Any Data on A's Post-Interview in Sept/Oct?

[Geodon]

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Hey guys!

I have been fortunate to interview at a few MD programs throughout September and have a few scheduled for this upcoming month. Does anyone have any data (or knowledge) of the % or odds that you will end up with an acceptance if you interview "early" (Sept/Oct)--specifically at schools with rolling admissions.

From my understanding, or lack thereof, rolling admissions means that early II’s have more spots available, and late II’s are competing for fewer spots. The most standout applicants get more interviews and earlier, so they just generally have higher chances of A’s.

 

[Mr.Smile12]

We are discussing Offers and Waitlists on SDN Expert Advice Live this Sunday 9pm ET.

Thread 'Waitlists to Offers Q&A - October 5, 2025 at 9:00 PM Eastern'

Friday at 2:05 PM

Once your interview is over, the admissions process seems like a black box. Dr. Emil Chuck gives you a peek inside at what is happening as admissions committees make offers for acceptance and waitlists. Post your questions about updates and timelines below and he'll answer them live!

• WildWing
• Replies: 1
• Forum: Expert Advice Live

Also read

From Waitlist to Offer: Inside an Admissions Committee | HPSA’s Student Doctor Network (SDN)

You are finally done with your interviews, so let the waiting games begin! In March, health professions programs will begin securing seats for the next

www.studentdoctor.net

 

[Butalbusaur]

From my understanding, or lack thereof, rolling admissions means that early II’s have more spots available, and late II’s are competing for fewer spots. The most standout applicants get more interviews and earlier, so they just generally have higher chances of A’s.

I mean, the logic is there and I really hope that’s it’s true.

Also, I wonder if programs will accept/waitlist/reject the same number of applicants per cohort until the class is filled. For example if there are 24 students interviewing that day, 8 get A’s, 8 get WLs, and 8 get Rs. Or if they interview earlier, there are more A’s than the latter. Hmm…hope to hear what you guys think.

 

[polymerization]

I would also be interested in knowing how we should interpret statistics (even if imperfect) on places like Admit. If a school has a 50% acceptance rate post-II, for example, is that number understated? Surely if they are offering As to half of their interviewees, I imagine a variable percentage actually matriculates. Or is that already taken into consideration? I don't know.

I think at this stage some of us have interviewed and it's hard to know if we're close to the finish line or if there are multiple more obstacles to navigate ahead.

 

[Butalbusaur]

I would also be interested in knowing how we should interpret statistics (even if imperfect) on places like Admit. If a school has a 50% acceptance rate post-II, for example, is that number underrepresented? Surely if they are offering As to half of their interviewees, I imagine a variable percentage actually matriculates. Or is that already taken into consideration? I don't know.

I think at this stage some of us have interviewed and it's hard to know if we're close to the finish line or if there are multiple more obstacles to navigate ahead.

Agreed! Also a great question

 

[Geodon]

I would also be interested in knowing how we should interpret statistics (even if imperfect) on places like Admit. If a school has a 50% acceptance rate post-II, for example, is that number understated? Surely if they are offering As to half of their interviewees, I imagine a variable percentage actually matriculates. Or is that already taken into consideration? I don't know.

I don’t like to use Admit but I have read that some schools over-admit by nearly 100 to matriculate a class of 150-180 because they know people will get offers elsewhere. It’s my hope that programs are more lax with A’s this early on into the cycle.

I think at this stage some of us have interviewed and it's hard to know if we're close to the finish line or if there are multiple more obstacles to navigate ahead.

I think the applicants within the first few waves of interviews are the best mission fit wise for that school (that’s why they got an interview so early) and thus will yield the highest percentage for acceptance. That may be copium, but I feel that it makes sense?

 

[Mr.Smile12]

Isn't that what I said in the article??? 🙂

Not every school summarily rejects applicants post-interview, or you gave them a good reason to reject.

 

[Geodon]

Isn't that what I said in the article??? 🙂

Which part? @Mr.Smile12 🙂

 

[Butalbusaur]

Hmm. In the article @Mr.Smile12 posted, there’s an interesting table where it shows how acceptances are given out over a period of months as to fill the class by early spring.

If a school is set to interview 300 candidates in September, they’ll give out 30 acceptances and waitlist 270? That seems like a lot. Do medical schools typically interview that many people in a month? It does seem to yield lower results as the months pass, which make sense.

The school I’m waiting to hear from interviewed about 500 total, so I wonder how many candidates they did per month and what that means for my chances…🤔

Eh, it’s in God’s hands now.