Originally posted by LovingItAll
"Geez" dude - get over yourself. We're all so lucky we have someone as smart as you to critique our ability to research and form [valid] arguments.
In the absence of either..the shoe fits.
Your main arguments as presented were either logically flawed (invalid) and/or completely contradictory to readily-available evidence -- um, like the existence of shortages..which you claimed in the most general sense, later tried to claim you never did, yet all the while neglecting how half your arguments as presented depend on general shortages (go back to the original post if you don't think there's some argument shifting going on here).
So no, my statement has nothing to do with my high opinion of myself, since asking for one who asserts to be able to back up sensational claims with evidence or logically valid arguments
from the start is not a flatteringly high bar to set, particularly in such a field of researchers and seekers of truth. Arguments are taken how they are presented, and the ones you presented were blatantly invalid and unsupportable. SO here's another attempt..let's see how much the argument has been shifted now..
Well then you'd think wrong. Just because doctors want to protect their paychecks doesn't mean there has to be a "conspiracy." All it means is that they'd be resistent to allowing competition -- and since its doctors who man licensing boards, and doctors who advise policymakers (predominately via the AMA's political activities), they certainly have the ability to control the supply of physicians.
In the scenario I gave, it would indeed require a conspiracy (among
and within groups -- do you want also to claim no consp. necessary within groups?). If you don't like the scenario, point out its flaws, but more importantly for your own argument's sake, since I am rebutting you,
he who asserts, give a (policy) scenario
without conspiracy (and not some over-simplified drivel like "people make up boards and people are selfish therefore policy is of greed"), which can honestly be evaluated. It's not that it's impossible, it's that it hasn't been done. See the point? More on this later.
Yeah, I stand corrected, 15 years between accreditations. That proves that the medical community has accommodating the market's ability to control doctor supply?
Nope, it doesn't, nor does it try to. Recent accreditation diminishes any argument that the AMA has prevented any new schools. I'm not the one who made the argument:
LovingItAll:
Mercer was the last med school that was accredited, and that was in 1985...[since] our country needs more docs...why the hell haven't more med schools popped up?
Ok, so you're now conceding my point, that your statement was wrong (and so were similar statements), so rephrase to say something else, like "why has there been only
one school created in the past two decades..?". But that would diminish the strength/biasing effect of your above statement (since would show policy to increase docs), which above statement was used to support the theory that greed is policy is the reason (which is a circular argument to begin with). Further, to change the statement to be accurate would be to concede that you're shifting arguments.
While you're at it, retool your arguments while dropping the general shortage claim, and the arguments that are dependent on it, then see what's left -- did you in fact make the case that there are regional FP shortages? Have you made it obvious that simply increasing FP residencies results in sufficient FPs in those under-served areas? Have you shown what's preventing FP residencies alone from increasing? Do you have any policy examples..who's policy? What are the motives for the policy, and how do you know this? I'll address your shifted arguments on this down below..
Well, you seemed to have missed my "simplistic logic." I said population increase *and* the fact that its getting older, indicates that we need more doctors.
So if you weren't arguing general shortages, why mention population increase at all, why say that such an assertion "indicates that we need
more doctors", and not a mere shift in distribution, or even just "more FPs"? It's all the same to you? The economics all just works itself out? Wow, glad there's such a simple one-size-fits-all solution, everyone studying HR economics can go home now.
Further, why refer to gross ACGME residency stats at all, exclaiming:
"..all the ACGME manages to churn out is an extra 2500 more positions?"
..if you were only referring to regional (FP?) shortages? (so the way to address regional shortages of an expensively-trained, highly specialized, non-fluidly-mobile, non-corporate-controlled, human commodity is just to flood the market? Read those same articles to see a glimpse of some of the varying -- i.e., not obvious -- expert viewpoints, or read up on HR macroeconomics,
he who asserts...).
The only other references you make to shortages are when discussing FPs, which if taken alone, shifts your argument. Is the ultimate problem now with the AMA policy of greed that it restricts the FPs in rural areas? Make that argument (oops, too late -- we're onto a different debate now..), back it up coherently, and then it can be responded to intelligently.
In other words, concede on the old argument/statements, then make the new case that you're making below (rather than trying to make it sound as though your original argument, the one responded to, makes any sense). This will become more clear as we continue..
Did you even read the article you provided a link for?
They are predicting SHORTAGES in physicians despite an increase in doctors per capita.
Precisely. Did you even read my argument that you're currently addressing?
As I stated, the one study -- for which there is no consensus among the peer-reviewed experts -- that says anything about a general shortage is one that
predicts a future one, not one that refers to any supposed current shortage. Your argument, as stated, relies on current shortages, not projected ones (i.e., known unstoppable shortages caused by past greedy behavior):
Wherever the (projected) shortages are still preventable, you haven't shown any policy of greed.
Where any supposed shortages occur because the ACGME or LCME listened to the peer-reviewed research (which you interestingly claim later in this post), however flawed the underlying reasoning, then you cannot use this to support your *AMA policy of greed* hypothesis.
Where there are no shortages, you cannot claim greed caused them. Where there are, you need to rephrase half your arguments to stop alluding to general shortages and explain how greed *policy* is the cause of regional shortages (this burden is on you,
he who asserts.., not I).
But in your fantasy policy world (see below), such a projection of general shortages as this one would be ignored? But then again, it wouldn't be needed, because the system would be perfectly balanced in Feng Schwinnng... w/ zero lag in responsiveness, because if everyone would just let go of any control of physician supply, the free market would solve, by flooding the system with so many physicians that everyone's satiated with quality affordable medical services(?!) Wow.
So..in your next counter-post, will you be big enough to concede any of this, or even that I had clearly read the article when I first referenced it?
Besides, doctors per capita isn't the only metric for determining physician shortages. If I can't get into to see my family doctor for another 3 weeks, and when people wait hours and hours to see a doctor, that tells me there's not enough of 'em.
If anyone, it was you who was over-simplifying the "metrics" -- I'm not the one who made the argument that (in part) b.c. populations are increasing, yet residency numbers have
not increased, there must be a shortage. For that argument to make any sense, or the follow-up, that the solution is to increase number of physicians, it'd be dependent on physicians per capita data. A counter-argument need only be as simplistic as the argument. A slightly more complicated argument, one not argued, would be to increase FPs while not increasing docs overall. Since this alternative isn't even addressed (could be dismissed outright, if you still claimed a
general shortage
), your proposed solution (e.g., `..therefore general increase needed to solve regional problems`) does not follow. But if you'd like to shift in that direction, I will address it, too.
BTW if we had a truly "free market" (and one that is fluid enough to seep into deficient areas) of physicians, as you seem to advocate below, then there would sure as hell still be waiting lists to see the better doctors (as there are now in well-served areas -- this is typically seen in HR economics or economics of quality and is not simplistically caused by insufficient supply).
Some people waiting does not support your argument. More on economics below.
Moreover, there are significant areas in the country that are underserved. But then again, you probably don't believe that either.
Uhm, that's addressed all over my post. Now that we
both acknowledge (me from the start, you in your 2nd Affirmative) the only real shortages are
regional, and now that regional shortages are the narrowed focus of your argument, I can respond to it in kind (below).