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| Topics in Healthcare A place to discuss, discourse, hold forth, and maybe, just maybe, have your mind changed. |
| View Poll Results: What will be the fate of primary care in America? | |||
| No future. Physicians will be replaced by mid-level providers. Goodbye family doctor. |
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48 | 35.29% |
| There is a future. Shortages will drive PCP salaries up and the field will remain alive and kickin. |
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60 | 44.12% |
| Shut up Eric |
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28 | 20.59% |
| Voters: 136. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#1 |
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Guest
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 875
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SDN Members don't see this ad.
In the spirit of depressing "state of medicine" news, I wanted to poll the audience to see what y'all think about the future of primary care in America. Maybe we could generate some discussion and leave this in pre-allo (because I'm sure some mod is going to want to move it) so that current pre-meds can get some good information from all the smart peeps here on SDN.
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#2 |
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MS2 - 12 PAC Member
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I think that a lot of primary care will be farmed out to NP and PA positions, but I see them handling patients that don't already see a physician on a regular basis. So I don't see a growth potential in primary care for physicians, just more primary care given to those who can't afford to pay for a physician to do the same thing.
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University of South Florida Class of 2011 |
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#4 | |
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5K+ Member
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#5 |
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Guest
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 875
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Wouldn't this eventually lead to extinction, theoretically (option A)? What doctor would go to medical school for, say, a salary of 40K a year?
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#6 |
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1K Member
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No one that I know. But the scenerio that Law2doc points out it very concievable(actually very likely). That is why physicians need to put on their gloves and start fighting.
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#7 |
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Resident Towel
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,124
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#8 |
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MS2 - 12 PAC Member
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Exactly why physicians will let the NP and PAs take over many primary care positions because those professions don't have the time commitment and educational costs of becoming a MD/DO. The demand for primary care will go up with governmental involvement (one way or another with universal care), but the payments will continue to go down. You can either compete for those declining doctors with NP and PAs, or find a different specialty in medicine that requires the services of a MD/DO trained physician.
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#9 |
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1K Member
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By lobbying to get physicians excluded from antitrust restrictions on unionization. With a union, physicans can take the fight straight to the enemy's doorsteps.
BTW, with a union, you can forget about all these wild cuts you hear about. |
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#10 |
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Resident Towel
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,124
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Sounds good to me. Do you know of any lobbying groups that are proposing this?
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#11 |
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Got Mustard?
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PA's and NP's will continue to increase their ranks. (More power to them).
Primary Care docs won't go away. The problem is us pre-docs wanna all live in population centers <75000. Here's my story. I'm a surg tech. I make 3x as much for a two-day gig at a rural hospital than in the big city. I'm paid by the hospital and receive a check from the surgeon, but the hospital check alone is larger than my big city checks. The ortho surgeon I scrub for leaves his big city practice, comes on down to a rural hospital with 2 ORs and operates (Knee-hip resurfacing, etc) He told me he make more in the small hospital than he makes fighting for market share in the big city. He made more than he ever has last year. The guys is an EXCELLENT surgeon and a fairly well-known name. That rural hospital's general surgeon only works in that community and has a similar sweet set up. So does the hospital's 3 internists. I often get these type of rural gigs and make a killing. If Primary care docs want to make it, they will have to be flexible. The pool of sick people hasn't dried up. There's good money out in the boonies. It's flowing milk & honey out there!
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#12 | |
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so cheap and juicy
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__________________
MS4!!!! You can't stop what's comin. Ain't all waiting on you. That's vanity. Ellis, No Country for Old Men [x] Step II CS 7/20/09 [x] Step II CK sometime in 2009 [x] lots of vacation [x] ERAS [x] way too many interviews [ ] match (hopefully) 3/18/10 |
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#13 | |
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1K Member
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http://www.ama-assn.org/ama1/pub/upl.../ceja_9a98.pdf The only problem with the AMA is that some of those older docs just don't have the level of agressiveness necessary for this type of fight. It is time for the younger docs/medstudents to go there and set a new tone. Afterall it is the younger docs that are going to have it worst if the present trend continues. They need to be agressive about unionization. That will at least let the politicians know that doctors are willing to fight. That will be a lot better than status quo, where they push doctors whenever they feel like it. |
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#14 |
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Senior Member
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I wish I had a crystal ball. I really do, because then I would know whether it's worth the blood, sweat and tears to give up a regular and comfortable paycheck for another 7+ years to become a physician, or if I should just stay the course as a PA and wait for the winds to change.
