Is the table like "accepted to at least 1 school?" or "overall acceptance rates"?
looking at this table reminded me of when i first learned about the (electronegativity, size, ionization energy, etc.) trends on the periodic table. based on this framework, i think i'm somewhere around phosphorus.
Is the table like "accepted to at least 1 school?" or "overall acceptance rates"?
Yea zero. All doctors have to pass the USMLE to graduate from a MD school, including the person who got a 12 on the MCAT. You can't pass the USMLE without having science knowledge - do you have any idea how hard that test is?
So if they can pass the USMLE, why does the MCAT have any relevance that is greater than zero when assessing physician ability?
I am not a statistics person, but I would have to say that the sample size is a bit small in comparison to the rest of the chart.
... So in reality, people who have an MCAT of under 20 make up only slightly more than half a percent of accepted people. ...
You realize that MCAT requires you to remember & apply 2 years of science...and the USMLE....wait for it...requires you to remember & apply 2 years of science. Except its a LOT more science in those two years that the USMLE tests.
And the fact that you have to take the USMLE Steps II, and III years down the road, where there is nothing like that for the MCAT.
None at all. The MCAT is only for medical schools to assess you, and it's a pretty good assessment IMO. I was just saying if someone got in the teens on the MCAT, I wouldn't want them getting into medical school until they took it again and scored higher. There are some people who get straight A's and then forget everything after the class is over. The MCAT makes sure that doesn't happen. If you get a 4.0 and do horribly on the MCAT, how are we to know that 5 years after you take the USMLE, medical school won't all be a blur to you? That's why you have a lot of useless doctors - they forgot all the science and just turned into prescription writing machines.
I agree with you, I was just pointing out that not being able to "remember everything" is probably not the primary reason people get horrible scores on the MCAT considering probably 95% of ppl who take it have to review their college coursework fairly heavily. I honestly think the MCAT is one of the most perfect standardized tests ever developed.Why don't we rephrase what Superman is saying!!!
There are a lot of people I know with close to 4.0s at my institution who can't score past the teens on the MCAT. A lot of these people are ones who took easier online classes, classes which were open notes, classes where the old tests were being passed around and in many cases the same questions as the year prior, etc. People who needed their cheat sheets for their physics classes to pass them but probably couldn't tell you much about it if they had to on their own.
In other words people who got As but not really learned anything nor necessarily more intelligent then a person who got say a B but didn't cheat their way through or took harder classes.
I know a lot of people like this at USF and have discussed this issue adnauseam in the Fl. threads in the past.
However, the MCAT--at least the sci. portion of the MCAT--distinguishes between those who actually can understand what they learned and understand well enough to apply it and those who just got by in classes in a lot of cases.
... I honestly think the MCAT is one of the most perfect standardized tests ever developed.
I am not a statistics person, but I would have to say that the sample size is a bit small in comparison to the rest of the chart.
In the example by the OP, 20% of people with 3.8+ and and 18-20 MCAT get accepted. Looking at the chart, 99 people out of 515 got accepted from this category. But, looking at total applicants, there were 784 applicants at under 20 MCAT and 3.8+ GPA out of 23850 total in the 3.8+ range. This means that out of all the applicants, 3.29% had an MCAT of 20 or less and a GPA of 3.8+. Now, if we look at the total number of people who got accepted with a 3.8+, we see that MCAT scores of 20 and less make up 119 acceptees out of 17676, which equals .673%. So in reality, people who have an MCAT of under 20 make up only slightly more than half a percent of accepted people. I think that shows that your MCAT really makes a difference, regardless of what your GPA might be.
Moving to 29 and under with 3.8+, there are 5753 acceptances out of the 17676. This equals 32.5%. So this chart actually shows that with an MCAT score of 30, you still have only ~35% chance of getting accepted regardless of GPA.
I think that this is the most telling part of the chart, along with the excel graph. 20% of people is a lot, except when it is out of 515, and that 515 is out of 17676 total acceptances in the range. When you think about, 20% of 3.29% is not very significant in any way.
If I made a miscalculation, please correct me.
Only if you focus on what it tests, rather than what it is used for. It tests the prereqs nicely. But the prereqs are only hoops to jump through and don't themselves relate well to what physicians need to know or demonstrate aptitude for. So it's a very good test on the prereqs that does a very bad job of assessing who will be a good doctor. Which is why no med school focuses solely relies on this kind of stat.
This table=wonderful, and I agree that it essentially negates most of the "What are my chances?" threads... one more thing to keep in mind is mean age of matriculants... found here http://www.aamc.org/data/facts/2008/age0208.htm. Higher age/more experience can make up for some faults, like low GPA or MCAT and it would be wise to keep that in mind.
