I'm going to play devil's advocate and argue that of those USMD and USDO seniors who go unmatched, it could be because they ARE unqualified, or chose to apply to a specialty that they were not competitive for. Unfortunately, there are going to be some medical students who are not competitive applicants to ANY residency program, this could be for a variety of reasons (bad interpersonal skills, failed attempts at STEP exams, poor academic history during medical school).
Additionally, there are some applicants who decided to apply to something competitive but did so with poor strategy (ie. deciding to apply to neurosurgery with low publications, no research year, bad away rotation performance, bad step 2 score, no back up specialty, and a poor demonstrated interest in the specialty).
I'm more inclined to believe that the latter category is smaller in size than the former, I think most US medical students get good mentorship and are smart enough to make an informed decision about specialty choice that is in their best interest.
In any case, the applicants that go unmatched likely have some combination of factors between these two categories, or poor mentorship that make them less than ideal-candidates.
There are many IMGs who are dying to come to America for a good quality of life and are willing to meet a far higher standard in order to do so. They have good step scores, well-written applications, and go above and beyond to earn those seats. Additionally, most of these 4000 IMGs you mention are filling spots of less competitive/desirable specialties like family med, internal medicine, emergency medicine, etc. that are desperately needed in America.
I think there is a balance between prioritizing American medical students and meeting our country's healthcare needs. I don't see matching 4000 IMGs as a bad thing at this time. Those medical students who went unmatched either need to seriously evaluate where their strategy went wrong when applying or consider a different specialty if they need to.
Also I believe the correct numbers are 20K USMD seniors and about 8K USDO seniors APPLIED to the match. There are more than enough spots to accommodate US students. I think this furthers the narrative that a lack of strategy and merit might be where these US students are failing.
The NRMP releases results for over 44,000 applicants and almost 6,400 residency programs Today, the National Resident Matching Program® (NRMP) is excited to recognize Match Day for its 2024 Main…
www.nrmp.org
The NBOME applauds the extraordinary success of DO seniors who achieved a 92.3% match rate – the highest NRMP match rate on record.
www.nbome.org
Edit: I also love this video below, shoutout to the sheriff.