There's always some speculation about a bridge program for experienced PAs/NPs to become physicians. Will it ever happen? I doubt it. I'm certainly not waiting around for it. Or will primary care really become the domain of the midlevel? (I STILL hate that term...midlevel...ugh.) Hard to know. I've worked in family practice the past six years. Moved to EM to try something new. I miss primary care. I did an awful lot as an FP PA, had good autonomy, was trusted by my physician colleagues and my practice resembled theirs in a lot of ways. Differences? I didn't round in the hospital; my patients were, in general, younger and healthier (although plenty of DM/HTN/hyperlipidemia to go around and rx-juggling); and I had the luxury of time to do more preventive care (translation: all the boring well woman exams and well baby exams you could ask for, but the docs I worked with did their share too). But I never felt like I could just take over primary care--I was always very grateful for another doc down the hall when a patient looked crappy or something didn't make sense. Most of primary care is routine. What we do most often is where we develop expertise. We all find our niche, something we do exceptionally well and enjoy doing, and we may develop a patient following based on that. But there is a big enough chunk of primary care that requires physician knowledge (you know, the deeper pathophys, basic sciences, the esoteric problems that show up with relative infrequency but nonetheless do occur) that I don't believe midlevels (that ugly term again!) should ever supplant the primary physician completely. A collaborative practice makes far more sense: the primary care physician as team captain, say, and the PA and/or NP as integral members of the team, all working together to provide quality health care (NOT the minions some of you think we are.) For me, there's a need to know what I don't yet know. Not because my practice as a PA requires it--to do what I do, I've been very well trained--and experience is a good teacher. But it's about personal satisfaction and filling a void, completing the process so to speak. BUT it's becoming more and more expensive to be trained as a physician and the opportunity costs are tremendous. THEN consider will my role as a physician be obviated in primary care, the only place I really want to work? If so, I should have stayed a PA and just made the best of it. So, anyone have that crystal ball?
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#15 | |
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1K Member
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Quote:
Nice post. I don't have a crystal ball, but I can predict based on the recent trends. The politicians want to cut healthcare costs, but they dont want to offend their generous donors(insurance companies, pharmaceutical companies, HMOs etc) who account for the main bulk of the costs, so they attack the weakest link(doctors/healthcare workforce). As they press forward with these cuts, expect PAs and NPs to be affected too. |
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#16 | |
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Senior Member
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#17 |
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Got Mustard?
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Another thing to consider-
What kind of 'quality of life" or "lifestyle" will you have when you have $300k in debt, kids 17 years away from college and the mortgage for a decent home in your metropolis cost $300K? Yep,I'll leave others to duke it off for turf among the 40 gazillion medical practioners in Gotham. I'll set up shop in some nice little community, where I'm the cat's meow. I'll be grinning the whole time I mow my 2 acre front lawn and catch a mess o' fish in the stream running through the back woods of my 100 acre spread I paid less than 2 million for. Even the swanky stores have an internet presence. UPS, USPS and FEDEX do deliver to small town America. As long as I can get to Tar-jay twice a year and the ballet/opera once a year on my vacation, I'm happy! Modern day Doc Baker's don't get paid in chickens people. They get take in cold, hard green. |
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#18 |
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Even Kal has bad days...
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I'm up for a literal interpretation. Let's go and seriously beat the crap out of the insurance people. I was almost TKOed this weekend but I'm back up to fight speed now. If we waltzed into a corporate insurance building, put up a sign that said premeds at work and just started clocking people left and right, no one would stop us. I have a homemade baseball bat covered in nails and shards of broken glass for this day.
When u guys free to do this?
__________________
"I'm telling you that the cure is the disease. The main source of illness in this world is the doctor's own illness: his compulsion to try to cure and his fraudulent belief that he can." |
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#19 |
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Even Kal has bad days...
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I'm thinking maybe the Monday after National Beat the **** out of Gunners Day.
I have a set of rusty brass knuckles and a lead pipe for NBSGD. |
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#20 | |
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Senior Member
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#21 | |
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1K Member
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#22 | |
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Got Mustard?
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*Sunny pulls out her nunchucks and straps on her 45...crouching tiger.. hidden non-trad* |
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#23 | |
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Banned
Status:
Health Student
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: A bar room in Mombasa drinking gin
Posts: 9,805
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Quote:
(*waits patiently for someone to figure out this analogy*)
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#24 | |
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Got Mustard?