I'm sure that particular applicant had an amazing background and extenuating circumstances, so stop being so quick to judge and jumping to conclusions, unless you're this guy:
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No, it really does not negate the need for those threads because the tables do NOT tell an applicant his "chances" at a certain intersection of GPA and MCAT, particularly on the lower end. To apply these stats to individual chances is a total misuse of statistical probability the further away from the meaty part of the bell curve the data lie (high and low).
The applicants with low MCAT and low GPA are highly self selecting - just look at how small the pool of applicants and acceptees is at the lowest combinations - most people with these stat combos do not apply because they know they have no chance. Virtually all of these applicants have intangibles or other mitigating factors (URM, UG GPA was from 10+ years ago - have a PhD now, English is not their first language, Olympic athlete, etc). People with really low stats aren't stupid - they know that they do not have any chance and thus they do not apply UNLESS they have special factors in their favor.
A sub 3.0 GPA and/or a sub 28 MCAT is deadly for the vast majority of people with those stats, the exceptions coming for applicants with special circumstances and other mitigating factors like race, post graduate degrees, world class ECs, etc.
Hold on now cowboy, I'm not saying that the threads are useless, nor am I advocating the misapplication of statistics - I'm saying that this chart now takes the guesswork out of the "low GPA high MCAT what are my chances kind of inquiries." Negate was perhaps the wrong word to use, but my vocab has shrunk because I no longer use English on a daily basis. This table is about as accurate an answer as can be provided regarding their chances (purely statistically speaking) of admission to ONE (not any given) allopathic medical school. Unless people responding to the "WAMC" threads are part of an admissions committee than I'd say it would be hard to provide more meaningful input reagarding the numbers. EC's are also exteremely difficult to quantify, so again, unless the poster is bringing some special experience or insight to the table, then no real comment on chances going up or down can be made. I never said that people with low GPA and MCAT were stupid or that this chart means that they should give up hope, but it certainly drives home the point that with such scores, they need to stand out in other ways.
Wrong. You don't get it. Misapplied statistics squared.
No, it really does not negate the need for those threads because the tables do NOT tell an applicant his "chances" at a certain intersection of GPA and MCAT, particularly on the lower end. To apply these stats to individual chances is a total misuse of statistical probability the further away from the meaty part of the bell curve the data lie (high and low).
The applicants with low MCAT and low GPA are highly self selecting - just look at how small the pool of applicants and acceptees is at the lowest combinations - most people with these stat combos do not apply because they know they have no chance. Virtually all of these applicants have intangibles or other mitigating factors (URM, UG GPA was from 10+ years ago - have a PhD now, English is not their first language, Olympic athlete, etc). People with really low stats aren't stupid - they know that they do not have any chance and thus they do not apply UNLESS they have special factors in their favor.
A sub 3.0 GPA and/or a sub 28 MCAT is deadly for the vast majority of people with those stats, the exceptions coming for applicants with special circumstances and other mitigating factors like race, post graduate degrees, world class ECs, etc.
first of all you can easily divide out URM using the ethnicity table so that point is moot. second, it isn't a misuse of statistics to look at the chart ans say that on average, among those who apply with Y GPA and Z MCAT score X% get accepted. whatever assumptions you have to make for those who apply is a different story. just as you claim that those who are applying with lower stats have other parts of their apps that are very strong there are those who apply with high stats (especially MCAT) with other parts of their application being especially weak and they decidied to apply simply because they got a high MCAT score.
This table=wonderful, and I agree that it essentially negates most of the "What are my chances?" threads... one more thing to keep in mind is mean age of matriculants... found here http://www.aamc.org/data/facts/2008/age0208.htm. Higher age/more experience can make up for some faults, like low GPA or MCAT and it would be wise to keep that in mind.
My MCAT and pre-req classes (which are towards the upper right of that chart) haven't taught me much about surgery. Apparently that's what medical school and residency are for.
I am not a statistics person, but I would have to say that the sample size is a bit small in comparison to the rest of the chart.
In the example by the OP, 20% of people with 3.8+ and and 18-20 MCAT get accepted. Looking at the chart, 99 people out of 515 got accepted from this category. But, looking at total applicants, there were 784 applicants at under 20 MCAT and 3.8+ GPA out of 23850 total in the 3.8+ range. This means that out of all the applicants, 3.29% had an MCAT of 20 or less and a GPA of 3.8+. Now, if we look at the total number of people who got accepted with a 3.8+, we see that MCAT scores of 20 and less make up 119 acceptees out of 17676, which equals .673%. So in reality, people who have an MCAT of under 20 make up only slightly more than half a percent of accepted people. I think that shows that your MCAT really makes a difference, regardless of what your GPA might be.
