USMLE Looking for feedback on predicting your step score

[Laradd]

With all this covid pandemic forcing me to be home I wanted to work on something useful for my fellow colleagues. I remember when I was taking my step exam that I was really frustrated with trying to estimate what my score would be with the practice tests and digging through posts on student doctor and reddit to try and find a correlation. I've spent the past week gathering up all the data I could find on student doctor, reddit and other forums and putting it all together into one giant algorithm. I present to you the fruits of my labor: predict my step score

It's still a work in progress so if anybody has any feedback or suggestions it would really be appreciated. Also if you have already taken your exam you can still submit your score which i use to improve peoples predictions in the future so that is always appreciated.

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[Oligodinero]

Doesn't seem to be accepting my UWSA1 or UW %

 

[Laradd]

Hi there,
Can you clarify? It seems like it went through properly

 

[bigindian4891]

Doesnt work, I put in scores and nothing happens.

 

[Oligodinero]

Doesnt work, I put in scores and nothing happens.

^ This. Maybe it doesn't play well with Safari? I haven't tried it in Firefox. Edit: I just tried it in Firefox and nothing happens when I click on the Predict button in that browser, either.

 

[Oligodinero]

OK, now that I entered an NBME form result it's spitting out a score. Nice. I hope it's a fairly accurate predictor. if so, I'm feeling better already.

 

[Laradd]

Thanks for the feedback. I see the issue you were having and went ahead and fixed it.

 

[NecrotizingFasciitis]

Having trouble with UW QBank % Correct for Step2CK. The NBME7 & UWSA1 predictions align with my Reddit predictions though; pretty convenient

 

[Deecee2DO]

My question is why are there two boxes? One says 230 in gray and the other says 30 without actually putting anything in. What are you supposed to put in the second box on the right? Thanks for making this btw! Also how accurate is this? It says p value <.005 which is appears accurate but it puts me at a 246 and there is no way in heck thats accurate with a 217 baseline NBME 21 and 73% first pass UW% of which im only 50% through on timed random specially since my exam is in June.

 

[shemer77]

It has instructions right at the top and you probably set the days before as your exam score so if you got a 217 on NBME 21 and you took it 217 days before it is very likely you'll improve to 246 in 217 days lol

 

[Deecee2DO]

It has instructions right at the top and you probably set the days before as your exam score so if you got a 217 on NBME 21 and you took it 217 days before it is very likely you'll improve to 246 in 217 days lol

Lol i switched it to 67 days which is when my exam will be and it said same thing. Then did 1 day and it said same

 

[shemer77]

I helped out with this project as well transferring alot of the data on sdn and it's just based on the weights associated with those exams so its technically feasible. Unfortunately NBME 21 is one of those weird exams where I wasn't able to get alot of data. On top of that, according to the data we have, 21 underpredicts so that is part of it as well