Alot of "is premed for me" threads..

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WestCoastNative

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got me thinking. I find medicine absolutely fascinating and it would be my number 1 career by a pretty large margin. Lately I've been seeing a lot of threads where members are questioning whether they're suited to become a physician/surgeon. The only issue that has me wondering is the uncertain future of M.D./D.O. graduates. Is it a wise investment in today's economy? As we all know, the U.S. population is mostly in favor of a European type health system. They want reimbursements to drop, but medical school costs to stay the same. Spending 12-15+ years pursuing a career in medicine, acquiring over 300k in loans, and than making 100-150k a year seems like an incredibly insane thing to do.. no matter how interesting medicine is to you. The lack of clarification for future medical graduates makes it very nerve racking for me. Should I take my chances and pursue what genuinely intrigues me, but has an uncertain future that might potentially be horrendous due to the vast amount of loans, or should I major in something stable like mechanical engineering?
 
got me thinking. I find medicine absolutely fascinating and it would be my number 1 career by a pretty large margin. Lately I've been seeing a lot of threads where members are questioning whether they're suited to become a physician/surgeon. The only issue that has me wondering is the uncertain future of M.D./D.O. graduates. Is it a wise investment in today's economy? As we all know, the U.S. population is mostly in favor of a European type health system. They want reimbursements to drop, but medical school costs to stay the same. Spending 12-15+ years pursuing a career in medicine, acquiring over 300k in loans, and than making 100-150k a year seems like an incredibly insane thing to do.. no matter how interesting medicine is to you. The lack of clarification for future medical graduates makes it very nerve racking for me. Should I take my chances and pursue what genuinely intrigues me, but has an uncertain future that might potentially be horrendous due to the vast amount of loans, or should I major in something stable like mechanical engineering?

No one here can tell you what to do. Yes loans suck, it takes a lot of effort, you may or may not make a lot (100K is way to low. 150 for family but 200 or 300+ easy for other specialities). The only way you will enjoy your life as a doctor is if you enjoy medicine. Unless you are passionate about it, don't do it. Becoming a doctor is very stressful but again, if it's something you feel you'd really love than go for it.
 
got me thinking. I find medicine absolutely fascinating and it would be my number 1 career by a pretty large margin. Lately I've been seeing a lot of threads where members are questioning whether they're suited to become a physician/surgeon. The only issue that has me wondering is the uncertain future of M.D./D.O. graduates. Is it a wise investment in today's economy? As we all know, the U.S. population is mostly in favor of a European type health system. They want reimbursements to drop, but medical school costs to stay the same. Spending 12-15+ years pursuing a career in medicine, acquiring over 300k in loans, and than making 100-150k a year seems like an incredibly insane thing to do.. no matter how interesting medicine is to you. The lack of clarification for future medical graduates makes it very nerve racking for me. Should I take my chances and pursue what genuinely intrigues me, but has an uncertain future that might potentially be horrendous due to the vast amount of loans, or should I major in something stable like mechanical engineering?

Inaccurate yo, too many people keep exaggerating how little docs make
 
4 years college
4 yeas medical school
3 years residency (internal medicine)
3 years fellowship (cardiology, gastroenterology, competitive IM-subspecialties)

This means 14 years later you can grab a salary at $300K+.

I agree with @sourdoughllama, which then makes me think, ironically, OP you may be thinking "12-15 years to earn $300K? AINT NOBODY GOT TIME FOR DAT"
 
4 years college
4 yeas medical school
3 years residency (internal medicine)
3 years fellowship (cardiology, gastroenterology, competitive IM-subspecialties)

This means 14 years later you can grab a salary at $300K+.

I agree with @sourdoughllama, which then makes me think, ironically, OP you may be thinking "12-15 years to earn $300K? AINT NOBODY GOT TIME FOR DAT"

+1 If people actually believed the 100-150k figure without exaggerating, there'd be less than half the people that there are now applying. Furthermore, I highly doubt the system can change so much that people will be paid half of what they're paid now (your made up income) while keeping all the fees the same. All doctors would quit and find other work so no, it won't happen that way.
 
You guys misunderstood. At the moment it would be really strange to make 100-150k in most specialties. I was trying to say that the future of medicine is uncertain. In 10-15 years!, it might come to a point where 100-150k is the norm for most specialties. What I'm trying to ask, is if that risk is significant. Is it probable that in around 15 years, salaries will be that low? Even if at some point the cost of medical school drops to accompany its salaries (I doubt it..), but you already completed medical school with 300k in loans, you've pretty much been screwed over. What makes it all nerve racking for me is the fear of being stuck with a large amount of loans, and a salary that doesn't match it; which in turn could make your life far from stress-free. And btw, the 10-15 years of school doesn't bother me in the least. The only problem I have AT ALL, is the uncertain future of medical school graduates.
 
You guys misunderstood. At the moment it would be really strange to make 100-150k in most specialties. I was trying to say that the future of medicine is uncertain. In 10-15 years!, it might come to a point where 100-150k is the norm for most specialties. What I'm trying to ask, is if that risk is significant. Is it probable that in around 15 years, salaries will be that low? Even if at some point the cost of medical school drops to accompany its salaries (I doubt it..), but you already completed medical school with 300k in loans, you've pretty much been screwed over. What makes it all nerve racking for me is the fear of being stuck with a large amount of loans, and a salary that doesn't match it; which in turn could make your life far from stress-free. And btw, the 10-15 years of school doesn't bother me in the least. The only problem I have AT ALL, is the uncertain future of medical school graduates.

Oops my bad bro, misunderstood. I couldn't tell you the future though haha
 
Even if we go full single payer (which it seems to be trending towards), I don't see physicians making less than 200k. Who knows what tuition will be by that time though, lol.
 
How is 100-150k a year not enough to comfortably pay 300k of debt? With interest you would be paying about 25k a year over 15 years, not to mention the new income based repayment system which would lower payments for starting physicians. With your estimate you would on average be still making around $100k a year, which is definitely upper middle class. I would be happy making that while also having an awesome career.
 
