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I think this could be a real problem in the future. I don't see midlevels opening up EDs on their own or taking over contracts but I do see them replacing physicians in terms of hours worked. I think the most likely senario is one where more and more EDs use midlevels supervised by physicians. There will then be fewer physicians needed in the ED. I can easily imagine EDs that have traditionally had double or triple physician coverage dropping to single coverage with multiple midlevels.
If we go to socialized healthcare several of the roadblocks to this will be removed. Med mal will likely be greatly reduced as a barrier. Patient satisfaction won't matter (eg. post office and DMV). Cost will become the absolute paramount issue and midlevels may be seen as the way to reduce those costs.
Remember that the driving force behind American healthcare that that people want the absolute best care they can get without ever paying anything out of pocket.
I agree with this. When a midlevel can do 80% of your job, you have a problem. That's the key problem with being primary care internists, peds, and FP and anesthesia. The distance between the physician and the level below should be large and vast. Like how it is in surgery, rads, etc.
It makes economical sense to turn ED physicians into more supervisors of multiple midlevels than being hands-on. PA's aren't so bad. It's the DNP's who are advocating to work autonomously in any clinical setting, including the ED.