs.
 
If you are getting 70s and 80s on uworld, that is pretty solid. I would suggest not freaking out.

http://usmle-score-correlation.blogspot.com/

NBMEs are only predictive if you take alot of them. two doesn't really mean anything. Heck, my first one i got a 188, then my second was a 232. then i got one higher and then a 224 after that. then a supposed 253 equivalent on the free 150.
 
I could really use some words of wisdom. I'm 92% through U-world with 74% average overall (mostly 70's at first.. lately more mid 80's.) I took NBME 15 when I was about 1/3 through and got a 241. Great, I thought. Plenty of time to improve. I've been busting my ass, took NBME 7 today, and got…a 234?!?!

I don't feel that I can go into the test with my confidence this shattered, and will most likely postpone. The thing is, I have been feeling sooo burned out lately, like I forget everything, even the basic stuff. I just don't know what to do. I need to score above 240, hopefully at least in the 250's. I feel that I need to take another practice test to redeem myself and my confidence, but there's not much time, especially considering I still have to finish U-World and hopefully nail down a few more things from FA as well. Thankfully I don't have that many wrong questions from U-World, so I should be able to knock those out in the next two days.

I keep hearing not to postpone, because it's too easy to peak early and burn out. I just don't understand it, I have nailed down so much more content since my last test, and was seeing such consistent increases in UW scores. I literally do not know what to do with myself.

Your uworld scores are fine for doing 230-240 on the real deal, no need to freak out. That said, you probably have like 4 days of real studying left, and honestly after having taken the real deal I got very little bang for the buck during my last week. You could postpone 2 or 3 weeks, but honestly I wouldn't recommend it. The test is so unpredictable, meaning you could get a ton of crap you have never seen. You have a solid foundation with evident uworld scores, just hit the basics and your weak areas and take the exam.
 
Thanks for the support, everyone. I will most probably move my test just two days. This way, I can comfortably get through all of my incorrect UW questions, get through FA one last time, and probably throw in another practice exam in a couple of days in effort to bolster my confidence a bit.

I cannot…. WILL NOT… get a 234. 240+ or bust!
 
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