If you in it for the money, I'm sure you could find another career making a lot of money sooner than you would as a doctor without all the debt. I'm doing it because I love medicine and I'd do it even if I made 100K. But everyone is diff and everyone needs a certain lifestyle and it doesn't make me any better than you or vice versa. Do you man. Do you.
 
How is 100-150k a year not enough to comfortably pay 300k of debt? With interest you would be paying about 25k a year over 15 years, not to mention the new income based repayment system which would lower payments for starting physicians. With your estimate you would on average be still making around $100k a year, which is definitely upper middle class. I would be happy making that while also having an awesome career.

Depends on what you define "comfortable" as. Regardless, $25k a year is not a trivial sum, and I don't think the attitude of "don't worry about it, you'll be able to pay it back" is a healthy one. And while IBR "would lower payments," that "lowering of payments" isn't without cost - you're still going to pay more when you are pulling in the big bucks. I wouldn't count on things like the the PSLF program staying around - it seems optimistic at best to think that the federal government will continue paying the loans of professional students that will be perfectly capable of paying those loans without assistance when they get into the work force. But that's pure speculation.

Regardless, taking on $300k in debt that is non-dischargable with a salary of $150k is not a good financial time. Slash your salary by 25-35% to account for taxes, then tack on your 10-15% for IBR, and that's what your left with. Yes, it's a very livable salary, but you're by no means going to be wealthy - at least not for many years. And good luck having an "upper middle class" lifestyle on that salary in places like NYC, Boston, California, etc., which are the kinds of places young professionals frequently want to end up in. I say all this not because I think physicians are in a bad financial situation - not at all. Just that many people have expectations regarding their future salary that oftentimes is not congruent with reality.
 
Depends on what you define "comfortable" as. Regardless, $25k a year is not a trivial sum, and I don't think the attitude of "don't worry about it, you'll be able to pay it back" is a healthy one. And while IBR "would lower payments," that "lowering of payments" isn't without cost - you're still going to pay more when you are pulling in the big bucks. I wouldn't count on things like the the PSLF program staying around - it seems optimistic at best to think that the federal government will continue paying the loans of professional students that will be perfectly capable of paying those loans without assistance when they get into the work force. But that's pure speculation.

Regardless, taking on $300k in debt that is non-dischargable with a salary of $150k is not a good financial time. Slash your salary by 25-35% to account for taxes, then tack on your 10-15% for IBR, and that's what your left with. Yes, it's a very livable salary, but you're by no means going to be wealthy - at least not for many years. And good luck having an "upper middle class" lifestyle on that salary in places like NYC, Boston, California, etc., which are the kinds of places young professionals frequently want to end up in. I say all this not because I think physicians are in a bad financial situation - not at all. Just that many people have expectations regarding their future salary that oftentimes is not congruent with reality.

I'd say that's considered "comfortable." The median US income is around 50-60k (source: http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr12-02.pdf) That's still way lower than 150K - IBR - taxes. Lots of people make do with 300k loans for houses and avg incomes. The problem with lots of arguments like these is that people keep focusing on the first few years out of med school, when a decade or two down the line their lives will be more than comfortable by most people's standards. So of course people can say "Just out of school, in a place like NYC and with loans you don't even make that much" but that's the same for every career. Except most careers don't climb to 200K+. I'm not saying any of your points are incorrect; they're all right and very good to think about before making a decision based on money. It's just that it's skewed to look at the minimum salary + the highest cost of living places + the years you make the least money to prove a point.
 
I'd say that's considered "comfortable." The median US income is around 50-60k (source: http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr12-02.pdf) That's still way lower than 150K - IBR - taxes. Lots of people make do with 300k loans for houses and avg incomes. The problem with lots of arguments like these is that people keep focusing on the first few years out of med school, when a decade or two down the line their lives will be more than comfortable by most people's standards. So of course people can say "Just out of school, in a place like NYC and with loans you don't even make that much" but that's the same for every career. Except most careers don't climb to 200K+. I'm not saying any of your points are incorrect; they're all right and very good to think about before making a decision based on money. It's just that it's skewed to look at the minimum salary + the highest cost of living places + the years you make the least money to prove a point.

Well, sure, but here's the thing about these assumptions:

-Most people want to live in those high COL areas, particularly young folks like us - that's exactly why they're high COL. Obviously not everyone can go to those places, but I don't think it's inaccurate to say that many or most people would prefer to end up in a place like that. I say that as someone that has zero interest in places like that, but I seem to be the minority among my peers in that regard.

-While you'll obviously be making more money in the future, that doesn't help the immediate need of a huge amount of debt with an accompanying relatively low salary (or at least lower than what you'll expect). Keep in mind that this is also the time in your life when you'll likely be wanting to settle down and buy a house, get married, have kids, etc. etc.. The long-short of it is that there will be a lot of demands on your money at that time in your life. Depending upon the specialty you go into, your income may be a real concern. Sure, the ENT, optho, derm, etc. people obviously won't need to worry about it, but those interested in fields like FM and peds absolutely do.

Like I said, my point really isn't to depict physicians as some kind of poor underclass with no ability to meet their needs. That couldn't be further from the truth. I just think that it's important for pre-meds in particular to set their expectations accordingly. And while a worst case scenario may not ultimately end up applying to you, planning as if it does is not an unhealthy way to go about considering things. Some of the discussions you see regularly crop up in pre-allo about the realities of paying down your debt on a salary of $x are typically pretty naive and overly simplistic.
 