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Quote:
Gunners shoot indiscriminately. They miss more than they hit. Snipers take aim. They conceal themselves from a choice vantage point. I don't want to be a gunner, I wanna be a sniper! |
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#25 |
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Even Kal has bad days...
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haha are you aware that "sniper" is a term for someone who never comes to class but then comes for exams and then rocks it, breaking the curve
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#26 |
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Moving Far Away
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I'm just going to point out that union membership is at a low since before the 1930s. This isn't because modern workers are more against unions. It is because the majority of the big union businesses have been hemorrhaging workers or going out of business. Be careful. Costs have to be contained. It shouldn't be out of your salary, but all union attempts regarding government reimbursement have led to out of control costs (think public education). Your attempts should be to put medicine back in touch with the supply and demand curve.
__________________
Check out my blog on Healthcare and Economics at: http://medicaleconomics.blogspot.com/
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#27 |
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Senior Member
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I'm gonna pop some popcorn for this question/comment as I'm sure it will raise some ire.
One reason I went into a surgical subspecialty (ENT) was that I felt that anyone with time and a brain can read a book and learn how to do primary care. The only real advantage I hold over any particularly smart patient is that I have the skills to operate. For someone who wanted to learn medicine on his or her own and had the brains to put it together, surgical skill and training is the only thing I hold over their head. All docs have this advantage: physical exam experience (but anyone can read Bates and learn a few things), access to labs/radiology/diagnostic tests, and the ability to prescribe. The longer I've been in medicine the more I've come to realize that dx is 85% history, 10% physical exam, and 5% diagnostic tests. Let's face it, plenty of med students never attend class and pass Step I with flying colors. I was not one, but there were 3 in my class who never came to lectures, never read notes, never listened to the tapes (as far as anyone could tell) but always did well. I was too paranoid to try that. So what's to stop a smart patient from doing the same. I have the same advantage over the increasing intrusion on medicine that is being caused by CRNA's, dentists, NP's, PA's, and psychologists. They can't operate. So my question is this. What other than the 3 things I've said above is the advantage of being a PCP? Now don't take that as being demeaning. I hold the highest respect for PCP's--many of whom I consult myself when I have patients with conditions I can't treat. I'm not trying to say that their intelligence is less (most are probably smarter than me), I'm not trying to say their skills are weak (most are definitely well-trained in my experience), nor am I saying they don't provide an important and needed service (they most certainly do). But what's the advantage? Feel free to personally attack now. |
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#28 | |
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Avec caféine.
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Quote:
__________________
Dr. Cox: "I don't know if they taught you this in the land of fairies and puppy dog tails where you obviously, if not grew up, then at least spent most of your summers, but you're in the real world now! N'kay?" |
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#29 | |
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Senior Member
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I could treat those conditions, but ethically I find it outside my scope of practice. I don't treat those who I think may receive better care from another provider just as I would hope my own physician would refer me if he didn't feel he could provide the best care. |
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#30 | ||
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Avec caféine.
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Quote:
![]() ![]() Theodoric of York Medieval Barber Quote:
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#31 | |
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Tanned for Bowling
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Oh, you mean Theodoric the Naturopath?
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#32 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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Because ultimately, this is what PCPs will have to defend to Congress and insurance companies. And I'm not sure that they've done a good job of it as of yet. |
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#33 | |
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Moving Far Away
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#34 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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How would you suggest that physicians be able to show quality over quantity or benchmarks to show overall that cutting monetary corners to increase "health care access" is a bad idea?
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#35 |
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Avec caféine.
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#36 |
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Moving Far Away
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I never said that cutting corners to increase "access" was a bad idea. On the contrary, doctors are like any other professional, with vast differences in skill and quality. However, those with less skill and quality in most professions end up garnering a lower salary, thuis increasing access to their services. It's a lot cheaper to hire the ticket clinic than a corporate lawyer. Medicare/Medicaid pay the same to specialists in the same specialty regardless of whether they are good or not. The government isn't able to omnisciently look from Washington to make the same sort of quality determinations that you and I make every day in our purchase decisions. Pay for performance, which will supposedly address this, will be a disaster, as general rules will hurt those that are the exceptions to them and doctors rig their practices to meet requirements. Who gets hurt? The people who are actually sick.
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#37 |
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Senior Member
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#38 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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Most healthy people only need "simple care".
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#39 |
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Moving Far Away
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My somewhat limited experience in the observation of primary care medicine has shown me that the vast majority of people who frequent the doctor are NOT healthy. Most doctor's visits are not the domain of healthy 23 year old college students.
