Initial Interview Invite Predictor 2.0

[todentornottodent]

Since we're ramping up for the new cycle I figured I'd update last year's predictor I made. I just added some dates that were missing. I gathered data re: when initial interview invites were sent out from SDN over the past 4 years and developed a sheet that presents that information and offers a predicted initial invite date for this year's cycle (23-24) based on past years along with a rating of confidence in the outputted answer. The lower the standard deviation, the more confident I am in that date prediction.

This is just to give people a general idea and help mitigate the neuroticism that comes with waiting – and it will only be reliable if you submitted early on in the cycle.

We're out of covid at this point, which delayed invites in the past, so maybe we'll see earlier invites this year. But probably not, you know how dental schools are.

Let me know if you have any questions about the sheet (or input).

Initial Interview Offers (if you submitted EARLY, like June)
		2019​	2020​	2021​	2022​	Average*	Standard Deviation*	Estimated Range
Alabama
	UAB	16-Jul​	26-Aug​	17-Jul​	13-Jun​	18-Jul​	30​	17-Jun​	to	17-Aug​
Arizona
	ASDOH	1-Aug​	24-Aug​	1-Aug​	19-Jul​	3-Aug​	15​	19-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
	MWU AZ	13-Jun​	4-Aug​	13-Jul​	9-Jul​	10-Jul​	21​	18-Jun​	to	31-Jul​
California
	LLU	3-Sep​	22-Jul​	15-Sep​	10-Oct​	4-Sep​	33​	2-Aug​	to	7-Oct​
	USC	14-Aug​	24-Sep​	2-Sep​	5-Sep​	3-Sep​	17​	17-Aug​	to	20-Sep​
	UCLA	2-Aug​	3-Aug​	5-Aug​	5-Oct​	19-Aug​	31​	18-Jul​	to	19-Sep​
	UCSF	15-Aug​	16-Sep​	1-Sep​	2-Sep​	31-Aug​	13​	18-Aug​	to	13-Sep​
	UoP	5-Sep​	21-Sep​	25-Aug​	2-Sep​	5-Sep​	11​	25-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	WesternU	11-Aug​	26-Aug​	2-Sep​	31-Aug​	25-Aug​	10​	15-Aug​	to	4-Sep​
	CA Northstate			9-Sep​		9-Sep​		9-Sep​	to	9-Sep​
Colorado
	CU	30-Jul​	10-Sep​	7-Sep​	9-Aug​	21-Aug​	21​	31-Jul​	to	11-Sep​
Connecticut
	UConn	3-Jul​	13-Jul​	30-Jun​	8-Jul​	6-Jul​	6​	30-Jun​	to	11-Jul​
DC
	Howard	8-Oct​	22-Sep​	30-Aug​	4-Sep​	15-Sep​	18​	28-Aug​	to	3-Oct​
Florida
	LECOM	31-Jul​	20-Jul​	14-Jun​	1-Jul​	9-Jul​	21​	18-Jun​	to	29-Jul​
	NOVA	20-Jun​	7-Aug​	22-Jul​	27-Jul​	19-Jul​	21​	28-Jun​	to	8-Aug​
	UF	5-Jul​	1-Sep​	9-Jul​	12-Jul​	22-Jul​	27​	24-Jun​	to	18-Aug​
Georgia
	DCG	10-Jul​	28-Jul​	13-Jul​	9-Aug​	22-Jul​	14​	8-Jul​	to	5-Aug​
Iillinois
	MWU IL	4-Sep​	8-Sep​	15-Sep​	11-Aug​	1-Sep​	15​	17-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	SIU	21-Aug​	16-Sep​	15-Sep​	5-Oct​	14-Sep​	18​	26-Aug​	to	2-Oct​
	UIC	30-Aug​	14-Sep​	17-Sep​		10-Sep​	10​	31-Aug​	to	19-Sep​
Indiana
	IU	30-Aug​	7-Oct​	2-Nov​	3-Nov​	10-Oct​	31​	10-Sep​	to	10-Nov​
Iowa
	University of Iowa	10-Jun​	10-Jul​	17-Jun​	16-Jun​	20-Jun​	13​	7-Jun​	to	3-Jul​
Kentucky
	University of Kentucky	29-Jul​	21-Aug​	10-Aug​	5-Aug​	8-Aug​	10​	29-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
	University of Louisville	24-Jul​	14-Aug​	11-Aug​	28-Jul​	3-Aug​	10​	24-Jul​	to	14-Aug​
Louisiana
	LSU	15-Jul​	10-Aug​	11-Jul​	5-Jul​	18-Jul​	16​	2-Jul​	to	2-Aug​
Maine
	UNE	12-Aug​	8-Oct​	16-Aug​	17-Aug​	28-Aug​	27​	1-Aug​	to	24-Sep​
Maryland
	UMD/UMB	21-Aug​	14-Sep​	30-Aug​	1-Sep​	1-Sep​	10​	22-Aug​	to	10-Sep​
Massachusetts
	Boston U	2-Aug​	1-Sep​	24-Aug​	31-Aug​	22-Aug​	14​	8-Aug​	to	5-Sep​