I'd say that's considered "comfortable." The median US income is around 50-60k (source: http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acsbr12-02.pdf) That's still way lower than 150K - IBR - taxes. Lots of people make do with 300k loans for houses and avg incomes. The problem with lots of arguments like these is that people keep focusing on the first few years out of med school, when a decade or two down the line their lives will be more than comfortable by most people's standards. So of course people can say "Just out of school, in a place like NYC and with loans you don't even make that much" but that's the same for every career. Except most careers don't climb to 200K+. I'm not saying any of your points are incorrect; they're all right and very good to think about before making a decision based on money. It's just that it's skewed to look at the minimum salary + the highest cost of living places + the years you make the least money to prove a point.

Agree 100% with this. The salary growth potential for a physician in the U.S. is entirely unparalleled.
Before people begin to argue that FP or PC only earn ~$180K or whatever the figure is, noone makes anyone go into a lower paying specialty - it is all about what you are interested in, what lifestyle you want for yourself, what field you are most comfortable working in. An academic neonatal surgeon probably makes upwards of $700K. Invasive cardiologists and GI (subspecialties of IM) earn a median salary of around $400K (assuming 5-10 years into an attending ship).

Whoever came up with the figure $150K is a hack.
 
Agree 100% with this. The salary growth potential for a physician in the U.S. is entirely unparalleled.
Before people begin to argue that FP or PC only earn ~$180K or whatever the figure is, noone makes anyone go into a lower paying specialty - it is all about what you are interested in, what lifestyle you want for yourself, what field you are most comfortable working in. An academic neonatal surgeon probably makes upwards of $700K. Invasive cardiologists and GI (subspecialties of IM) earn a median salary of around $400K (assuming 5-10 years into an attending ship).

Whoever came up with the figure $150K is a hack.

But the reality is that the average person is not going into neonatal surgery and should not be expecting a $700k salary. Basing salary expectations on procedure-oriented specialties like GI and cards whose income is HEAVILY dependent upon what Medicare decides to reimburse - which is a constantly fluctuating number - is a bad idea. Look at fields like rads and anesthesia for reasons why. The salaries of those fields are still extremely generous and will provide you with an excellent lifestyle, and in the end salary should not be the leading decision point on choosing a career, but it really is important to be realistic. Job dissatisfaction due to salary concerns - largely due to unmet expectations - is a real concern in medicine, especially as the cost of education increases, and warding against that starts now when people are beginning to think about the profession.

At the end of the day my advice would be to do a lot of research and eliminate as much internal bias as possible when considering these things. Whatever ideal situation you're imagining, that's probably not what's going to ultimately end up happening. It might - and if it does, consider yourself lucky - but basing plans and expectations on something that requires everything to go right can really set yourself up for disappointment.
 
How is 100-150k a year not enough to comfortably pay 300k of debt? With interest you would be paying about 25k a year over 15 years, not to mention the new income based repayment system which would lower payments for starting physicians. With your estimate you would on average be still making around $100k a year, which is definitely upper middle class. I would be happy making that while also having an awesome career.
Add in taxes, mortgage payments, and the costs of raising a family on top of a 300k debt burden and 100k goes by quite quickly.
 
Depends on what you define "comfortable" as. Regardless, $25k a year is not a trivial sum, and I don't think the attitude of "don't worry about it, you'll be able to pay it back" is a healthy one. And while IBR "would lower payments," that "lowering of payments" isn't without cost - you're still going to pay more when you are pulling in the big bucks. I wouldn't count on things like the the PSLF program staying around - it seems optimistic at best to think that the federal government will continue paying the loans of professional students that will be perfectly capable of paying those loans without assistance when they get into the work force. But that's pure speculation.

Regardless, taking on $300k in debt that is non-dischargable with a salary of $150k is not a good financial time. Slash your salary by 25-35% to account for taxes, then tack on your 10-15% for IBR, and that's what your left with. Yes, it's a very livable salary, but you're by no means going to be wealthy - at least not for many years. And good luck having an "upper middle class" lifestyle on that salary in places like NYC, Boston, California, etc., which are the kinds of places young professionals frequently want to end up in. I say all this not because I think physicians are in a bad financial situation - not at all. Just that many people have expectations regarding their future salary that oftentimes is not congruent with reality.
I'm always amused at all the assumptions that go into people's calculations on the "should I become a physician" topic. The average age people finish residency is at some point in their early 30s, and most are married with kids. This leads to greater than 50% newly board eligible docs practicing in whatever state they did their residency. There isn't some mass migration to NYC to lower your standard of living while simultaneously being forced to pay a fortune for private school because the majority of public schools aren't of the quality you could get in a good suburb. If people move to NYC or SF and then complain about the cost of living on their tiny, barely six figure incomes, I have no pity whatsoever. That's what you signed up for when you moved there, stop complaining that your dollars don't go further in one of the most expensive cities in the world and move out if it bothers you so much.

There will likely always be some program to help alleviate student loans- if the government doesn't provide it at the Federal level, state governments and private sector loan forgiveness still exist to entice new employees to certain areas or to fill certain positions. The greater an issue loans become, the more likely loan repayment will become a part of your pay package.

200k puts you in the top 1.2% of personal incomes in the United States. If that level of guaranteed income just for showing up is just not enough money to justify your choice, then definitely do not become a physician.
 
Add in taxes, mortgage payments, and the costs of raising a family on top of a 300k debt burden and 100k goes by quite quickly.
IBR is your worst case scenario, under which you'd owe 10% of income, all of which would be tax deductible due to it being interest. How ever could the poors survive on paltry 100k-150k incomes with fully tax deductible payments equaling 10% of their income, and with a mortgage payment that is 2/3 deductible as well! Impossible I say, and unconscionable for them to suffer!

And let's be cereal, your partner is probably going to be another motivated six figure puller themselves. You wont be a dirty beggar.
 
200k puts you in the top 1.2% of personal incomes in the United States. If that level of guaranteed income just for showing up is just not enough money to justify your choice, then definitely do not become a physician.

