NPs and PAs are already practicing with complete independence, just not performing surgeries. That's why my consult pool is so terrible. Don't get me wrong, I think PAs with the proper training and oversight do a great job. I have one that works for me now, and she's fantastic. But that's because I've taken the time to teach her. Standard Army protocol, however, is that you do 2 years of PA training and then you're more or less making the same decisions as an FP doc. They're in way over their heads. Most of the PAs I deal with realize that. Most of the NPs I work with are in the same boat, but think they know far more than they do.
In any case, i think they would definitely get civilian docs to deploy if they paid well, and I don't think they'll start having NPs or PAs performing surgeries.....but then again....I've found a brilliant formula that perfectly predicts every move the US Army will make (MEDCOM specifically....please don't share this with the enemy, they might use it against us): whatever the worst possible choice might be in a decision, that's the one MEDCOM will go for.
The fact of the matter is that most of MEDCOM is utilized stateside. The Army doesn't need such a large stable of physicians unless they're running a large hospital system. They're going the same way as the AF - eliminate most hospitals and keep a few larger tertiary care centers open specifically to house your doc stable. There will be a concomittant downsizing of medical staff. In a perfect world that would mean reducing the contractor pool first, but then again see the formula... They'll want to start reducing the size of the AD component, and this is one step in that direction. Ultimately it'll mean fewer docs, longer deployments where necessary. It'll also mean hospitals chock full of people with not much to do. Like most MEDCOM decisions, it makes some sense for primary care where they're booked out 6-8 weeks and there's no continuity. For my people it'll mean a lot of ass-in-the-chair time.