I wish I had a crystal ball. I really do, because then I would know whether it's worth the blood, sweat and tears to give up a regular and comfortable paycheck for another 7+ years to become a physician, or if I should just stay the course as a PA and wait for the winds to change.
There's always some speculation about a bridge program for experienced PAs/NPs to become physicians. Will it ever happen? I doubt it. I'm certainly not waiting around for it.
Or will primary care really become the domain of the midlevel? (I STILL hate that term...midlevel...ugh.) Hard to know. I've worked in family practice the past six years. Moved to EM to try something new. I miss primary care. I did an awful lot as an FP PA, had good autonomy, was trusted by my physician colleagues and my practice resembled theirs in a lot of ways. Differences? I didn't round in the hospital; my patients were, in general, younger and healthier (although plenty of DM/HTN/hyperlipidemia to go around and rx-juggling); and I had the luxury of time to do more preventive care (translation: all the boring well woman exams and well baby exams you could ask for, but the docs I worked with did their share too). But I never felt like I could just take over primary care--I was always very grateful for another doc down the hall when a patient looked crappy or something didn't make sense.
Most of primary care is routine. What we do most often is where we develop expertise. We all find our niche, something we do exceptionally well and enjoy doing, and we may develop a patient following based on that. But there is a big enough chunk of primary care that requires physician knowledge (you know, the deeper pathophys, basic sciences, the esoteric problems that show up with relative infrequency but nonetheless do occur) that I don't believe midlevels (that ugly term again!) should ever supplant the primary physician completely. A collaborative practice makes far more sense: the primary care physician as team captain, say, and the PA and/or NP as integral members of the team, all working together to provide quality health care (NOT the minions some of you think we are.)
For me, there's a need to know what I don't yet know. Not because my practice as a PA requires it--to do what I do, I've been very well trained--and experience is a good teacher. But it's about personal satisfaction and filling a void, completing the process so to speak. BUT it's becoming more and more expensive to be trained as a physician and the opportunity costs are tremendous. THEN consider will my role as a physician be obviated in primary care, the only place I really want to work? If so, I should have stayed a PA and just made the best of it.
So, anyone have that crystal ball?