Well, it's very easy to make these kinds of moral arguments but they add nothing to the discussion. They don't address the issue of the ridiculous cost of medical education. They don't address the abysmal salaries of PCPs when you look at the costs (both real and opportunity) to become one. It adds nothing to the discussion other than inserting your own thinly veiled moral superiority. So while that statistic is an interesting one, it has no relevance on what is being discussed.

With respect to your comment above - the one I didn't reply to - you're making so many assumptions that really are questionable or even wrong. A partner that makes six figures (I know my partner doesn't make six figures, most med students that are in relationships don't have partners that make six figures, and most med students aren't even in relationships based on my experience)? IBR as a worst-case scenario (not even true if your loans aren't federal loans - IBR applies only to government-guaranteed loans)? Your loan payments being tax deductible (not even true, and even then, the tax deduction is limited to $2500)? Being a dirty beggar? Once again, these things do nothing to further the discussion and really detract from it by artificially setting up a black-and-white argument and making the choice one or the other.

How about this: I know you're going into medicine because you really want to save those lives and really want to help people. There - now can we have some actual discussion?
 
Well, it's very easy to make these kinds of moral arguments but they add nothing to the discussion. They don't address the issue of the ridiculous cost of medical education. They don't address the abysmal salaries of PCPs when you look at the costs (both real and opportunity) to become one. It adds nothing to the discussion other than inserting your own thinly veiled moral superiority. So while that statistic is an interesting one, it has no relevance on what is being discussed.

With respect to your comment above - the one I didn't reply to - you're making so many assumptions that really are questionable or even wrong. A partner that makes six figures (I know my partner doesn't make six figures, most med students that are in relationships don't have partners that make six figures, and most med students aren't even in relationships based on my experience)? IBR as a worst-case scenario (not even true if your loans aren't federal loans - IBR applies only to government-guaranteed loans)? Your loan payments being tax deductible (not even true, and even then, the tax deduction is limited to $2500)? Being a dirty beggar? Once again, these things do nothing to further the discussion and really detract from it by artificially setting up a black-and-white argument and making the choice one or the other.

How about this: I know you're going into medicine because you really want to save those lives and really want to help people. There - now can we have some actual discussion?

But I read that IBR isn't all roses and candy. Isn't it true that after X amount of years of paying for IBR that the rest isn't "forgiven" rather it is considered taxable income by the IRS? So if you pay IBR, but you don't put much of a dent into what you owe, would you potentially owe A LOT of money to the IRS after the terms of your IBR repayment are over?
 
Depends on what you define "comfortable" as. Regardless, $25k a year is not a trivial sum, and I don't think the attitude of "don't worry about it, you'll be able to pay it back" is a healthy one. And while IBR "would lower payments," that "lowering of payments" isn't without cost - you're still going to pay more when you are pulling in the big bucks. I wouldn't count on things like the the PSLF program staying around - it seems optimistic at best to think that the federal government will continue paying the loans of professional students that will be perfectly capable of paying those loans without assistance when they get into the work force. But that's pure speculation.

Regardless, taking on $300k in debt that is non-dischargable with a salary of $150k is not a good financial time. Slash your salary by 25-35% to account for taxes, then tack on your 10-15% for IBR, and that's what your left with. Yes, it's a very livable salary, but you're by no means going to be wealthy - at least not for many years. And good luck having an "upper middle class" lifestyle on that salary in places like NYC, Boston, California, etc., which are the kinds of places young professionals frequently want to end up in. I say all this not because I think physicians are in a bad financial situation - not at all. Just that many people have expectations regarding their future salary that oftentimes is not congruent with reality.

Can you explain how the PSLF program works currently?
 
But the reality is that the average person is not going into neonatal surgery and should not be expecting a $700k salary. Basing salary expectations on procedure-oriented specialties like GI and cards whose income is HEAVILY dependent upon what Medicare decides to reimburse - which is a constantly fluctuating number - is a bad idea. Look at fields like rads and anesthesia for reasons why. The salaries of those fields are still extremely generous and will provide you with an excellent lifestyle, and in the end salary should not be the leading decision point on choosing a career, but it really is important to be realistic. Job dissatisfaction due to salary concerns - largely due to unmet expectations - is a real concern in medicine, especially as the cost of education increases, and warding against that starts now when people are beginning to think about the profession.

At the end of the day my advice would be to do a lot of research and eliminate as much internal bias as possible when considering these things. Whatever ideal situation you're imagining, that's probably not what's going to ultimately end up happening. It might - and if it does, consider yourself lucky - but basing plans and expectations on something that requires everything to go right can really set yourself up for disappointment.

I was merely pointing out that the income ceiling for a number of specialties does not warrant an assertion of a $150K salary blanketed across the field of medcine, leading to the grave challenges of loan-repayment. You do make an excellent point however, about unmet expectations. I'm very sure of what specialty I want to go into (I would say my mind has been made for the past 5 years or so, with enough opportunities for my mind to be swayed in a different direction...but hasn't been) and only very recently have I learned that this is a lucrative specialty. I'm happy that I've picked medicine as a career for what most would call noble reasons, but it's nice to know that maybe before I'm 50 I'll get this
Porsche-911_Carrera_S-2013-800-1c.jpg
 
Well, it's very easy to make these kinds of moral arguments but they add nothing to the discussion. They don't address the issue of the ridiculous cost of medical education. They don't address the abysmal salaries of PCPs when you look at the costs (both real and opportunity) to become one. It adds nothing to the discussion other than inserting your own thinly veiled moral superiority. So while that statistic is an interesting one, it has no relevance on what is being discussed.

With respect to your comment above - the one I didn't reply to - you're making so many assumptions that really are questionable or even wrong. A partner that makes six figures (I know my partner doesn't make six figures, most med students that are in relationships don't have partners that make six figures, and most med students aren't even in relationships based on my experience)? IBR as a worst-case scenario (not even true if your loans aren't federal loans - IBR applies only to government-guaranteed loans)? Your loan payments being tax deductible (not even true, and even then, the tax deduction is limited to $2500)? Being a dirty beggar? Once again, these things do nothing to further the discussion and really detract from it by artificially setting up a black-and-white argument and making the choice one or the other.