Moving to 29 and under with 3.8+, there are 5753 acceptances out of the 17676. This equals 32.5%. So this chart actually shows that with an MCAT score of 30, you still have only ~35% chance of getting accepted regardless of GPA.
I think that this is the most telling part of the chart, along with the excel graph. 20% of people is a lot, except when it is out of 515, and that 515 is out of 17676 total acceptances in the range. When you think about, 20% of 3.29% is not very significant in any way.
If I made a miscalculation, please correct me.
They should get slapped in the face. How dare they have fun while the rest of us slave away for this test?😀
Maybe they were applying to a carib school, could it really be that preposterous?
As has been said more than once in this thread, the grid is only for U.S. medical schools.
I never knew how random admissions were.
I had a 3.8something and a 36 MCAT.
I got rejected from everywhere first time around. Next year I applied (without any new grades/MCAT), and I got a scholarship from a top 15 school. I'm just glad I decided to apply to "one more place".
It's hard to say what will happen until you put your hat in.
-random MS2
No 🙂 The Puerto Rican schools are certainly part of this data.Woops sorry bout that.
Maybe they were accepted to U of PR... could that be so preposterous :]
The AAMC takes into acct not just the 50 states but PR schools and Canadian Schools data. The PR schools are known for lower averages but need people who understand spanish to be able to go there.
Wow one guy with a 2.60-2.79 GPA and 5-14 got accepted.
Contrary to some people's small world, the MCAT does not relate to how good of a doctor you will be. It's a standardized test, given to you ~10 years before you will be a practicing physician, how could you possibly make any inference about whether someone will be a good physician 10 years from now because they got below a 20 on a standardized test? Threads like this are why I usually stay far, far away from Pre-Allo.
Maybe not, but the MCAT is highly predictive of who gets into med school in the first place...I'm just sayin'...
Maybe not, but the MCAT is highly predictive of who gets into med school in the first place...I'm just sayin'...
In the great majority of cases this is true but not always true. You can see my exceptions down below. I believe no rules in this game that is admissions process are set in stone per say always. A lot of them depend on the circumstances of the file and subjective factors involved in this process.
I am honestly not smart enough to understand this sentence.
Jesus christ!!! What's with the grammar nazis???????
Let me rephrase: THERE ARE NO RULES THAT ARE SET IN STONE 100% OF THE TIME!!!!!! Happy??????????
People need to get the overall point instead of making a big deal over a few grammar issues on a message board. SERIOUSLY!
Jesus christ!!! What's with the grammar nazis???????
Let me rephrase: THERE ARE NO RULES THAT ARE SET IN STONE 100% OF THE TIME!!!!!! Happy??????????
People need to get the overall point instead of making a big deal over a few grammar issues on a message board. SERIOUSLY!
Put it in an excel graph real quick:
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What does this mean? It seems that there is a big jump in acceptance when you reach 3.4 in your GPA. The jumps are smaller after that.
Meaning, it seems medical schools tend to look for a minimum of 3.4 as evidence of enough capability so that GPA isn't a huge hinderence. Obviously, higher the better as with anything else, but there isn't a huge difference after 3.6, and probably not worth worrying too much about improving your GPA once you hit that number.
MCAT, there is a big benefit of every point until about 32-33. Then it starts to drop off, so much so that after 36, there seems to be very little benefit in getting that extra point and not worth worrying about improving the MCAT after 35.
What does this mean from strategy perspective? If your GPA is below 3.4, you should first spend some time to get it up to that point. After that, if you have a choice between GPA and MCAT, your best bet is to focus on the MCAT until it is around 33. Conversely, if your MCAT is 33+, then your highest yield might be spending a year and trying to get your GPA to 3.4. If your GPA is already a 3.6, and/or your MCAT is a 33, you should focus on another part of your application.
3.6 and 35 seem to be the points where you get diminishing returns, while 3.4 and 30 seem to be the 'big' jump points for minimum qualification.
Pretty much stuff we had guessed, but it seems to be validated by data.
so it's all URM students that make up this %?
so it's all URM students that make up this %?
This post rocks!
I didn't get into a US school when I applied but I was fortunate enough to transfer. I did well on the MCATs but got rocked when it came to my GPA. This graph really makes me wish I didn't take on so many engineering classes....
Would you mind if I shared this graph with some undergrad students? I will reference you Lokhtar.
so it's all URM students that make up this %?