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They dont have a NSG program there, only in FL and MN.I think it's a mixed bag. Programs that are very small and competitive, when looking at candidates to interview, might pick those from known schools rather than new schools. Larger fields (like IM), it will have much less effect -- we interviewed candidates from some of the new schools that are graduating their first class and didn't worry about it. As far as "name recognition", I think a branch campus ends up being seen "like any other US MD school" -- if your home/sponsoring school has "great name recognition", the branch campus is likely to be seen as more average. That said, one benefit might be the opportunity for 4th year rotations -- if you can go to Mayo MN for a 4th year rotation and get a letter, that's a win.
Of note, a new small branch campus might not have every program available. If there's no neurosurgery program there, you'll find it very hard to get a NS spot, for example (I have no idea if they have NS or not).
Overall, I don't think there's much downside to a new school / branch campus for most.
Personally, I know little about Mayo AZ first hand. I know a fair amount about them overall because I am currently looking at jobs and that area has come up more than once. I don't think that I have any questions in my mind that they will 'succeed' and build a strong school. I don't think that it being a 'new school' will have a ton of impact on you individually. There will still always be the same name/prestige biases, especially trying to obtain a northeast residency compared to the schools in the northeast, but you know about that already.
My brother was in a similar situation and we had some long discussions about this. You need to know the financial aid from the other schools and then factor in costs of living as well. Wait lists can put a wrench in that, but with so many unknowns it is hard to compare.
If HMS opened up a new campus in AZ and called it HMS AZ do you think you would have similar doubts?
I think it's a mixed bag. Programs that are very small and competitive, when looking at candidates to interview, might pick those from known schools rather than new schools. Larger fields (like IM), it will have much less effect -- we interviewed candidates from some of the new schools that are graduating their first class and didn't worry about it. As far as "name recognition", I think a branch campus ends up being seen "like any other US MD school" -- if your home/sponsoring school has "great name recognition", the branch campus is likely to be seen as more average. That said, one benefit might be the opportunity for 4th year rotations -- if you can go to Mayo MN for a 4th year rotation and get a letter, that's a win.
Of note, a new small branch campus might not have every program available. If there's no neurosurgery program there, you'll find it very hard to get a NS spot, for example (I have no idea if they have NS or not).
Overall, I don't think there's much downside to a new school / branch campus for most.
What makes you think Mayo Clinic AZ grads won't have an advantage when it comes to matching in a prestigious residency at Mayo Clinic Rochester?
One of the biggest issues I've heard regarding truly new schools, which Mayo AZ really isn't, is regarding clinical rotations and questions about the quality of clinical rotations. This is something that won't be an issue for students at Mayo Clinic AZ. Also consider the case of Hofstra Northwell. This is a truly new school and they don't have the advantage of being a branch campus of a very well established/top 20 school nor do they have the same level of name recognition and prestige as Mayo Clinic. But Northwell is a well respected hospital system in New York and this school has quickly climbed in the rankings. They have a nice match list, with many of their grads matching into prestigious specialities at Northwell and staying in that health system for residency. If Hofstra Northwell students haven't had any issues, I can't imagine why Mayo Clinic AZ students would especially given all the opportunities to do selectives, research and rotations at Mayo Clinic in Rochester.
with full tuition, if you're fairly certain if you don't do anything super competitive you won't be devastated, and you work super hard, it's hard to see how you can lose here
unless the school, being new, is a total disaster, and I doubt that
Same rotation opportunities as MN.
I'm not so sure this is 100% accurate. I don't recall the exact specifics about this, but I think most rotations will end up being done in AZ. I know you have the option to do some rotations in MN or FL, but I don't think you can just pack your bags and spend all of 3rd/4th year there (the FL 2+2 track notwithstanding). I feel like from a med student perspective this is fine, because we'll still be learning about horses and not be able to appreciate zebras anyways at that point. But I don't know how PD's might look at it.