How about this: I know you're going into medicine because you really want to save those lives and really want to help people. There - now can we have some actual discussion?
Alright, alright. I was going a bit overboard. You're right, the limit is $2,500, which I wasn't aware of, as I have never gone through the process before. So that means you get to deduct $2,500 from that and likely 2/3 of a 30 year mortgage payment. If you're making 10k of payments, that means you're deducting 25%, along with 67% of your mortgage, which will likely equal a good sum of your total taxes without factoring in any other expenses. Anyone who uses private loans for medical school is foolish, and they are getting what they agreed to when they get screwed in the end. And fine, your spouse might not make six figs, but even if they make 50-60k, your income just got a substantial boost and you are doing pretty well for yourselves. For any further arguments though, I'm ignoring tax deductions and assuming we're just pissing our money away and not using them.

And the 1.2% was not a moral argument. It was an objective, mathematical argument. How good do you need to be doing to feel okay about your life? Better than 1 in 1,000 people? 1 in 10,000? How your income correlates to the income of others is what has been shown to be the biggest factor in happiness, not the amount of income itself. That is why I used this measure, not for moral reasons. What do you need your compensation to buy you to feel happy with your life? That is what you need to ask yourself. Do you need a million dollar home, a yacht, private school for both kids, etc? Or do you need a home that is decently sized for you and your family, in a nice neighborhood with good schools, a decent luxury car, and a good vacation once or twice a year? What are you looking for that 2ook cannot buy you, that's what I would like to know. Where I come from, 200k a year could buy you basically everything- private school, the nicest house in the area (literally- it has a market value of about 500k), vacations, etc, with plenty of money left over. I actually ran the numbers once and calculated that you could get a good 250k home, a used Robinson R22 helicopter, a new Ferarri California, and a smaller used luxury yacht on an income of about 250k, so if you and your spouse pool your money, you can have it all for a fairly reasonable sum if you pick your location carefully. Only in the big cities is 200k not enough, and that is the sacrifice you make for choosing to live in them. 100k is where it gets dicey for medicine- I would leave the field if incomes got that low, but they likely never will.

People always assume that my arguments are moral. Let me just lay it out for you- if medicine didn't pay over 130k a year, I would never, ever go into it. You can't take care of other people if you don't take care of yourself first. The closest thing I have to a moral argument in this is that I think people are obsessively materialistic, and that to many people, medicine is just a road by which they acquire useless shiny crap. I don't understand why people purchase, say, a new 4 bedroom home that costs 500k versus one that costs 250k, so long as both are safe and in nice neighborhoods. To me, they're both more than adequate for a family of four. I don't get why people need to buy $10,000 80 inch LED TVs, when you can get a decent and quite large LCD for $2,000. I can't fathom why someone would buy a 2 million dollar sports car when they can get a car that will go faster than they will ever drive for 100-150k. I don't get why people live lifestyles that cost more than they earn, when if they cut back, they could retire at 45 instead of working like slaves to pay for a bunch of **** they don't need till they're in their 70s. All this fancy crap that they sell to you, every brand, every luxury product that costs you a fortune, all that perceived value is in your head and doesn't make a damn bit of difference in the grand scheme of things. A house is a house, a fridge is a fridge, a car is a car, etc. I make upwards of 70k a year and even now don't know what to do with it because I've got everything I need, so I just save it and occasionally go on long vacations. I can't even imagine what I'll do with an income that's 3-5x what I make now. So money isn't as big a factor for me, but not because of the moral side of things. I just don't see any utility in making a whole lot more money than I do now. There really isn't anything I can do with it that I don't already. The only reason I want an income of over 130k is so I can save money faster and retire significantly earlier while living a very modest lifestyle.

We were talking about finances in the future of medicine, not how unfair primary care is. That's a whole different discussion that requires a lot of policy talk that I don't have the time for today.

Surviving on 250k a year (200k physician+50k partner, 250k physician, whatever you want, mix it up):
After Tax Income in My Home State: $183,000
Monthly After Tax: $15,250
Ferrari California Payment: $3,038
Used Small Luxury Yacht, Priced 375k, Payment: $3,175
Robinson R22 Helicopter, Used, Priced 100k, Payment: $1,520
Mortgage, 250k starting balance, 30 year: $1,230
Student Loan Payment with IBR: $1,667
Ascot and Luxury Flippy Floppies: $150, one time expense

Total After Taxes Per Month: $4,620
Total After Taxes Cash Per Year: $55,400

Truly, a horrid life awaits us if physician salary drops to 200k across the board. If things get really tight, you could always cut out the yacht and helicopter, then downsize that Ferrari to a BMW or Audi and save yourself around $6,000 per month, pushing your total disposable income after taxes and expenses well beyond 100k. If you can't live off 200-250k, you're pretty bad at finances.
 
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Surviving on 250k a year (200k physician+50k partner, 250k physician, whatever you want, mix it up):
After Tax Income in My Home State: $183,000
Monthly After Tax: $15,250
Ferrari California Payment: $3,038
Used Small Luxury Yacht, Priced 375k, Payment: $3,175
Robinson R22 Helicopter, Used, Priced 100k, Payment: $1,520
Mortgage, 250k starting balance, 30 year: $1,230
Student Loan Payment with IBR: $1,667

Total After Taxes Per Month: $4,620
Total After Taxes Cash Per Year: $55,400

Truly, a horrid life awaits us if physician salary drops to 200k across the board. If things get really tight, you could always cut out the yacht and helicopter, then downsize that Ferrari to a BMW or Audi and save yourself around $6,000 per month, pushing your total disposable income after taxes and expenses well beyond 100k. If you can't live off 200-250k, you're pretty bad at finances.

Dude, I get your point and I was somewhat with you, but the quoted section is just ridiculous.
 
