How Accurate are the NBME Practice Tests?

[LichenPlanus]

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With the minor change in Step 1 in May, how accurate are the NBME's in predicting your scores. I know responses would be anecdotal data, but in your experience, how predictive was it?

 

[dfib slim]

Average of my last 5 was 2 points under.

 

[seminoma]

Average of my last 3 was within 5 of my score.

 

[olivarynucleus]

Scored 9 points above my highest NBME. Granted that NBME was taken 2 weeks prior to Step 1

Are the NBME test the same as the self assessments?

 

[NYUyankeezfan]

I took NBME Form 13 and scored a 209. I was FREAKING OUT!!!

Two weeks later, I took the USMLE, scored a 223. Take these exams with a grain of salt, honestly. Also, assume that UWorld is EASIER (not harder) than the actual exam questions.

 

[AnonymousD.O.]

I'm anxiously awaiting my score but I think most people say they are about as predictive of a practice test as there is. Of course nothing is going to simulate the real thing perfectly, but if you take 3 NBMEs (preferably the later ones, i.e. 15 - 17) and the scores are all very close to each other, I think its safe to say most of the time they predict well. I missed the same amount of questions (give or take one or two) on all three of my NBME's, so I expect that they should predict my USMLE score pretty well. I will say though, the USMLE I thought was harder, both because it was longer and the integration of disease states and physiology was more prevalent on the actual exam. There were more hard physiology concept questions

 

[OnePunchBiopsy]

Scored 6 points higher than my highest NBME. Took it 1 week prior to my exam. I took NBME 15, 16, and 17.

 

[orthogenes]

bump

 

[newyorkcitymed]

NBME 13, 17, and 18 were very close to my score on the actual exam.

 

[13132]

With the minor change in Step 1 in May, how accurate are the NBME's in predicting your scores. I know responses would be anecdotal data, but in your experience, how predictive was it?

What minor change are you referring to?