I'd be content matching into any top 50 academic IM program at this point.
My school's IM ranking is pretty similar, maybe slightly worse than its medical school ranking. If my medical school is top 40 to 50, then I'd say it's IM department is 50 to 60 in terms of ranking.
Programs I am VERY interested in are places like USC, Cedars-Sinai, Rush, UPMC. I am aware programs like Northwestern, UCLA, Mount Sinai are probably out of reach but I'll apply to a couple of Reaches anyways.
I have spoken to my advisors quite a bit. They don't have a lot of good recommendations other than "I should have a chance at these programs, but top 20 programs is a crapshoot for anyone. I'd recommend adding a couple more target/safety programs".