Can you explain how the PSLF program works currently?

In short, if you work for a non-profit AND make on-time loan payments for 120 consecutive months, your government-guaranteed loans may be forgiven. Since most medical centers are non-profit, this would include your residency training. As you can see, depending upon the specialty this can be quite advantageous: if you're a neurosurgeon, you can essentially finish up your 10 years of "service" by staying on board at a non-profit for just a few more years before moving on to whatever practice environment you want to be in.

There are several issues with this, though:

-Only goverment-guaranteed loans - and only some of them at that - are eligible for forgiveness. For most people this isn't a problem, but there are a not insignificant number of people that rely on private loans for financing what the government-provided loans don't cover. Those loans don't qualify for this program unless the lender specifically has a program in place like this.

-As mentioned above, you're responsible for paying the taxes on the forgiven balance as it is essentially considered income. Obviously it's a great deal regardless, but it's something to keep in mind. You may not be prepared to pay 25-35% taxes on a six figure sum of money if you don't work it out beforehand.

-It's unclear whether the government will easily forgive these loans or whether it will be a process. In other words, just because this program is available doesn't mean you will necessarily have your loans forgiven. Since this program was started in 2007, the first individuals eligible for forgiveness won't be eligible until 2017. And that's assuming that the program is even still around at that point. The political situation in the US makes that a non-remote possibility. Basically, from my view it would be unwise to make plans or assumptions based on something that isn't all that much of a sure thing.

It's a great program in theory, but who knows how it will turn out in practice. I guess we'll see in 2017.
 
Dude, I get your point and I was somewhat with you, but the quoted section is just ridiculous.
It was meant to be ridiculous.

A more realistic breakdown of finances is included below:
Post-Tax Income, Monthly: $15,250
500k Home in a good neighborhood: $2,460
BMW 7 Series, all wheel xDrive: $1,230
BMW x3 for the wife: $684
Student Loan Payment: $1,667
Private School for 2 kids, pre-high school (cost during high school is about 2k higher per month, avoid private school by picking a good neighborhood if you can, it'll save you a fortune): $3,000
Budget for Food, Utilities, Entertainment, Etc: $2,000

So you're looking at $4,209 left per month, which you can shift toward savings or other budget priorities. I wouldn't buy a BMW or a half million dollar home, but even if that's the sort of thing you like, you can afford a decent standard of living on 250k per year.
 
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In short, if you work for a non-profit AND make on-time loan payments for 120 consecutive months, your government-guaranteed loans may be forgiven. Since most medical centers are non-profit, this would include your residency training. As you can see, depending upon the specialty this can be quite advantageous: if you're a neurosurgeon, you can essentially finish up your 10 years of "service" by staying on board at a non-profit for just a few more years before moving on to whatever practice environment you want to be in.

There are several issues with this, though:

-Only goverment-guaranteed loans - and only some of them at that - are eligible for forgiveness. For most people this isn't a problem, but there are a not insignificant number of people that rely on private loans for financing what the government-provided loans don't cover. Those loans don't qualify for this program unless the lender specifically has a program in place like this.

-As mentioned above, you're responsible for paying the taxes on the forgiven balance as it is essentially considered income. Obviously it's a great deal regardless, but it's something to keep in mind. You may not be prepared to pay 25-35% taxes on a six figure sum of money if you don't work it out beforehand.

-It's unclear whether the government will easily forgive these loans or whether it will be a process. In other words, just because this program is available doesn't mean you will necessarily have your loans forgiven. Since this program was started in 2007, the first individuals eligible for forgiveness won't be eligible until 2017. And that's assuming that the program is even still around at that point. The political situation in the US makes that a non-remote possibility. Basically, from my view it would be unwise to make plans or assumptions based on something that isn't all that much of a sure thing.

It's a great program in theory, but who knows how it will turn out in practice. I guess we'll see in 2017.

So, non-profit would be something like an Academic Medical Center? Like for instance, New York Presbyterian Hospital, as opposed to say St. Francis Hospital (a nationally ranked, private, for-profit, heart hospital for those who aren't familiar with the name)?
 
It was obviously meant to be ridiculous.

Haha, yeah, I know it was meant to be exaggerated with the lambo, helicopter, etc, but you were obviously trying to make a point. My issue was that you left out a ton of stuff that knocks out your disposable income.
 
^ Sounds like a pretty tough life. I mean, there is no money left over for:

A vacation house on a lake or beachfront (c'mon, you seriously think one house is enough?)
A ski chalet (I actually dream of having one, myself)
A private plane (This goes without saying. Plane comes before helicopter).
Oh yeah, and Race Track/Sports Car Driving Clubs are not cheap
 
^ Sounds like a pretty tough life. I mean, there is no money left over for:

A vacation house on a lake or beachfront (c'mon, you seriously think one house is enough?)
A ski chalet (I actually dream of having one, myself)
A private plane (This goes without saying. Plane comes before helicopter).
Oh yeah, and Race Track/Sports Car Driving Clubs are not cheap
Yeah, life outside of the specialties is rough. I mean, how the hell am I supposed to pay for my championship horse's care and a jockey to ride him on that kind of income? And don't even get me started on how expensive my ocelot is...

f400_buyers_remorse.jpg
 
Yeah, life outside of the specialties is rough. I mean, how the hell am I supposed to pay for my championship horse's care and a jockey to ride him on that kind of income? And don't even get me started on how expensive my ocelot is...
^ Sounds like a pretty tough life. I mean, there is no money left over for:

A vacation house on a lake or beachfront (c'mon, you seriously think one house is enough?)
A ski chalet (I actually dream of having one, myself)
A private plane (This goes without saying. Plane comes before helicopter).
Oh yeah, and Race Track/Sports Car Driving Clubs are not cheap
Do you guys think this is relevant? I realize you're trying to be funny but you're not, you're just being stupid. Most doctors don't live like that because they can't afford to, which would probably make sense to y'all if you had a realistic idea of the kinds of expenses adults raising families incur.
 
