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Step I algorithm for UWorld --> real score
Started by Lolo08
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same here... really close
Underestimated me by 9.
I'm taking it this formula is for timed, random, unused??? I've completed 82% of UWorld with a 70% avg cum. untimed, tutor, and I randomize the subjects (eg. path, pharm, anatomy...) rather than the body system...do you all think this formula holds relatively true for the way I and some others use UWorld, or should I chop off a few points from a roundabout prediction? This formula's got me at a 252, which seems both realllly high and awesome at the same time...I just don't want to get too excited because a prediction in and of itself means crap....I took nbme 5 and got a 228, but this was a good many weeks ago....going for nbme 4 on friday before d-day on tuesday..what do you all make of this???
hey guys,
so it overestimated my score by quite a bit i feel...as a conservative estimate, my UW overall avg was 81% (probably about 84% on the last 7 blocks AT LEAST, had a couple in the 90's) which translates to 278. My real score was 266, but at the upper end it's probably not possible to estimate with this formula.
so it overestimated my score by quite a bit i feel...as a conservative estimate, my UW overall avg was 81% (probably about 84% on the last 7 blocks AT LEAST, had a couple in the 90's) which translates to 278. My real score was 266, but at the upper end it's probably not possible to estimate with this formula.
Wow- just computer that. Predicted my score dead on. Scary!
Nope, no correlation for me. Off by 21 points. I guess the farce was with me that day.
overestimated me by 9 pts, but i still like my score.
76% cum. = 266 expected
actual = 257
76% cum. = 266 expected
actual = 257
haha me too i wish i got rounded up though for that one extra point but oh well
So, is UWorld considered really good compared to all the others? I ended up taking that RX one and my real score was a lot lower than what I got right before I took the real exam. so, i am planning to retake it in a few months. But, I wanted a change of course. Would Qbank or Uworld be the way to go? I am also considering Kaplan classes, but don't know if that would help much.
Close for me. Overestimated by three.... but I did most of world by systems rather than random.
Overestimated by 6 for me.
Also did random but untimed and in tutor mode. Time was never an issue for me though.
If you take my overall UW score it underestimated me by 17. If you take my last 8 blocks alone it was dead on.
If you take my overall UW score it underestimated me by 17. If you take my last 8 blocks alone it was dead on.
underestimated by 6
When you take your whole Uworld average...doesn't that vary alot by the fact that some ppl do questions at the end and some do questions all the way from the beginning of their studying? My cum. avg was probably upper 50s (I only looked once and forgot it since then) since I started questions off the bat, but the last 2 weeks before the test I was scoring consistently in the 70s (and 80s once)...so I feel that the cum avg would be significantly lower than maybe it should be...but if I calculated the predicted score with my mid-70s average that makes the predicted score WAY too high! I guess I just don't see how at least in my circumstance it'd be accurate.
Wasn't there a thread with a poll with this same question? It seems like that would be interesting info to look at if enough SDN'ers were willing to give input
im very skeptical of this "formula" even when its applied to the midrange scores. it hasnt been accurate for most of my friends and couple the 1 or 2 that had it within 5 pnts, still hasnt convinced me that this thing is right.
I think for the most part it has to be far off... I haven't had UW for a few months now, but I dont think the 50% percentile (equiv to a 218) is at a 56% correct... I may be over estimating the people out there, but considering that, this conversion can't be correct. I know I was at 76% complete, which was the 80th percentile... 80th percentile should be about 1SD from national average, or close to 240, yet the formula estimates me at 266... actual is only 12 points lower than that, but when the range of scores is only about 60-80 points, that puts this formula off pretty high and a pretty poor predictor. Most of you are either A) falling for the anecdotal evidence trap that gets people in trouble all the time or B) not realizing that if something is +/- 5-10 points in predicting, especially in the middle range of numbers, its not a really good predictor (realistically a 254 vs a 266 doesn't make that much of a difference, but a 235 vs a 223 for some programs is the difference between being considered for an interview and having your application dropped in the garbage before its even looked at)... i guess its better than not having anything, especially with the variability of the exams (I'm sure with the correct question set I might have been able to get that 266, or could have gotten a 242, or 212) so something that helps you gauge and ease your mind is fine, but looking at it after the fact is not all that helpful.
wow that's right on the money.
had a world cum of 69, ended up with a 250.
had a world cum of 69, ended up with a 250.
we should run these data points thru excel to figure out if there is an actual correlation or not. anyone? lol
overestimated my score by 13 points
