Can NBME be underestimating me?

[medpack87]

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There is a similar thread, but its from 2009. So I wanted to start a new one and also make a poll about it.

I wanted to know how well does the NBME's correlate with the STEP1. Is there a chance that the predicted score the NBME is giving is underestimated? Usually I read that the NBME score overestimates your real score, but are there people that had it the other way round?

Im asking this because I have done NBME 13 and 11 and I get around 80-85% of correct questions, and my estimated score is around 228. I find this very bothering, because I have also been doing FA Rx simulations (much longer practice sessions than the 4 hour NBME) and I get around 70-75% correct answers (much lower than what I get at the NBMEs, maybe because its a longer test or some questions are harder or more WTF type of questions), and it gives me a predicted of 230-235.

So... even though Im scoring higher in the NBME, I get a lower predicted. What are your opinions on this? Is there someone out there that the NBME actually underestimated you, or is it highly unlikely that will happen? Having completed 2 NBME's and getting exactly the same score worries me a little, I feel like I reached my peak level, and according to NBME it is 228, and even more worried if that predicted is supposed to be overestimated.

My exam is in 42 days. Vote on the poll, and I would appreciate your opinions too.

 

[John Lannister]

Yes. NBME is underestimated you by 13 points.

 

[usmlefighter]

There is a similar thread, but its from 2009. So I wanted to start a new one and also make a poll about it.

I wanted to know how well does the NBME's correlate with the STEP1. Is there a chance that the predicted score the NBME is giving is underestimated? Usually I read that the NBME score overestimates your real score, but are there people that had it the other way round?

Im asking this because I have done NBME 13 and 11 and I get around 80-85% of correct questions, and my estimated score is around 228. I find this very bothering, because I have also been doing FA Rx simulations (much longer practice sessions than the 4 hour NBME) and I get around 70-75% correct answers (much lower than what I get at the NBMEs, maybe because its a longer test or some questions are harder or more WTF type of questions), and it gives me a predicted of 230-235.

So... even though Im scoring higher in the NBME, I get a lower predicted. What are your opinions on this? Is there someone out there that the NBME actually underestimated you, or is it highly unlikely that will happen? Having completed 2 NBME's and getting exactly the same score worries me a little, I feel like I reached my peak level, and according to NBME it is 228, and even more worried if that predicted is supposed to be overestimated.

My exam is in 42 days. Vote on the poll, and I would appreciate your opinions too.

NBME is better in estimation compared to all other sources ( UWSA etc..), so with in the available sources the only best option we have is NBME Self assessment forms.

Take 3-4 NBME online then make an average of those exams then you will sure get rough estimated score for real exam. variation can be +10 or -10 of your NBME average score.

NOTE:Mood, Stamina, seriousness, tie management and calm composed mind always plays a big role, so improve those things (implement those things) to get better score on real exam day.

ADVICE: Change poll question as How did your Average NBME's score correlate with your STEP 1 score (Add Average NBME score in the poll question)

Better luck !

 

[medpack87]

I think I cant change the poll questions, only my post.

Thank you for you input though. I know a lot of factors play in when giving the self assessments and the real exam, I consider myself very cool when giving tests, but I also know when the real exam comes I will probably be a lot more nervous.

 

[medpack87]

Yes. NBME is underestimated you by 13 points.

you mean that NBME underestimated YOU by 13 points?