Do you guys think this is relevant? I realize you're trying to be funny but you're not, you're just being stupid. Most doctors don't live like that because they can't afford to, which would probably make sense to y'all if you had a realistic idea of the kinds of expenses adults raising families incur.

I was going to make a long post about forgetting about retirement contributions, family expenses, insurance, higher loan payments on IBR (Medloans tells me payments are closer to 3000, not 1500), but I think I'll just leave it at what you said. I've never made 250k personally, but it's about what my parents make combined, and they certainly don't have all of this disposable income that people here are thinking would come with that salary (and they live frugally).

For the record, I'm not actually arguing that physicians don't make a lot of money.
 
Do you guys think this is relevant? I realize you're trying to be funny but you're not, you're just being stupid. Most doctors don't live like that because they can't afford to, which would probably make sense to y'all if you had a realistic idea of the kinds of expenses adults raising families incur.

Nope, pretty sure they're being funny.
The docs I work with seem pretty damn well off...fancy cars, multiple kids in good schools, nice (big) house in nice neighborhood, fancy parties with catered food...fits pretty well with MadJack's 'realistic' description, only their houses are WELL beyond the $500k level (source: a few of them are moving/buying new homes and talk to their realtors on the phone about selling their old one).
Adults raising families don't need to come anywhere close to $200k. Many people raise children just fine in the $20-30k/yr range. If they want to pour their discretionary funds into fancy schools, larger houses, and fancy classes for Jr., that's fine, it's an admirable choice...but to act as if those choices are necessities and then to whine about not having free money after their necessities? That's annoying. They had free money, they chose how to spend it. They could just as easily (if not as justifiably) have spent it on a yacht.
 
Do you guys think this is relevant? I realize you're trying to be funny but you're not, you're just being stupid. Most doctors don't live like that because they can't afford to, which would probably make sense to y'all if you had a realistic idea of the kinds of expenses adults raising families incur.
I was going to make a long post about forgetting about retirement contributions, family expenses, insurance, higher loan payments on IBR (Medloans tells me payments are closer to 3000, not 1500), but I think I'll just leave it at what you said. I've never made 250k personally, but it's about what my parents make combined, and they certainly don't have all of this disposable income that people here are thinking would come with that salary (and they live frugally).

For the record, I'm not actually arguing that physicians don't make a lot of money.
My parents raised me and my two sisters just fine on 50k a year before taxes, as to the points on family expenses. We had a regular house, two cars, all of us went to college, and we never felt poor in any way. I don't see how they could do it on a quarter to a fifth of what a physician can make and yet it suddenly becomes harder when you are a doctor.

The reason my payments are the size that they are is that I'm using the new PAYE (pay as you earn) program, which requires 10% of gross income for 20 years, and is basically superior in every way to the old IBR system, which required 15% of income for 25 years.

Obviously, we're just joking around. My point is not that doctors are wealthy (they most certainly are not) but that they have more than enough money to live a comfortable life. An employed physician often has malpractice, CME, and licensing paid by the hospital, you have zero overhead, and you sometimes even bargain for tax advantaged tuition reimbursement benefits if they are not already included in your contract. If you're private practice, however, there will be a lot more expenses involved, which might or might not be balanced out by higher revenue. It would be much harder to get by as a private practice doc on 200k a year because you have to front the cash out of your own pocket if you need new equipment, facility maintenance, etc, and can't afford to pay such expenses out of the blue on such a salary. If you want to own your own private practice, I guess it could be argued pretty that it isn't entirely worth it for these reasons, as bankruptcy or practice closure are a few bad months or surprise expenses away. So if you're looking to do private practice, I could see where your argument lies more so than if you are looking to do work as a group or hospital employed physician.

Edit: Seriously though, I do want an ocelot.
 
I was going to make a long post about forgetting about retirement contributions, family expenses, insurance, higher loan payments on IBR (Medloans tells me payments are closer to 3000, not 1500), but I think I'll just leave it at what you said. I've never made 250k personally, but it's about what my parents make combined, and they certainly don't have all of this disposable income that people here are thinking would come with that salary (and they live frugally).

For the record, I'm not actually arguing that physicians don't make a lot of money.
Exactly. I'm not arguing that either. Just remarking that many of the posters in this thread are wildly overestimating the lifestyle most doctors enjoy (and in the process, drawing up a crude and kind of ignorant caricature thereof). Lot of folks around here may be in for a rude awakening someday...
 
My parents raised me and my two sisters just fine on 50k a year before taxes, as to the points on family expenses. We had a regular house, two cars, all of us went to college, and we never felt poor in any way. I don't see how they could do it on a quarter to a fifth of what a physician can make and yet it suddenly becomes harder when you are a doctor.

The reason my payments are the size that they are is that I'm using the new PAYE (pay as you earn) program, which requires 10% of gross income for 20 years, and is basically superior in every way to the old IBR system, which required 15% of income for 25 years.

Obviously, we're just joking around. My point is not that doctors are wealthy (they most certainly are not) but that they have more than enough money to live a comfortable life. An employed physician often has malpractice, CME, and licensing paid by the hospital, you have zero overhead, and you sometimes even bargain for tax advantaged tuition reimbursement benefits if they are not already included in your contract. If you're private practice, however, there will be a lot more expenses involved, which might or might not be balanced out by higher revenue. It would be much harder to get by as a private practice doc on 200k a year because you have to front the cash out of your own pocket if you need new equipment, facility maintenance, etc, and can't afford to pay such expenses out of the blue on such a salary. If you want to own your own private practice, I guess it could be argued pretty that it isn't entirely worth it for these reasons, as bankruptcy or practice closure are a few bad months or surprise expenses away. So if you're looking to do private practice, I could see where your argument lies more so than if you are looking to do work as a group or hospital employed physician.

