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Also confirms my hunch that 2012 was the most absolutely bonkers year ever.View attachment 400993
In my book the best simple metrics for "competitiveness" are # of Senior US MD/DOs applying and % of spots filled by Senior US MD/DOs.
Using these 2025 was improved from the last five years but nowhere near the 200 + applicants and 95%+ from a decade ago
All this is sorta dumb. It was too competitive in the past and many on this board and in the field are suffering from a sort of "underemployment"...a career trajectory that they didn't think would be ultimately manifested as a highly paid community doc or an "academic" without much opportunity for meaningful academic work.
I would still discourage the field for aspiring physician scientists (excluding the very rare PhD specific to our field). Much better odds at taking a run at this sort of thing in other fields. I enjoy my job. I do not consider radiation oncology "exciting". That is too bad.
Agree with @NotMattSpraker comment above about concern for IMGs. They will undoubtedly be great in general, and regardless of how great they are, they will be valued a bit below US grads forever. The fact that IMGs and DOs are filling the spots means that there will be a better job market for US MDs. This is how it works.
The H1B visa program is administered at the state level and there are limited spots. I do think IMG radonc grads are going to have basically no geographic flexibility whatsoever. Some of them may run into visa crisis situations (or nearly all of them).
Yeah, our concerns about the match and even ROCR seem quaint or at least provincial at present.If leverage is a goal of a medical student right now, they should look elsewhere.
Like most docs, I had taken a bit of comfort in "the liberal consensus" and enjoyed doing well while also doing some good. I have no confidence in this consensus at present. The human experts are being pushed aside by non-experts with capital and influence. The public is increasingly getting their information directly from computers, including computer generated content.
We are all very elite, but we are not Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP elite, Ivy League board of trustees elite or tech broligarchy elite...we are vulnerable going forward.
Still, I would never discourage a young person from becoming a doctor. It provides great solace to me that when I go to work I am trying to prevent recurrence, reduce pain, manage symptoms, provide comfort, provide insight and sometimes markedly prolong life.
Hope the program directors have a sincere sense of responsibility regarding their IMG trainees.