MS4 here. 1 year ago I felt like everyone but me knew what they wanted to do or had at least narrowed it down a lot. It stressed me out as I was still pretty undecided (though I knew I hated surgery with the fiery passion of a thousand suns).
Looking back though, I think it was because these people tend to be more vocal about it, so it can
seem like a lot of people have it figured out. Also, quite a few people who said they were
SET on a specialty in Dec/Jan/Feb/March .... ended up going into a different field (sometimes really different, ex. urology -> neurology
😕, EM -> psych
😱, medicine -> ob/gyn

, derm -> medicine

, neurosurg -> anesthesia
😎 ). So in reality, a lot of people didn't decide until after 3rd year had officially ended. Quite a few people used the summer of 4th year to do an elective and/or sub-I to help them make their final decision.
All this being said, obviously for certain specialties it helps to know sooner rather than later (ex. needing to schedule aways for fields like EM, ortho, etc). I also agree with
@HomeSkool in that you're kinda all over the place and I do think there are a few things you could think about to help you narrow it down a bit:
- do you want to do surgery or not (ortho)? Even if you like it, could you be happy without it?
- how much patient interaction do you want (radiology)?
- do you like acute or non-acute medicine (EM and anesthesia vs PMR)?
- do you like procedures (EM and anesthesia vs PMR and neurology)?
P.S: I ended up choosing peds because kids are awesome, no one wears ties, and I can dress up for Halloween. Also, I loved how resilient most kids are, I enjoyed talking to patients' parents/families, and there are a lot of subspecialties/career paths I can choose after residency. Also, FYI, I didn't do my peds rotation until April.