You have more experience with the topic than I, but I sense there are large market forces in place now that take a uniquely long time to change. IE # of slots (which have effects 6-7 yrs down the road), current workforce saturation, overall downward trend in reimbursement and virtually no incentive to increase in the future even being discussed, high liability rate, night shift expectations, could go on. I just don't see many of these problems changing for a while, if ever. IE like trying to steer an aircraft carrier. Banking on it getting better with no concrete plan in place - and immediate momentum in the opposite direction - seems risky. I like the idea of being a visual diagnostician all day, but at a certain point it doesn't seem worth it.
We are doing well if you look into it from business standpoint. I can argue no other fields could really survive all these cuts. Still our salaries are more than most physicians.
Reimbursement cut happens to all fields, but it happened more to radiology in the last 6-7 years. I think though it will also happen in the future, it won't be more than other fields.
Liability is in the middle of most fields. I have an article about it somewhere in my archive that showed it is about the average.
Nigh shifts yes. It will stay forever. The field has changed to a 24/7 field and will stay like this forever. Won't go back. If you don't want to work nights, do something else.
Not a life-style field anymore and it won't change.
Most of what you say would be right if the field were static. The field is technology driven and will change over time rapidly, unlike many other fields. For example, ophtho revenue is heavily dependent on cataract surgery. Once the reimbursement for cataract surgery was cut siginificantly in mid 80s, ophtho salaries dropped significantly and never recovered. On the other hand, in mid 80s reimbursement for Xray dropped significantly ( also radiologists lost cardiac cath turf). Not only radiology workload and salaries didn't drop, but also it increased because of advancement in other areas.
This year CMS decided to pay for low dose chest CT for lung cancer screening in heavy smokers. It is not yet well established, but translates into 3 million/year more CTs which is slightly less than the total number of cardiac stress tests done in the US annually. Also CMS approved reimbursement for screening breast tomosynthesis. Though it will not pay significantly more per case, giving its large volume the total workload and revenue will be huge.
So, I personally don't think that we will be out of job or our reimbursement will go down in the future. Our field will remain well paid. However, we will get busier. This is not and will not be a life-style field. In the future, we will have to work even harder. If you like it, then do it and it will be rewarding but you will work your a$$ off.