Columbia: pretty hopeful if you're one of Frantz's favored few; otherwise you can forget it
Duke : still pretty long, not given any idea of where we stand so unranked?, some hope
EVMS Top 1/3 and invited to preview weekend-You're in, Regular top 1/3-very good chance, Middle 1/3-possible but not very likely without a LOI, Bottom 1/3-delayed rejection 99%+ of the time.
Harvard: 50/50 chance, but usually doesn't move until June
Mayo : incredibly long, tiered but we're not told what tier we're on, almost completely hopeless
MSSM: not too good, they only take a tiny fraction of waitlisters each year.
Penn State : pretty hopeless
UNC not great instate, probably worse out of state. Instate, three tiers, 15 per. Last year took 6 off instate. However, status does change, acceptances mirror characteristics of withdrawal.
U Penn: Exciting Tier 1 and Preview- you're in, Exciting Tier 1-maybe, Generic Tier 1-Don't get your hopes up, Tier 2- essentially a rejection
VCU : relatively good
Wake Forest : pretty good chance if it's your #1 and you write an LOI
Wash U : really long, possibility that there are two types, "thriver" and regular, feels pretty hopeless
Yale: High waitlist- you're pretty much in, Tier 1- you're pretty much in, Tier 2- maybe 50/50 chance, Tier 3- Don't get your hopes up
I would be interested to know GW, Tulane and MUO (I know they divide it into thirds in May) if any SDNer out there has any insight.