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#41 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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Most healthy people
A general PCP check up to a cursory physical and blood work for LDL, cholesterol, BP, and HIV testing, with safe sex counseling, nutrition counseling, and exercise encouragement does not need 4 yrs of college plus 4 yrs of medical school plus 3 yrs of FP residency. I'm a rather healthy 33 yr old who wanted to just get my regular check up as I hadnt had one in...oh...I don't know....4 yrs or so. I was sorta offended that I went through all the trouble of choosing a physician, looking at where they went to school, how old they were, etc only to have a PA end up seeing me in total. But then I thought about it and said "Well...did I really NEED to see a physician? Did my health care suffer because I saw a PA instead?" Don't get me wrong. I'm a strong supporter of FP. I'm just playing devils advocate. And the advocate in me questions these things constantly in my mind. |
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#42 | |
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Craniorectologist
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You wont know you suffered till you are that one person who didn't get his Hodgkin Lymphoma diagnosed early and instead was given an antibiotic, told it was a virus and sent home. The common person is not fit to determine what is good quality healthcare if all they look at is their own health when they are 30.
__________________
Dr. Cox: "Lady, people aren’t chocolates. D’you know what they are mostly? Bastards. Bastard-coated bastards with bastard filling. But I don’t find them half as annoying as I find naive bobble-headed optimists who walk around vomiting sunshine." KotOR II, Kreia: "It's such a quiet thing to fall, but it's a far more terrible thing to admit it." The Ladder Theory |
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#43 | |
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Senior Member
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That happened to me...It took a trip to an MD in FP...one in ENT, then finally a trip to an IM guy to get it right.. The first two were arrogant and clueless, it seems. |
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#44 |
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Tanned for Bowling
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In my ACLS class a few weeks ago, an NP said flat out that doctors will be "obsolete" in primary care soon enough.
It was hard to find a reason to disagree. If you run an HMO, which would you rather hire... an NP for 75k or an FP for 150k? Especially if you are for-profit and couldn't care less about the level of training of your minions as long as they don't get into too much trouble? The main thing protecting FPs are remaining legal barriers to NPs including supervision requirements... but trust me, those last barriers will dissolve soon enough between the nursing lobby, the HMO lobby and the socialized-medicine lobby. Just ask some of the midlevel regulars around here like emedpa... he honestly considers himself the equal to EM physicians and for all intents and purposes, he is. |
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#45 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Lunch on the Summit
Posts: 3,518
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"Just ask some of the midlevel regulars around here like emedpa... he honestly considers himself the equal to EM physicians and for all intents and purposes, he is."
appreciate the compliment but not exactly my thinking; I know more em than the vast majority of physicians who are not em docs so I am a better fit for working in an emergency dept than say an fp or im doc without extensive em experience, BUT I know less em than a residency trained/boarded em doc, HOWEVER, in 90% + of cases there is no difference between my care and that of most em docs. I think I probably know more primary care than most em docs because of the nature of my training and recertification requirements (which are primary care focused) but less primary care than someone who does that full time. make sense? as for the future, I see more pa/np folks working in primary care as members of multidisciplinary teams with oversight and collaboration provided by family medicine physicians. the doc will always be the captain of the ship but that doesn't mean the executive officer can't run the ship most of the time.
__________________
Emergency Medicine P.A., EMT-P 23 Years working in EM |
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#46 | |
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Avec caféine.
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That NP is dangerous, by the way. The worst kind of ignorance is not knowing what you don't know. |
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#47 |
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Craniorectologist
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No kent.. there is worse... the DK-Cube aka DK*3. They don't know that they don't know what they don't know. Sounds like that NP qualifies.
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#48 | |||
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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Quote:
so you saw not one but TWO physicians who missed a diagnosis. Quote:
So it looks like midlevel providers aren't the only ones that do incomplete workups. Quote:
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#49 | |
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Craniorectologist
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But if you are going to try and convince us that you would rather see an NP and not an FM/IM/Ped about your not so obvious Hodgkin Lymphoma... then hey by all means... when you get a lump or a sore throat... you know where to go. |
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#50 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 338
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It's not a matter of who I'd rather see, it's a matter of who I'm going to see. After all, I intentionally chose a Family Physician as my PCP with my new insurance, and instead received a PA. I'm not even sure the physician was even in the clinic that day. I'm sure the physician does this to bring in more revenue for his practice. Until physician's start agreeing that they cannot be replaced my midlevels, this argument is moot to begin with. We are in large part causing our own undoing. |
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