1) a 31 with an 8V is not that great of a shot for CA schools.
I had 30 with an 8 on Bio (a much bigger sin than an 8 on Verbal) and was interviewed at UCSF and accepted to Davis. And the rest of my app wasn't as impressive as the OP's seems. It's very possible.
And this is why I said, "especially if he's a non-native speaker". You need to get a passable score, but you will get the fact that English is not your first tongue taken into account when they're looking at your whole app.
2) You talk about the SMP program getting you into 'one medical school' as though that were a major disadvantage. Is there any particular reason you would need or want to hold more than one acceptance?
Instead of funneling efforts to getting into
one medical school that happens to have a linkage program, I think it's better to improve your app to get into
many medical schools. Anymedical school is a good one, but I personally haven't seen llinkage programs to any of the schools I applied to (and I applied
broadly to 36 schools).
And the OP's a Californian. Aside from the benefits of going to medical school where you hope to practice, if he were able to do the UC thing, he could be saving $100K by staying in state.
You describe him as limited to a 'handful of random schools'. Do you think if he gets an 8V that he's going to get into dozens of schools, and be able to choose the one that best suits his personality? I think, at best, he'd end up choosing from a different handful of random schools.
The difference is he'd be choosing from a handful of schools he'd self-selected when applying. That's a big boost from narrowing yourself down to the, what, 10 or 15 medical schools that have linked SMPs? Are any in California? Or the west coast? You see what I mean?
3) Everyone seems to assume the OPs score can only go up. I assume has had significant turoring between each MCAT retake. ... My SMP costs 15K and takes one semester, not 45K and a year.
Wow. I honestly had no idea that there were Master's degrees out there to be had in one semester. My bad. I thought they were all one year minimum.
So, change what I said to 5 months and $23,000. That still pays for a whole lot of specialized instruction.
I see your point, though, Perrotfish. I just get a little uncomfortable telling folks to so severely limit their options before all other options are completely explored. The guy has fantastic stats aside from that Verbal. If he's literally done everything he can, an SMP is a good idea. I'm just not sure he has yet.