If any one else could post the UW self assesment score along with the NBME as well as the real thing it would be greatly appreciated
for me, the UW sim test was very accurate. I took it a week before step one and got a 232, and ended up with a 233 on the real thing. On the sim exam and the real exam, I was checking roughly the same amount of questions in each block.
On SDN, it seems most people feel that nbme 3 is the best predictor. for me nbme 3 was the worst predictor. My most accurate predictor was actually my mcat score plugged into the step one calculator. Here is a quick run down of my different predicted scores...
nbme 5, four weeks out...228
all of usmle world q bank in random blocks, 67% predicting the mid 230's using that 2.3 x % + 84 equation
nbme 3, one week out...244
uw sim exam, one week out...232
mcat score of 30, predicted 233 on the step one calculator.
I know I don't follow the trend at all, so take it for what it is worth. Looking back, I can't believe how much I obsessed over three little numbers!