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So the end result is that it is an easier system to eliminate a portion of a ton of possible applications by using a heuristic involving the assumption that those individuals with higher academic success are likely to succeed more often than the alternative.
But at the same time that this is clearly in play, you still see
https://www.aamc.org/download/270906/data/table24-mcatgpagridall0911.pdf
from that chart that people below 3.0 gpa and w/ low 20s MCATs are getting into med school at about a 10 % rate. And that was for recent years... it is not even like that was a chart including a long time ago. So if all these automatic systems and cut offs are clearly in place and a major focus of schools how does that category still have 10 percent of applicants get in? However small or not you may consider 10 percent that is still something...
And I know applicants that are URMs might come up, so here is my supplement to show that it isn't solely about that.
https://www.aamc.org/data/facts/app...mcat-gpa-grid-by-selected-race-ethnicity.html
specifically
https://www.aamc.org/download/157958/data/table25-mcatgpa-grid-white-0911.pdf
The percentage does drop on that chart to single digits for the area I was talking about, but once again they aren't being shut out, even if overall there are "good physicians" from that category are being overlooked
Yes, you are still given some consideration with lower MCAT/GPA. It's NOT a cutoff. Even as a heuristic, they are still looking below that line for absolutely exceptional outliers. They exist and you don't want to miss them, so you might have a subcommittee that spends a small amount of time on each application on the way to the shredder. Those apps can be returned by said committee. Of course, the system may not look quite like that, but it's definitely one possibility.
Also, many (possibly most/all) low GPA students are either URM or non-trad (or, at minimum, strong upward trend). Those are treated differently. It's not the same as the weak 2.8 all the way through college student. Stop trying to rationalize low grades or work around it....