	Harvard	10-Sep​	18-Sep​	17-Sep​	16-Sep​	15-Sep​	4​	11-Sep​	to	18-Sep​
	Tufts	11-Sep​	24-Sep​	21-Sep​	20-Sep​	19-Sep​	6​	13-Sep​	to	24-Sep​
Michigan
	UDM	29-Jul​	5-Aug​	2-Aug​	1-Aug​	1-Aug​	3​	29-Jul​	to	4-Aug​
	UMich	5-Aug​	16-Sep​	10-Sep​	14-Sep​	3-Sep​	20​	14-Aug​	to	23-Sep​
Minnesota
	UMinn	20-Jul​	3-Aug​	16-Jul​	17-Aug​	29-Jul​	15​	14-Jul​	to	13-Aug​
Mississipi
	UMMC	20-Aug​	11-Aug​		16-Sep​	26-Aug​	19​	7-Aug​	to	13-Sep​
Missouri
	MOSDOH	22-Aug​	16-Aug​	13-Aug​		17-Aug​	5​	12-Aug​	to	21-Aug​
	UMKC	17-Aug​	11-Aug​	19-Aug​	23-Aug​	17-Aug​	5​	12-Aug​	to	22-Aug​
Nebraska
	Creighton	7-Aug​	4-Sep​	12-Aug​	11-Jul​	8-Aug​	23​	16-Jul​	to	31-Aug​
	UNMC	17-Aug​	24-Aug​	19-Jul​	10-Aug​	9-Aug​	16​	25-Jul​	to	25-Aug​
Nevada
	UNLV	22-Jul​	19-Oct​	17-Sep​	16-Aug​	2-Sep​	39​	26-Jul​	to	11-Oct​
New Jersey
	Rutgers	15-Jul​	24-Aug​	13-Aug​	18-Aug​	9-Aug​	18​	23-Jul​	to	27-Aug​
New York
	Columbia	20-Aug​	31-Aug​	21-Aug​	22-Aug​	23-Aug​	5​	18-Aug​	to	28-Aug​
	NYU	5-Sep​	12-Oct​	30-Sep​	16-Sep​	23-Sep​	16​	7-Sep​	to	9-Oct​
	Stony Brook	10-Sep​	21-Oct​		26-Aug​	18-Sep​	29​	20-Aug​	to	17-Oct​
	Touro	17-Jul​	27-Aug​	21-Jul​	19-Jul​	28-Jul​	20​	9-Jul​	to	17-Aug​
	SUNY Buffalo	23-Aug​	13-Oct​	20-Aug​	26-Aug​	4-Sep​	26​	10-Aug​	to	30-Sep​
North Carolina
	ECU	7-Jul​	15-Aug​	23-Aug​	30-Aug​	11-Aug​	24​	17-Jul​	to	4-Sep​
	UNC	12-Aug​	4-Sep​	9-Sep​	24-Aug​	27-Aug​	12​	15-Aug​	to	9-Sep​
Ohio
	Case Western	29-Jul​	11-Sep​	31-Aug​	8-Sep​	27-Aug​	20​	7-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	OSU	30-Aug​	12-Nov​	1-Nov​	7-Sep​	5-Oct​	38​	28-Aug​	to	11-Nov​
Oklahoma
	Univeristy of Oklahoma	12-Sep​	16-Sep​	20-Aug​	8-Aug​	29-Aug​	19​	10-Aug​	to	17-Sep​
Oregon
	OHSU	1-Oct​	12-Oct​	1-Oct​	15-Sep​	29-Sep​	11​	18-Sep​	to	10-Oct​
Pennsylvania								0-Jan​		0-Jan​
	Temple	22-Aug​	1-Sep​	7-Sep​	9-Sep​	2-Sep​	8​	24-Aug​	to	10-Sep​
	UPenn	16-Aug​	2-Sep​	26-Aug​	8-Sep​	28-Aug​	10​	18-Aug​	to	7-Sep​
	Pitt	14-Aug​	21-Aug​	25-Aug​	7-Sep​	24-Aug​	10​	14-Aug​	to	3-Sep​
South Carolina
	MUSC	22-Aug​	18-Aug​	21-Aug​	9-Aug​	17-Aug​	6​	11-Aug​	to	23-Aug​
Tennessee
	Meharry	27-Sep​	11-Oct​	28-Sep​	22-Sep​	29-Sep​	8​	21-Sep​	to	7-Oct​
	UTHSC	24-Jul​	2-Sep​	13-Aug​	4-Aug​	10-Aug​	17​	24-Jul​	to	27-Aug​
	Lincoln Memorial
Texas
	TAMU	31-Jul​	7-Aug​	11-Aug​	18-Jul​	1-Aug​	11​	21-Jul​	to	11-Aug​
	Houston	3-Aug​	18-Aug​	3-Aug​	2-Aug​	6-Aug​	8​	29-Jul​	to	14-Aug​
	UTHSCSA	26-Jul​	31-Aug​	3-Aug​	3-Aug​	8-Aug​	16​	23-Jul​	to	23-Aug​
	El Paso		19-Aug​	12-Aug​	18-Aug​	16-Aug​	4​	12-Aug​	to	20-Aug​
Utah
	Roseman	3-Sep​	5-Nov​	13-Sep​		27-Sep​	34​	24-Aug​	to	31-Oct​
	Univeristy of Utah	5-Sep​	26-Aug​	6-Aug​	8-Aug​	19-Aug​	14​	4-Aug​	to	2-Sep​
Virginia
	VCU	23-Jul​	13-Aug​	16-Aug​	9-Aug​	7-Aug​	11​	27-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
Washington
	UW	3-Sep​	9-Sep​	9-Sep​	30-Aug​	5-Sep​	5​	31-Aug​	to	9-Sep​
West Virginia
	WVU	27-Sep​	18-Sep​	2-Sep​	15-Jul​	31-Aug​	33​	29-Jul​	to	2-Oct​
Wisconsin
	Marquette	11-Sep​	21-Sep​	7-Sep​	2-Sep​	10-Sep​	8​	2-Sep​	to	18-Sep​

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[Ryxndek]

Will certainly keep an eye out and see how close they are this cycle. Thank you!

 

[Mr.Smile12]

Just noting the one variable: dates of incoming class orientation. It would be extremely challenging to run admissions interviews against orientation and first week of classes.

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