Edit: Seriously though, I do want an ocelot.
Yeah I acknowledged that you were making an attempt at humor in my first post, like I said it's just a dumb joke.
 
Exactly. I'm not arguing that either. Just remarking that many of the posters in this thread are wildly overestimating the lifestyle most doctors enjoy (and in the process, drawing up a crude and kind of ignorant caricature thereof). Lot of folks around here may be in for a rude awakening someday...
As a person who has paid his own bills for many years, I kind of know what things cost and how much money I need to survive. If I'm living fine on expenses of 2k/month, I don't see how a family of four, two of which are children, will struggle on 15k a month if I'm living like an average middle class guy in a small northeastern town. The only reason many physicians have rude awakenings when it comes to their finances is that many often splurge on unnecessary crap because they have been delaying their gratification forever and feel like they are owed some nice shiny crap immediately after graduation. Physicians are notoriously bad investors, are, on average, poor businessmen when it comes to planning and execution, and are terrible at saving money. The White Coast Investor pretty much sums up all of the common reasons physicians aren't wealthy over the course of many of his posts, but basically it comes down to the fact that physicians just suck with their money and can't control themselves when it comes to everything from investments to mortgages.

I was raised by a frugal accountant turned stay at home mom that was teaching me to buy generic and roll my pennies in preschool. I don't get how becoming a doctor is going to suddenly turn me into some kind of consumerist automaton that needs to blow 15 grand a month just to get by and needs to live in a 500k+ McMansion just to sleep at night.

I will throw this one out there though. If you don't want to be broke, be very careful about who you marry. If you marry a materialistic woman, you're ****ed from the start, and no amount of money will save you.

I am curious what crazy child care expenses you're referring to though. The vast majority of Americans raise their kids with entire incomes that are less than the average doc makes in 2 months post-tax. How is a doctor raising his kids going to be so much more expensive?
 
If you have to ask, the answer is no.
 
Do you guys think this is relevant? I realize you're trying to be funny but you're not, you're just being stupid. Most doctors don't live like that because they can't afford to, which would probably make sense to y'all if you had a realistic idea of the kinds of expenses adults raising families incur.

I think it's pretty clear they're using hyperboles to illustrate that all these people keep whining about a 150K+ income when the rest of the population is living comfortably at the avg income of 50k-60k is ridiculous. Is driving a honda accord, living in a nice city (San Diego for example), going to a good public school, living in a 500K house nice enough? That certainly does not take a doctor's income and is considered a very normal standard of living. I don't know where you all are getting your "comfortable" definition from, but like many on this thread have said, even 90k of actual income (after taxes, etc, etc) is way more than the average household and if you feel like you're not "comfortable" at that income bracket (highest) then nothing will be comfortable enough. If anyone thinks being a doctor will afford you Bill Gates' lifestyle then they're pretty stupid and probably wouldn't get into med school anyway.
 
Man I hate these threads. I get it kid, you're worried about taking out lots of loans and physician reimbursement declining and you won't be able to pay it off. Look in the archive at threads made in 2003 by premeds worrying about taking out loans and how much money they will make. Chances are if you go into medicine you'll make enough to live a very good life. The "debt" is just another aspect of this journey used to scare off those who really aren't committed. Another thing that scares people off is the MCAT, another thing that scares people is the amount of years it takes. If you really want to do medicine, you will do it.
 
I think it's pretty clear they're using hyperboles to illustrate that all these people keep whining about a 150K+ income when the rest of the population is living comfortably at the avg income of 50k-60k is ridiculous. Is driving a honda accord, living in a nice city (San Diego for example), going to a good public school, living in a 500K house nice enough? That certainly does not take a doctor's income and is considered a very normal standard of living. I don't know where you all are getting your "comfortable" definition from, but like many on this thread have said, even 90k of actual income (after taxes, etc, etc) is way more than the average household and if you feel like you're not "comfortable" at that income bracket (highest) then nothing will be comfortable enough. If anyone thinks being a doctor will afford you Bill Gates' lifestyle then they're pretty stupid and probably wouldn't get into med school anyway.


To be fair, the rest of the population does not have 300k in loans.
 
For most of my adult life, I've had a household income around 20K. For several years, it's been closer to 10K and that's been rough. For a brief period, it was about 40K and I felt very comfortable. I had health insurance, a nice car, nice house, etc. Granted, I lived in the Midwest so housing wasn't too expensive, but I can't even begin to wrap my mind around the "struggle" of living comfortably on 100K+ per year.
 
For most of my adult life, I've had a household income around 20K. For several years, it's been closer to 10K and that's been rough. For a brief period, it was about 40K and I felt very comfortable. I had health insurance, a nice car, nice house, etc. Granted, I lived in the Midwest so housing wasn't too expensive, but I can't even begin to wrap my mind around the "struggle" of living comfortably on 100K+ per year.
SDN discussions are like a game of broken telephone. Somehow this thread has turned into an argument about whether or not 100k is a liveble income. At the moment, salaries for doctors are amazing. If they do go down drastically and end up being 150k for specialized surgeons, than they'd be highly underpaid in my opinion. That's not to say that you can't live on 150k a year.. Stop making assumptions.
 
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I assumed nothing. Your original words were "uncertain future that might potentially be horrendous".
 
SDN discussions are like a game of broken telephone. Somehow this thread has turned into an argument about whether or not 100k is a liveble income. At the moment, salaries for doctors are amazing. If they do go down drastically and end up being 150k for specialized surgeons, than they'd be highly underpaid in my opinion. That's not to say that you can't live on 150k a year.. Stop making assumptions.

This is why people are discussing whether 150K is an acceptable amount of money to live on. You asked if this might happen and some are saying that if it does it's still plenty of money, and others think it's not. If you're actually so worried then don't go to med school in case it does happen. From your posts you seem to think that 150K is too low so it's really just up to you whether that amount is worth it in the end
 
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