So basically everyone has the ability to score over 40 they just have to find the right way to study?? not sure I believe that one.
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Sounds like a good plan, but not trying to scare you, this is my personal experience. I was scoring around a 34 on the practice MCATs with a high of 37 and a low of 32 (not counting the first 2), but almost always 34 or 35 with a few 33s. Somehow I got a 31 on the real thing scoring 10s on the sciences which I only did once on any science section, (on the BS section of AAMC4 I think). Thank God my verbal stayed where It usually was though!
I also read somewhere on here about a guy saying he was usually at a 36-37 and ended up with a 28 on the real deal. Maybe we just had a hard test or got really unlucky.
On a more positive note, I do think if you score 35s consistently on the Practice tests you will PROBABLY score a 33+ and will be almost guaranteed a score of 30+. If you can pull a 33 or higher, as long as everything else is great, you can be competitive at any Med school in the nation (minus washington Univ, but thats another story, haha)
I 100% concur with you here, at least for much of the test-taker population.
There is a ceiling for most test-takers. But many people never reach their ceiling because they either (a) don't go over their practice exams after they take them so they never learn from their mistakes, (b) don't put the hours into studying, (c) worry so much about memorizing facts and using flashcards that they don't pick up the test-taking skills they need, (d) they get bogged down on the facts and never absorb the concepts and logic, or (e) they lack confidence on the day of the exam and let the demons take their toll.
For the people who do everything they can and put their heart and soul into it just to hit that ceiling, I always feel horrible. You see how hard they work and their sincerity, but know that hitting 30 is going to be a fight. When they do hit their 30, there is nothing more satisfying as a teacher. When they don't, there is nothing as depressing. Luckily, it seems that these same people who get their 27 after six months of blood, sweat, and tears manage to do great in the admissions process (especially interviews) and generally land on their feet somewhere. It's a great process really, because the MCAT is not the end-all, be-all. Every year we have at least one 38-40 MCAT scorer who is one of those
ceilingless people who cruise to a great MCAT score, but don't take preparing for the interview seriously, and it costs them.
You also hit on another great point and that is:
the test is random. If I've come to learn anything by reviewing the scores of our students over the past year it's that there is a
HUGE discrepency in their performance from exam to exam. Had you taken the July 24 exam, you likely got a low score. Had you taken the September 6 exam, you likely got a real score higher than your practice test maximum. There is no consistency from one exam to another, so your performance reflects luck-of-the-draw in terms of topics as much as it reflects your abilities. I really hate to say this, especially given what I do for a living, but it's just the facts. I believe there is a +/-4 factor in terms of performance. A person averaging 33 on the latest of our practice exams could get anywhere from 29 to 37 on the real thing, just based on what exam they happen to get. The statistics we've seen this year in terms of average TBR CBT score versus actual MCAT score have a bigger range than in the past, wth the range spreading in both directions. With fewer passages and questions than previous exams, the randomness factor seems more severe on the CBT than the old paper exam.
I do believe there are some people without a ceiling. They see the exam as a puzzle as much as a multiple choice test that impacts their future. They learn from their mistakes and figure out how to eliminate them. They have the ability to explain most anything. They never complain about the test. I think
Q of Quimica,
Broken Glass,
Roadrunner and
Drizz are examples of such people. There are more here at SDN I'm not thinking of, but these people amaze me everytime with a positive outlook on the academic process. When they miss a question (on those rare occassions), they embrace it with an "ahh, so that's how they did it."
But whether there is a ceiling or not, I have to mirror the comments of
mirrortodd that you'll never know if you've hit that ceiling if you stop working.