What are my chances?

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I think you will have a below average chance at Columbia...just my 2cents
 
What AA and TS is competitive for Columbia? 22? 23?
In my opinion, "competitive" means above average. So since Columbia had an avg. of 22+AA for the past two years, I would say you need a min. of 23AA to be considered "competitive." But then again, I'm just an applicant like yourself so who knows...