True enough, Alex, but I think only to a point. Admittedly my only data supporting that opinion is a friend of mine who applied really late two years ago and got rejected everywhere, but the following year (with little change to her app) was accepted at several of the same schools. But she didn't start her AMCAS until after Christmas, so that would mean no secondaries until February and no interviews (if she got any, I don't actually know) until March, so that's a pretty extreme case. I suspect you're right in terms of those who get their AMCAS in anytime before or around, or even a little later than, now.
**edit: right, I just reread your second paragraph, and we appear to be in heated agreement... 🙂 ***
Also, I'd have to wholeheartedly agree about premed advisors being clueless. You'd think they'd at least know something about the process, seeing as they are peripherally involved in it every year, but so far all my premed committee's been good for is letter writing/compiling. They did do a nice job of that, though, so I guess I shouldn't complain.